高级检索

近16年来丹江口水库水位变化特征和影响因素及生态效益分析

Analysis of Water Level Variation Characteristics, Influencing Factors, and Ecological Benefits of the Danjiangkou Reservoir over the Past 16 Years

  • 摘要: 利用2007~2022年丹江口流域33个国家气象站月降水资料、丹江口水库水文观测数据和基于MODIS卫星光谱特征提取的南水北调中线工程受水区植被信息,分析了近16年来丹江口水库水位变化特征、影响因素及其生态效益。结果表明:1)丹江口大坝坝顶调高后,丹江口水库水位年均值由145.97 m增加到158.99 m,年度变幅增大、季节变幅减小,调蓄能力增强。2)通过构建丹江口水库次月水位变化与当月面雨量的相关模型,可实现水位的月尺度预测,为水库开闸泄洪或调水计划的拟定提供决策依据。3)南水北调中线工程实施后,受水区8月的平均植被覆盖度由75.5%增至76.1%,其中人口密度较小的地区局地增幅超过20%。

     

    Abstract: Using the monthly precipitation data from 33 national meteorological stations in the Danjiangkou Basin, hydrological observations from the Danjiangkou Reservoir, and vegetation information from the benefit area of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project collected between 2007 and 2022, the water-level change characteristics, influencing factors, and ecological effects over the recent 16 years were analyzed. The results revealed the following. (1) After the elevation of the Danjiangkou Dam, the annual average water level of the Danjiangkou Reservoir increased from 145.97 to 149.61 m. Although annual variability increased, seasonal variability decreased, indicating an improvement in the regulation and storage capacity. (2) By constructing a correlation model between the Danjiangkou Reservoir water level change in the next month and the surface rainfall in the current month, the monthly water level predictions could be made, which provided the decision-making basis for the flood discharge or water transfer plan of the reservoir. (3) After constructing the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project, the fractional vegetation cover in the benefit area increased from 75.5% to 76.1% in August, among which areas with small population densities increased locally by >20%.

     

/

返回文章
返回