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基于随机森林算法对葵花卫星分层云相态识别的新方法研究

Identifying Layered Cloud Phases Using the Himawari-8/9 Satellite Based on Random Forest

  • 摘要: 云相态识别在气候变化、人工影响天气和飞机积冰等研究中具有重要的作用。本研究提出了一种基于随机森林(RF)算法的新型分层云相态识别方法,利用葵花-8/9卫星的高级成像仪(AHI)数据,结合云—气溶胶激光雷达与红外探路者卫星观测的垂直特征掩码数据CALIPSO-VFM和飞机观测数据,构建了适用于静止卫星的分层云相态识别模型。通过临近标签筛选与K均值聚类方法优化数据质控,选取AHI的4个红外光谱通道(3.9、8.6、10.4、12.4μm)作为特征输入,开发了可全天候应用的云相态分类模型。该模型实现了对不同高度(高、中、低层)云层的分类,利用卫星开展的测试中整体测试准确率达97.97%。利用湖北地区人影飞机的观测数据验证表明,模型反演结果与实测云相态高度一致,尤其在云顶区域的冰云和水云识别中表现优异,表明了本文所提卫星云相态识别模型在以湖北为代表的长江中游地区具有一定的准确性和可靠性。

     

    Abstract: Cloud phase state identification is of critical importance in the study of climate change, artificial weather modification, and aircraft ice accumulation. In this study, a novel layered cloud phase recognition method based on the random forest algorithm is proposed. A layered cloud phase recognition model for geostationary satellites is constructed using Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) data from Himawari-8/9, along with the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations Vertical Feature Mask product CALIPSO-VFM data and aircraft observations. The proximity labeling screening and K-means clustering method were employed to optimize the data quality control. Four infrared spectral channels of AHI (3.9, 8.6, 10.4, and 12.4 μm) were selected as feature inputs, and a cloud phase classification model applicable to all-weather conditions was developed. The model successfully classified clouds at different altitudes (high, medium, and low) and exhibited an overall test accuracy of 97.97% in tests conducted using satellite data. The validation using observed data from the silhouette aircraft in Hubei demonstrates that the model inversion results are highly consistent with the measured cloud phases, especially in the identification of ice and water clouds at the cloud top. This suggests that the satellite cloud phase identification model proposed in this paper has a certain degree of accuracy and reliability in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, as represented by Hubei.

     

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