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Volume 3 Issue 4

Oct.  1986

Article Contents

DIVISION AND EVOLUTION OF DROUGHT AND FLOOD PHASES DURING THE LATEST 200 YEARS IN EASTERN CHINA


doi: 10.1007/BF02657940

  • Based on the past 200-year graded data of dryness/wetness in eastern China (24 stations), five phases to show the floods and droughts have been objectively divided by using the approach of cluster analysis of a sequential sample. The characteristics of flood/drought evolution have been described and explained. It is concluded that the floods or droughts occurred more often for the past two centuries, and the normal phase was seldom seen in eastern China. The transitions between floods and droughts are frequently of jumping feature. The extent and the frequency of serious drought or heavy flood in eastern China tended to expand and increase significantly in the last 50 years. Finally, by using the Walsh power spectrum, the periodicity of dryness/wetness graded series has been analysed. It is found that there exist the 2-9 year high-frequency fluctuations in eastern China.
  • [1] Zhuoyuan LI, Qing YANG, Dian YUAN, Er LU, Zhuguo MA, 2023: Causes of a Typical Southern Flood and Northern Drought Event in 2015 over Eastern China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 2092-2107.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2342-0
    [2] C. V. Singh, 1998: Relationships between Rainy Days, Mean Daily Intensity and Seasonal Rainfall in Normal, Flood and Drought Years over India, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 15, 424-432.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-998-0012-x
    [3] Minmin WU, Rong-Hua ZHANG, Junya HU, Hai ZHI, 2024: Synergistic Interdecadal Evolution of Precipitation over Eastern China and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation during 1951–2015, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 41, 53-72.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3011-z
    [4] Zhou Jiabin, Wang Yunkuan, Yang Guiying, Wu Jinsheng, 1994: A Forecasting Model of Vector Similarity in Phase Space for Flood and Drought over the Huanghe-Huaihe-Haihe Plain in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 11, 224-229.  doi: 10.1007/BF02666548
    [5] He Jinhai, Zhou Xueming, Ye Rongsheng, 1995: Numerical Study of Ural Blocking High’s Effect Upon Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation and East China Flood and Drought, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 12, 361-370.  doi: 10.1007/BF02656985
    [6] Shi Neng, Zhu Qiangen, 1993: Studies on the Northern Early Summer Teleconnection Patterns, Their Interannual Variations and Relation to Drought / Flood in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 10, 155-168.  doi: 10.1007/BF02919138
    [7] YUAN Weihua, YU Rucong, LI Jian, 2013: Changes in the Diurnal Cycles of Precipitation over Eastern China in the Past 40 Years, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 30, 461-467.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-2092-x
    [8] Chen Longxun, Shao Yongning, Dong Min, Ren Zhenhai, Tian Guangsheng, 1991: Preliminary Analysis of Climatic Variation during the Last 39 Years in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 8, 279-288.  doi: 10.1007/BF02919610
    [9] Yawen DUAN, Peili WU, Xiaolong CHEN, Zhuguo MA, 2018: Assessing Global Warming Induced Changes in Summer Rainfall Variability over Eastern China Using the Latest Hadley Centre Climate Model HadGEM3-GC2, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 35, 1077-1093.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7264-x
    [10] Xiong Anyuan, Wu Yijin, Cai Shuming, 1999: Reconstruction of the Rainfall in Rainy Season Based on Historical Drought/ Flood Grades, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 16, 147-153.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-999-0010-7
    [11] Lu LIU, Lingkun RAN, Shouting GAO, 2016: Evolution of Instability before and during a Torrential Rainstorm in North China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 110-120.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5080-0
    [12] Yueyue LI, Li DAN, Jing PENG, Junbang WANG, Fuqiang YANG, Dongdong GAO, Xiujing YANG, Qiang YU, 2021: Response of Growing Season Gross Primary Production to El Niño in Different Phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation over Eastern China Based on Bayesian Model Averaging, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 1580-1595.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-0265-1
    [13] YE Duzheng, JIANG Yundi, DONG Wenjie, 2003: The Northward Shift of Climatic Belts in China During the Last 50 Years and the Corresponding Seasonal Responses, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 20, 959-967.  doi: 10.1007/BF02915519
    [14] Quansheng GE, Haolong LIU, Xiang MA, Jingyun ZHENG, Zhixin HAO, 2017: Characteristics of Temperature Change in China over the Last 2000 years and Spatial Patterns of Dryness/Wetness during Cold and Warm Periods, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 941-951.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6238-8
    [15] Liu Yongqiang, Ding Yihui, Li Yuehong, 1992: Transport of Water Vapor over North China during the Drought Period in Summer of 1980, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 9, 213-222.  doi: 10.1007/BF02657511
    [16] Tang Maocang, Li Tianshi, Zhang Jian, Li Cunqiang, 1989: The Operational Forecasting of Total Precipitation in Flood Seasons (April to September) of 5 Years (1983-1987), ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 6, 289-300.  doi: 10.1007/BF02661535
    [17] YANG Hui, LI Chongyin, 2003: The Relation between Atmospheric Intraseasonal Oscillation and Summer Severe Flood and Drought in the Changjiang-Huaihe River Basin, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 20, 540-553.  doi: 10.1007/BF02915497
    [18] Xia LI, Keming ZHAO, Shiyuan ZHONG, Xiaojing YU, Zhimin FENG, Yuting ZHONG, Ayitken MAULEN, Shuting LI, 2023: Evolution of Meteorological Conditions during a Heavy Air Pollution Event under the Influence of Shallow Foehn in Urumqi, China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 29-43.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-1422-x
    [19] Li Xiaodong, Zhu Yafen, Qian Weihong, 2002: Spatiotemporai Variations of Summer Rainfall over Eastern China during 1880-1999, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 19, 1055-1068.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-002-0064-2
    [20] ZHAI Guoqing, LI Xiaofan, ZHU Peijun, SHEN Hangfeng, ZHANG Yuanzhi, 2014: Surface Rainfall and Cloud Budgets Associated with Mei-yu Torrential Rainfall over Eastern China during June 2011, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 1435-1444.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-3256-7

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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 October 1986
Manuscript revised: 10 October 1986
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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DIVISION AND EVOLUTION OF DROUGHT AND FLOOD PHASES DURING THE LATEST 200 YEARS IN EASTERN CHINA

  • 1. Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing,Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing

Abstract: Based on the past 200-year graded data of dryness/wetness in eastern China (24 stations), five phases to show the floods and droughts have been objectively divided by using the approach of cluster analysis of a sequential sample. The characteristics of flood/drought evolution have been described and explained. It is concluded that the floods or droughts occurred more often for the past two centuries, and the normal phase was seldom seen in eastern China. The transitions between floods and droughts are frequently of jumping feature. The extent and the frequency of serious drought or heavy flood in eastern China tended to expand and increase significantly in the last 50 years. Finally, by using the Walsh power spectrum, the periodicity of dryness/wetness graded series has been analysed. It is found that there exist the 2-9 year high-frequency fluctuations in eastern China.

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