A STATISTICAL PREDICTING SCHEME OF THE INTENSITY OF THE STH OVER THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC

Jin Yiming; Cai Jinxiang; Liu Ningsheng

doi:10.1007/BF02656668

Impact Factor: 5.8

Volume 4 Issue 1

Jan. 1987

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Article > ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES > 1987 > 4(1): 119-124

A STATISTICAL PREDICTING SCHEME OF THE INTENSITY OF THE STH OVER THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC

1.
Zhejiang Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hangzhou,Zhejiang Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hangzhou,Zhejiang Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hangzhou

doi: 10.1007/BF02656668

Abstract
References
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Abstract:
By performing error analysis of the information from the 48-hr forecasting charts of the 500-hPa fields by the B model over eastern Asia in the period of July to September 1982 and expansions of the height fields of westerlies and the subtropical zone by use of the Chebyshev polynomial and EOF, respectively, a scheme is developed for predicting the synchronous STH coefficient (i. e. time coefficient) in terms of the Chebyshev one, thus making possible statistical forecasting of the 500-hPa subtropical field within 48 hr. Tests with independent samples indicate that, to a certain extent, this scheme can be used in operational prediction as a reference.
References

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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 January 1987

Manuscript revised: 10 January 1987

通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com

1.
沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院沈阳 110142

A STATISTICAL PREDICTING SCHEME OF THE INTENSITY OF THE STH OVER THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC

1. Zhejiang Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hangzhou,Zhejiang Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hangzhou,Zhejiang Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hangzhou

Manuscript received: 1987-01-10
Manuscript revised: 1987-01-10

Abstract: By performing error analysis of the information from the 48-hr forecasting charts of the 500-hPa fields by the B model over eastern Asia in the period of July to September 1982 and expansions of the height fields of westerlies and the subtropical zone by use of the Chebyshev polynomial and EOF, respectively, a scheme is developed for predicting the synchronous STH coefficient (i. e. time coefficient) in terms of the Chebyshev one, thus making possible statistical forecasting of the 500-hPa subtropical field within 48 hr. Tests with independent samples indicate that, to a certain extent, this scheme can be used in operational prediction as a reference.