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Volume 7 Issue 2

Mar.  1990

Article Contents

Global Annual Mean Surface Air Temperature Anomalies and Their Link with Indian Summer Monsoon Failures


doi: 10.1007/BF02919162

  • Analysis of the global mean annual temperature anomalies based on land and marine data for the last 88 years (1901-1988) of this century has been carried out with a view to find any relationship with failures in Indian summer monsoon rainfall. On the climatological scale (i.e. 30 years) it has been noticed that there is as abnormal increase in the frequency of drought years during epochs of global warming and cooling, while it is considerably less when global temperatures are near normal. Results are unchanged even when the data are filtered out for ENSO (El-Nino South-ern Oscillation) effect.It has also been noticed that during warm and cold epochs in global temperatures the amount of summer mon-soon rainfall decreases as compared to the rainfall during a normal temperature epoch.
  • [1] Qian yongfu, Wang Qianqian, 2000: Numerical Simulations of Anomalies of Precipitation and Surface Air Temperature in China in the Summer of 1997, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 17, 221-233.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-000-0005-x
    [2] Wei CHEN, Xiaowei HONG, Riyu LU, Aifen JIN, Shizhu JIN, Jae-Cheol NAM, Jin-Ho SHIN, Tae-Young GOO, Baek-Jo KIM, 2016: Variation in Summer Surface Air Temperature over Northeast Asia and Its Associated Circulation Anomalies, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 1-9.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5056-0
    [3] LIN Pengfei, LIU Hailong, YU Yongqiang, ZHANG Xuehong, 2011: Response of Sea Surface Temperature to Chlorophyll-a Concentration in the Tropical Pacific: Annual Mean, Seasonal Cycle, and Interannual Variability, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 492-510.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0015-2
    [4] LI Qingxiang, LIU Xiaoning, ZHANG Hongzheng, Thomas C. PETERSON, David R. EASTERLING, 2004: Detecting and Adjusting Temporal Inhomogeneity in Chinese Mean Surface Air Temperature Data, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 21, 260-268.  doi: 10.1007/BF02915712
    [5] Jeong-Hyeong LEE, Keon-Tae SOHN, 2007: Prediction of Monthly Mean Surface Air Temperature in a Region of China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 503-508.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0503-1
    [6] Chaofan LI, Riyu LU, Philip E. BETT, Adam A. SCAIFE, Nicola MARTIN, 2018: Skillful Seasonal Forecasts of Summer Surface Air Temperature in Western China by Global Seasonal Forecast System Version 5, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 35, 955-964.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7291-7
    [7] Alexey V.ELISEEV, Igor I. MOKHOV, 2003: Amplitude-Phase Characteristics of the Annual Cycle of Surface Air Temperature in the Northern Hemisphere, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 20, 1-16.  doi: 10.1007/BF03342045
    [8] Alexey V. ELISEEV, Igor I. MOKHOV, Konstantin G. RUBINSTEIN, Maria S. GUSEVA, 2004: Atmospheric and Coupled Model Intercomparison in Terms of Amplitude-Phase Characteristics of Surface Air Temperature Annual Cycle, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 21, 837-847.  doi: 10.1007/BF02915586
    [9] Xue Feng, 2001: Interannual to Interdecadal Variation of East Asian Summer Monsoon and its Association with the Global Atmospheric Circulation and Sea Surface Temperature, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 18, 567-575.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-001-0045-x
    [10] M. Sankar-Rao, V. N. Lykossov, E. M. Volodin, A. E. Nikitin, A. I. Degtiarev, Kusuma G. Rao, 1991: Relationships between the Global General Circulation and the Indian Summer Monsoon, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 8, 137-148.  doi: 10.1007/BF02658090
    [11] Kexin LI, Fei ZHENG, Jiang ZHU, Qing-Cun ZENG, 2024: El Niño and the AMO Sparked the Astonishingly Large Margin of Warming in the Global Mean Surface Temperature in 2023, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3371-4
    [12] MAN Wenmin, and ZHOU Tianjun, 2014: Regional-scale Surface Air Temperature and East Asian Summer Monsoon Changes during the Last Millennium Simulated by the FGOALS-gl Climate System Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 765-778.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3123-y
    [13] Lixia ZHANG, Tianjun ZHOU, Nicholas P. KLINGAMAN, Peili WU, Malcolm ROBERTS, 2018: Effect of Horizontal Resolution on the Representation of the Global Monsoon Annual Cycle in AGCMs, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 35, 1003-1020.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7273-9
    [14] ZHAO Xia, LI Jianping, ZHANG Wenjun, 2012: Summer Persistence Barrier of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in the Central Western North Pacific, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 29, 1159-1173.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-1253-2
    [15] Xia ZHAO, Guang YANG, Jing WANG, 2018: Persistence of Summer Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in the Midlatitude North Pacific and Its Interdecadal Variability, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 35, 868-880.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-7184-1
    [16] HUANG Danqing, QIAN Yongfu, ZHU Jian, 2010: Trends of Temperature Extremes in China and its Relationship with Global temperature anomalies Relationship with Global Temperature Anomalies, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 937-946.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9085-4
    [17] CHEN Wei, and LU Riyu, 2014: A Decadal Shift of Summer Surface Air Temperature over Northeast Asia around the Mid-1990s, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 735-742.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3154-4
    [18] ZHOU Tianjun, SONG Fengfei, and CHEN Xiaolong, 2013: Historical Evolution of Global and Regional Surface Air Temperature Simulated by FGOALS-s2 and FGOALS-g2: How Reliable Are the Model Results?, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 30, 638-657.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2205-1
    [19] WU Bingyi, 2005: Weakening of Indian Summer Monsoon in Recent Decades, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 22, 21-29.  doi: 10.1007/BF02930866
    [20] S.G. Narkhedkar, 1995: The Variability of the Interannual Oscillations of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 12, 95-102.  doi: 10.1007/BF02661291

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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 March 1990
Manuscript revised: 10 March 1990
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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Global Annual Mean Surface Air Temperature Anomalies and Their Link with Indian Summer Monsoon Failures

  • 1. Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune-411005, India,Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune-411005, India,Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune-411005, India

Abstract: Analysis of the global mean annual temperature anomalies based on land and marine data for the last 88 years (1901-1988) of this century has been carried out with a view to find any relationship with failures in Indian summer monsoon rainfall. On the climatological scale (i.e. 30 years) it has been noticed that there is as abnormal increase in the frequency of drought years during epochs of global warming and cooling, while it is considerably less when global temperatures are near normal. Results are unchanged even when the data are filtered out for ENSO (El-Nino South-ern Oscillation) effect.It has also been noticed that during warm and cold epochs in global temperatures the amount of summer mon-soon rainfall decreases as compared to the rainfall during a normal temperature epoch.

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