Advanced Search
Impact Factor: 5.8

Volume 20 Issue 5

Sep.  2003

Article Contents
Article >  ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES  > 2003 >  20(5): 755-766

The Change of North China Climate in Transient Simulations Using the IPCC SRES A2 and B2 Scenarios with a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model

  • 1.

    LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,Meteorologisches Institut der Freien Universitaet Berlin, Care-Heinrich-Becker Weg 6-10, 12165,Institute of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081,LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029


doi: 10.1007/BF02915400

  • This paper applies the newest emission scenarios of the sulfur and greenhouse gases, namely IPCCSRES A2 and B2 scenarios, to investigate the change of the North China climate with an atmosphere-oceancoupled general circulation nodel. In the last three decades of the 21st century, the global warming enlargesthe land-sea thermal contrast, and hence, causes the East Asian summer (winter) monsoon circulation tobe strengthened (weakened). The rainfall seasonality strengthens and the summer precipitation increasessignificantly in North China. It is suggested that the East Asian rainy area would expand northward toNorth China in the last three decades of the 21st century. In addition, the North China precipitationwould increase significantly in September. In July, August, and September, the interannual variability ofthe precipitation enlarges evidently over North China, implying a risk of flooding in the future.
  • [1] Gao Ge, Huang Chaoying, 2001: Climate Change and Its Impact on Water Resources in North China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 18, 718-732.  doi: 10.1007/BF03403497
    [2] JIANG Dabang, 2008: Projected Potential Vegetation Change in China under the SRES A2 and B2 Scenarios, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 25, 126-138.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-008-0126-1
    [3] REN Guoyu, DING Yihui, ZHAO Zongci, ZHENG Jingyun, WU Tongwen, TANG Guoli, XU Ying, 2012: Recent Progress in Studies of Climate Change in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 29, 958-977.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-1200-2
    [4] ZHANG Lixia* and ZHOU Tianjun, , 2014: An Assessment of Improvements in Global Monsoon Precipitation Simulation in FGOALS-s2, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 165-178.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2164-6
    [5] ZENG Heqing, JIA Gensuo, 2013: Impacts of Snow Cover on Vegetation Phenology in the Arctic from Satellite Data, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 30, 1421-1432.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-2173-x
    [6] Dai Xiaosu, Ding Yihui, 1994: A Modeling Study of Climate Change and Its Implication for Agriculture in China Part II: The Implication of Climate Change for Agriculture in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 11, 499-506.  doi: 10.1007/BF02658171
    [7] DING Yihui, REN Guoyu, ZHAO Zongci, XU Ying, LUO Yong, LI Qiaoping, ZHANG Jin, 2007: Detection, Causes and Projection of Climate Change over China: An Overview of Recent Progress, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 954-971.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0954-4
    [8] Xue Feng, Zeng Qingcun, 1999: Diagnostic Study on Seasonality and Interannual Variability of Wind Field, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 16, 537-543.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-999-0029-9
    [9] SONG Lianchun, A. J. CANNON, P. H. WHITFIELD, 2007: Changes in Seasonal Patterns of Temperature and Precipitation in China During 1971--2000, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 459-473.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0459-1
    [10] GUAN Zhaoyong, LU Chuhan, MEI Shilong, CONG Jing, 2010: Seasonality of Interannual Inter-hemispheric Oscillations over the Past Five Decades, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 1043-1050.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9126-z
    [11] XU Yongfu, HUANG Yao, LI Yangchun, 2012: Summary of Recent Climate Change Studies on the Carbon and Nitrogen Cycles in the Terrestrial Ecosystem and Ocean in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 29, 1027-1047.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-1206-9
    [12] LIANG Feng, TAO Shiyan, WEI Jie, BUEH Cholaw, 2011: Variation in Summer Rainfall in North China during the Period 1956--2007 and Links with Atmospheric Circulation, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 363-374.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-9220-2
    [13] ZHANG Wen, HUANG Yao, SUN Wenjuan, YU Yongqiang, 2007: Simulating Crop Net Primary Production in China from 2000 to 2050 by Linking the Crop-C model with a FGOALS's Model Climate Change Scenario, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 845-854.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0845-8
    [14] Hu Zengzhen, Tsuyoshi Nitta, 1997: Seasonality of the Interaction between Convection over the Western Pacific and General Circulation in the Northern Hemisphere, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 14, 541-553.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-997-0072-3
    [15] HAN Zuoqiang, YAN Zhongwei*, LI Zhen, LIU Weidong, and WANG Yingchun, 2014: Impact of Urbanization on Low-Temperature Precipitation in Beijing during 19602008, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 48-56.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2211-3
    [16] Xuexu WU, Minghuai WANG, Delong ZHAO, Daniel ROSENFELD, Yannian ZHU, Yuanmou DU, Wei ZHOU, Ping TIAN, Jiujiang SHENG, Fei WANG, Deping DING, 2022: The Microphysical Characteristics of Wintertime Cold Clouds in North China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 39, 2056-2070.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-1274-4
    [17] Xiujing YU, Guoyu REN, Panfeng ZHANG, Jingbiao HU, Ning LIU, Jianping LI, Chenchen ZHANG, 2020: Extreme Temperature Change of the Last 110 Years in Changchun, Northeast China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 347-358.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-9165-z
    [18] REN Baohua, LU Riyu, XIAO Ziniu, 2004: A Possible Linkage in the Interdecadal Variability of Rainfall over North China and the Sahel, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 21, 699-707.  doi: 10.1007/BF02916367
    [19] LIN Wenshi, Cholaw BUEH, 2006: The Cloud Processes of a Simulated Moderate Snowfall Event in North China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 23, 235-242.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-006-0235-7
    [20] Dongxu YANG, Yi LIU, Hartmut BOESCH, Lu YAO, Antonio DI NOIA, Zhaonan CAI, Naimeng LU, Daren LYU, Maohua WANG, Jing WANG, Zengshan YIN, Yuquan ZHENG, 2021: A New TanSat XCO2 Global Product towards Climate Studies, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 8-11.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-0297-y
PDF

Get Citation+

shu
Export:  

Share Article

Article Metrics

Article Views: 1361 Times

PDF downloads: 1168 Times

Cited by: Times
  • 加载中

    • Manuscript History

    Manuscript received: 10 September 2003
    Manuscript revised: 10 September 2003
    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    The Change of North China Climate in Transient Simulations Using the IPCC SRES A2 and B2 Scenarios with a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model

    • 1. LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,Meteorologisches Institut der Freien Universitaet Berlin, Care-Heinrich-Becker Weg 6-10, 12165,Institute of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081,LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029
    • Manuscript received: 2003-09-10
    • Manuscript revised: 2003-09-10

    Abstract: This paper applies the newest emission scenarios of the sulfur and greenhouse gases, namely IPCCSRES A2 and B2 scenarios, to investigate the change of the North China climate with an atmosphere-oceancoupled general circulation nodel. In the last three decades of the 21st century, the global warming enlargesthe land-sea thermal contrast, and hence, causes the East Asian summer (winter) monsoon circulation tobe strengthened (weakened). The rainfall seasonality strengthens and the summer precipitation increasessignificantly in North China. It is suggested that the East Asian rainy area would expand northward toNorth China in the last three decades of the 21st century. In addition, the North China precipitationwould increase significantly in September. In July, August, and September, the interannual variability ofthe precipitation enlarges evidently over North China, implying a risk of flooding in the future.

      HTML

    Catalog

      Publish with AAS

      Contact us

      Links

      Copyright © 2018-2028 ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 京ICP备14024088号-7

      Supported by: Beijing Renhe Information Technology Co. Ltd  support: info@rhhz.net  

      /

      DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
      Return
      Return