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孙宇, 韩琳, 李建平, 等. 2022. 东亚—西北太平洋海平面气压场的动力特征分析[J]. 大气科学, 46(1): 70−82. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2103.20254
引用本文: 孙宇, 韩琳, 李建平, 等. 2022. 东亚—西北太平洋海平面气压场的动力特征分析[J]. 大气科学, 46(1): 70−82. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2103.20254
SUN Yu, HAN Lin, LI Jianping, et al. 2022. Dynamic Properties of Sea Level Pressure Field in East Asia–Northwest Pacific [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 46(1): 70−82. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2103.20254
Citation: SUN Yu, HAN Lin, LI Jianping, et al. 2022. Dynamic Properties of Sea Level Pressure Field in East Asia–Northwest Pacific [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 46(1): 70−82. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2103.20254

东亚—西北太平洋海平面气压场的动力特征分析

Dynamic Properties of Sea Level Pressure Field in East Asia–Northwest Pacific

  • 摘要: 东亚—西北太平洋地区的海平面气压直接反映了低层大气的环流特征,其动力特征对大气环流形势,气压系统的演变和天气、气候系统的发展等都有显著的影响。因此,深入分析东亚—西北太平洋地区海平面气压场的时空演变特征,对于提高我国的天气和气候预报具有重要意义。为了从非线性动力学的角度进行深入研究,文中使用了一种新方法来定量估算海平面气压吸引子的两个瞬时指标:瞬时维度和瞬时稳定度。瞬时维度表征了吸引子轨道在局部空间上的离散程度,瞬时稳定度则表征了轨道在局部时间上的稳定程度,它们共同反应了海平面气压吸引子的瞬时(逐日)动力特性。本文利用不同大小的指标值与海平面气压场的对应关系,研究了该地区海平面气压场的不同时空特征。主要结论为:(1)海平面气压吸引子的两个指标都是低值时,对应逐日环流场的空间特征表现为:气压结构单一,通常有几个强大的高低气压中心东西对峙;时间特征表现为:环流模态可以稳定的持续10 d左右。(2)当两个指标都是高值时,逐日环流场的空间特征表现为:多个弱的气压中心同时存在且结构混乱;时间特征为:环流场极不稳定,持续性仅在1 d左右。(3)瞬时维度和瞬时稳定度具有一致的年代际变化趋势:20世纪70~90年代呈现明显的下降趋势,90年代末快速上升,2000年后波动变化。

     

    Abstract: The sea level pressure in the East Asia–Northwest Pacific region directly reflects the circulation characteristics of the lower atmosphere, and its dynamical characteristics have considerable effects on the atmospheric circulation situation, the evolution of the pressure system, and the development of weather and climate systems. Therefore, an in-depth analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of the sea level pressure field in the East Asia–Northwest Pacific region is of great significance to improve the weather and climate forecasting in China. To investigate the dynamical characteristics of the daily sea level pressure field from the viewpoint of nonlinear dynamics, a new method is used to quantitatively estimate two instantaneous indicators of the sea level pressure attractor: (1) The instantaneous dimension and (2) the instantaneous stability. The instantaneous dimension characterizes the dispersion of the attractor orbit in local space, and the instantaneous stability characterizes the stability of the orbit in local time, which together characterize the instantaneous (daily) dynamical properties of the sea level baroclinic attractor. This paper studies the different spatial and temporal characteristics of the sea level pressure field in the East Asia–Northwest Pacific region by the correspondence between the indicator values of different sizes and the daily sea level pressure circulation field. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) When both indicators of the sea level pressure attractor are low, the spatial characteristics of the corresponding circulation field exhibit a single pressure structure, usually with several strong high- and low-pressure centers facing each other at the east–west direction, while the time characteristics show that the circulation mode can be stable for approximately 10 days. (2) Whereas, when both the indicators are high, the spatial characteristics of the circulation field show the simultaneous existence of multiple weak pressure centers with a chaotic spatial structure. As for the temporal characteristics, the circulation field is extremely unstable and the duration is approximately only one day. (3) In addition, the instantaneous dimension and instantaneous stability were found to have consistent interdecadal trends, both showing a clear downward trend from the 1970s to the 1990s, a rapidly rising trend in the late 1990s, and fluctuating changes after the year 2000.

     

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