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A Modeling Study of Climatic Change and Its Implication for Agriculture in China Part I: Climatic Change in China


doi: 10.1007/BF02658154

  • The trends and features of China’s climatic change in the past and future are analysed by applying station obser-vations and GCM simulation results. Nationally, the country has warmed by 0.3oC in annual mean air temperature and decreased by 5% in annual precipitation over 1951-1990. Regionally, temperature change has varied from a cooling of 0.3oC in Southwest China to a warming of 1.0oC in Northeast China. With the exception of South China, all regions of China have shown a declination in precipitation. Climatic change has the features of increasing remark-ably in winter temperature and decreasing obviously in summer precipitation. Under doubled CO2 concentration, climatic change in China will tend to be warmer and moister, with increases of 4.5oC in annual mean air temperature and 11% in annual precipitation on the national scale. Future climatic change will reduce the temporal and spatial differences of climatic factors.
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    [9] Jianping DUAN, Hongzhou ZHU, Li DAN, Qiuhong TANG, 2023: Recent Progress in Studies on the Influences of Human Activity on Regional Climate over China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 1362-1378.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2327-z
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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 July 1994
Manuscript revised: 10 July 1994
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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A Modeling Study of Climatic Change and Its Implication for Agriculture in China Part I: Climatic Change in China

  • 1. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081,Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081

Abstract: The trends and features of China’s climatic change in the past and future are analysed by applying station obser-vations and GCM simulation results. Nationally, the country has warmed by 0.3oC in annual mean air temperature and decreased by 5% in annual precipitation over 1951-1990. Regionally, temperature change has varied from a cooling of 0.3oC in Southwest China to a warming of 1.0oC in Northeast China. With the exception of South China, all regions of China have shown a declination in precipitation. Climatic change has the features of increasing remark-ably in winter temperature and decreasing obviously in summer precipitation. Under doubled CO2 concentration, climatic change in China will tend to be warmer and moister, with increases of 4.5oC in annual mean air temperature and 11% in annual precipitation on the national scale. Future climatic change will reduce the temporal and spatial differences of climatic factors.

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