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Volume 9 Issue 3

Jul.  1992

Article Contents

Past, Present and Future Climatic Forcing due to Greenhouse Gases


doi: 10.1007/BF02656938

  • An advanced one-dimensional radiative-convective model (RCM) is used to estimate the past, present and fu-ture climatic forcings induced by greenhouse gases of anthropogenic origin, such as CO2, CH4, N2O and CFCs, in this paper. The results show that the decadal climatic forcing for the last decade is one-order bigger than that prior to the year 1900, and in the case of no control on the emission of the greenhouse gases the climatic forcing for the year 2100 will be almost 4 times as much as now.
  • [1] Tianbao ZHAO, Aiguo DAI, Jianping HUANG, Lixia ZHANG, 2024: Preface to the Special Issue on Causes, Impacts, and Predictability of Droughts for the Past, Present, and Future, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 41, 191-192.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3017-6
    [2] Jiping LIU, David BROMWICH, Dake CHEN, Raul CORDERO, Thomas JUNG, Marilyn RAPHAEL, John TURNER, Qinghua YANG, 2020: Preface to the Special Issue on Antarctic Meteorology and Climate: Past, Present and Future, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 421-422.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-2001-7
    [3] CHANG Wenyuan, LIAO Hong, WANG Huijun, 2009: Climate responses to direct radiative forcing of anthropogenic aerosols, tropospheric ozone, and long-lived greenhouse gases in eastern China over 1951-2000, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 748-762.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9032-4
    [4] Ma Henian, Ding Yihui, 1997: The Present Status and Future of Research of the East Asian Monsoon, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 14, 125-140.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-997-0015-z
    [5] Gao Xuejie, Zhao Zongci, Ding Yihui, Huang Ronghui, Filippo Giorgi, 2001: Climate Change due to Greenhouse Effects in China as Simulated by a Regional Climate Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 18, 1224-1230.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-001-0036-y
    [6] WANG Yuesi, HU Yuqiong, JI Baoming, LIU Guangren, XUE Min, 2003: An Investigation on the Relationship Between Emission/Uptake of Greenhouse Gases and Environmental Factors in Semiarid Grassland, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 20, 119-127.  doi: 10.1007/BF03342056
    [7] WANG Mingxing, LIU Qiang, YANG Xin, 2004: A Review of Research on Human Activity Induced Climate Change I. Greenhouse Gases and Aerosols, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 21, 314-321.  doi: 10.1007/BF02915561
    [8] Bing XIE, Hua ZHANG, Zhili WANG, Shuyun ZHAO, Qiang FU, 2016: A Modeling Study of Effective Radiative Forcing and Climate Response Due to Tropospheric Ozone, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 819-828.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-5193-0
    [9] WANG Hong, SHI Guangyu, LI Shuyan, LI Wei, WANG Biao, HUANG Yanbin, 2006: The Impacts of Optical Properties on Radiative Forcing Due to Dust Aerosol, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 23, 431-441.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-006-0431-5
    [10] WANG Zhili, ZHANG Hua, SHEN Xueshun, 2011: Radiative Forcing and Climate Response Due to Black Carbon in Snow and Ice, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 1336-1344.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-011-0117-5
    [11] Wang Huijun, 1992: The Seasonal Climatic Simulation of 9000 Years before Present by Using the IAP Atmospheric General Circulation Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 9, 451-457.  doi: 10.1007/BF02677077
    [12] Xiang LI, Yiyong LUO, 2016: Response of North Pacific Eastern Subtropical Mode Water to Greenhouse Gas Versus Aerosol Forcing, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 522-532.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5092-9
    [13] ZHANG Hua, ZHANG Ruoyu, and SHI Guangyu, 2013: An updated estimation of radiative forcing due to CO2 and its effect on global surface temperature change, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 30, 1017-1024.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-2204-7
    [14] ZHANG Hua, WANG Zhili, GUO Pinwen, WANG Zaizhi, 2009: A Modeling Study of the Effects of Direct Radiative Forcing Due to Carbonaceous Aerosol on the Climate in East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 57-66.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0057-5
    [15] LI Shu, WANG Tijian, ZHUANG Bingliang, HAN Yong, 2009: Indirect Radiative Forcing and Climatic Effect of the Anthropogenic Nitrate Aerosol on Regional Climate of China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 543-552.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0543-9
    [16] LI Guoqing, ZONG Haifeng, ZHANG Qingyun, 2011: 27.3-day and Average 13.6-day Periodic Oscillations in the Earth's Rotation Rate and Atmospheric Pressure Fields Due to Celestial Gravitation Forcing, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 45-58.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0011-6
    [17] XIONG Zhe, FU Congbin, ZHANG Qing, 2006: On the Ability of the Regional Climate Model RIEMS to Simulate the Present Climate over Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 23, 784-791.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-006-0784-9
    [18] Wang Huijun, 1994: Modelling the January and July Climate of 9000 Years before Present, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 11, 319-326.  doi: 10.1007/BF02658151
    [19] Huang Sixun, Zhang Ming, 1993: Study on Atmospheric Travelling Wave Solutions and Review of Its Present Developments, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 10, 435-446.  doi: 10.1007/BF02656968
    [20] Pengfei HAN, Ning ZENG, Bo YAO, Weijian ZHOU, Liqi CHEN, Shaoqiang WANG, Honggang LV, Wei XIAO, Lingyun ZHU, Jiaping XU, 2020: Preface to Special Topic on Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Measurement and Application in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 555-556.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-9300-x

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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 July 1992
Manuscript revised: 10 July 1992
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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Past, Present and Future Climatic Forcing due to Greenhouse Gases

  • 1. Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Academia Sinica, Beijing 100029,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Academia Sinica, Beijing 100029

Abstract: An advanced one-dimensional radiative-convective model (RCM) is used to estimate the past, present and fu-ture climatic forcings induced by greenhouse gases of anthropogenic origin, such as CO2, CH4, N2O and CFCs, in this paper. The results show that the decadal climatic forcing for the last decade is one-order bigger than that prior to the year 1900, and in the case of no control on the emission of the greenhouse gases the climatic forcing for the year 2100 will be almost 4 times as much as now.

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