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Volume 5 Issue 1

Jan.  1988

Article Contents

THE TRIGGERING EFFECT OF NEAR-EQUATORIAL CYCLONES ON EL NI?O


doi: 10.1007/BF02657349

  • The relationship between tropical cyclones developing in the Northwest Pacific and El Ni?o is analysed and the triggering mechanism of the near-equatorial cyclones on El Ni?o is proposed. It is pointed out that the near-equalorial tropical cyclones developing equatorward of 10oN can intensify equatorial westerlies and produce Kelvin waves, which propagate to the South American Coasts in about 2-3 months, inducing SST to rise there. The near-equatoral cyclones play an essential role in El Ni?o. The beginning period of El Ni?o ranges from January to May. The number of near-equatorial cyclones developing in this period determines whether El Ni?o can be generated or not. The persistence period is from June to September. El Ni?o can not continue developing unless there are adequate near-equatorial cyclones. If there are not, the developed El Ni?o will be broken down. The period from October to December is called the developing period. During this period El Ni?o may approach its culmination only when adequate near-eqatorial cyclones have been developed east of 140oE, especially east of 160oE.
  • [1] YI Bingqi, 2010: Near-equatorial Typhoon Development: Climatology and Numerical Simulations, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 1014-1024.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9033-3
    [2] Xiaomeng SONG, Renhe ZHANG, Xinyao RONG, 2019: Influence of Intraseasonal Oscillation on the Asymmetric Decays of El Niño and La Niña, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, , 779-792.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-019-9029-6
    [3] SUN Jilin, Peter CHU, LIU Qinyu, 2006: The Role of the Halted Baroclinic Mode at the Central Equatorial Pacific in El Ni?no Event, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 23, 45-53.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-006-0005-6
    [4] Chengyang GUAN, Xin WANG, Haijun YANG, 2023: Understanding the Development of the 2018/19 Central Pacific El Niño, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 177-185.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-1410-1
    [5] YAN Bangliang, 2005: On the Mechanism of the Locking of the El Ni o Event Onset Phase to Boreal Spring, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 22, 741-750.  doi: 10.1007/BF02918717
    [6] ZHENG Fei, FENG Lisha, ZHU Jiang, 2015: An Incursion of Off-Equatorial Subsurface Cold Water and Its Role in Triggering the "Double Dip" La Niña Event of 2011, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 731-742.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-4080-9
    [7] Xuben LEI, Wenjun ZHANG, Pang-Chi HSU, Chao LIU, 2021: Distinctive MJO Activity during the Boreal Winter of the 2015/16 Super El Niño in Comparison with Other Super El Niño Events, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 555-568.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-0261-x
    [8] Fei LIU, Chen XING, Jinbao LI, Bin WANG, Jing CHAI, Chaochao GAO, Gang HUANG, Jian LIU, Deliang CHEN, 2020: Could the Recent Taal Volcano Eruption Trigger an El Niño and Lead to Eurasian Warming?, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 663-670.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-2041-z
    [9] Zhang Renhe, Zhao Gang, 2001: Meridional Wind Stress Anomalies over the Tropical Pacific and the Onset of El Ni?o Part Ⅱ: Dynamical Analysis, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 18, 1053-1065.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-001-0022-4
    [10] Bo PANG, Zesheng CHEN, Zhiping WEN, Riyu LU, 2016: Impacts of Two Types of El Niño on the MJO during Boreal Winter, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 979-986.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-5272-2
    [11] Fei ZHENG, Jin-Yi YU, 2017: Contrasting the Skills and Biases of Deterministic Predictions for the Two Types of El Niño, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 1395-1403.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6324-y
    [12] Dan WANG, Aihui WANG, Lianlian XU, Xianghui KONG, 2020: The Linkage between Two Types of El Niño Events and Summer Streamflow over the Yellow and Yangtze River Basins, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 160-172.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-019-9049-2
    [13] Wansuo DUAN, Chaoming HUANG, Hui XU, 2017: Nonlinearity Modulating Intensities and Spatial Structures of Central Pacific and Eastern Pacific El Niño Events, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 737-756.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6148-9
    [14] Yuanpu LI, Wenshou TIAN, 2017: Different Impact of Central Pacific and Eastern Pacific El Niño on the Duration of Sudden Stratospheric Warming, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 771-782.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6286-0
    [15] N. FREYCHET, S. SPARROW, S.F. B. TETT, M.J. MINETER, G.C. HEGERL, D.C. H. WALLOM, 2018: Impacts of Anthropogenic Forcings and El Niño on Chinese Extreme Temperatures, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 35, 994-1002.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7258-8
    [16] Congxi FANG, Yu LIU, Qiufang CAI, Huiming SONG, 2021: Why Does Extreme Rainfall Occur in Central China during the Summer of 2020 after a Weak El Niño?, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 2067-2081.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1009-y
    [17] Fei LIU, Chen XING, Jinbao LI, Bin WANG, Jing CHAI, Chaochao GAO, Gang HUANG, Jian LIU, Deliang CHEN, 2020: Erratum to: Could the Recent Taal Volcano Eruption Trigger an El Niño and Lead to Eurasian Warming?, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 1295-1295.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-2013-3
    [18] E. K. KRISHNA KUMAR, S. ABHILASH, SANKAR SYAM, P. VIJAYKUMAR, K. R. SANTOSH, A.V. SREENATH, 2023: Contrasting Regional Responses of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall to Exhausted Spring and Concurrently Emerging Summer El Niño Events, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 697-710.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-2114-2
    [19] Kexin LI, Fei ZHENG, Jiang ZHU, Qing-Cun ZENG, 2024: El Niño and the AMO Sparked the Astonishingly Large Margin of Warming in the Global Mean Surface Temperature in 2023, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3371-4
    [20] Junya HU, Hongna WANG, Chuan GAO, Rong-Hua ZHANG, 2024: Different El Niño Flavors and Associated Atmospheric Teleconnections as Simulated in a Hybrid Coupled Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 41, 864-880.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3082-x

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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 January 1988
Manuscript revised: 10 January 1988
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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THE TRIGGERING EFFECT OF NEAR-EQUATORIAL CYCLONES ON EL NI?O

  • 1. National Research Center for Environmental Forecasts, State Oceanic Administration, Beijing,National Research Center for Environmental Forecasts, State Oceanic Administration, Beijing,National Research Center for Environmental Forecasts, State Oceanic Administration, Beijing

Abstract: The relationship between tropical cyclones developing in the Northwest Pacific and El Ni?o is analysed and the triggering mechanism of the near-equatorial cyclones on El Ni?o is proposed. It is pointed out that the near-equalorial tropical cyclones developing equatorward of 10oN can intensify equatorial westerlies and produce Kelvin waves, which propagate to the South American Coasts in about 2-3 months, inducing SST to rise there. The near-equatoral cyclones play an essential role in El Ni?o. The beginning period of El Ni?o ranges from January to May. The number of near-equatorial cyclones developing in this period determines whether El Ni?o can be generated or not. The persistence period is from June to September. El Ni?o can not continue developing unless there are adequate near-equatorial cyclones. If there are not, the developed El Ni?o will be broken down. The period from October to December is called the developing period. During this period El Ni?o may approach its culmination only when adequate near-eqatorial cyclones have been developed east of 140oE, especially east of 160oE.

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