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Some Unique Characteristics of Atmospheric Interannual Variability in Rainfall Time Series over India and the United Kingdom


doi: 10.1007/BF02656987

  • Continuous periodogram analyses of two 50-years (1871-1920 and 1936- 1985) of summer monsoon rainfall over the Indian region and one 84-years set (1893-1976) of winter half-year rainfall over England and Wales show that the power spectra of disparate rainfall regimes follow the universal and unique inverse power law form of the sta-tistical normal distribution with the percentage contribution to total variance representating the eddy probability cor-responding to the normalized standard deviation equal to [(log L / log T50)-l] where L is the period in years and T50 the period up to which the cumulative percentage contribution to total variance is equal to 50. The above results are consistent with a recently developed non-deterministic cell dynamical system model for atmospheric flows. The im-plications or the above results for prediction of interannual variability of rainfall is discussed.
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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 July 1995
Manuscript revised: 10 July 1995
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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Some Unique Characteristics of Atmospheric Interannual Variability in Rainfall Time Series over India and the United Kingdom

  • 1. Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune 411008, India,Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune 411008, India,Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune 411008, India

Abstract: Continuous periodogram analyses of two 50-years (1871-1920 and 1936- 1985) of summer monsoon rainfall over the Indian region and one 84-years set (1893-1976) of winter half-year rainfall over England and Wales show that the power spectra of disparate rainfall regimes follow the universal and unique inverse power law form of the sta-tistical normal distribution with the percentage contribution to total variance representating the eddy probability cor-responding to the normalized standard deviation equal to [(log L / log T50)-l] where L is the period in years and T50 the period up to which the cumulative percentage contribution to total variance is equal to 50. The above results are consistent with a recently developed non-deterministic cell dynamical system model for atmospheric flows. The im-plications or the above results for prediction of interannual variability of rainfall is discussed.

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