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Volume 18 Issue 1

Jan.  2001

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Article >  ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES  > 2001 >  18(1): 53-66

Simulation of Climate Change Induced by CO2 Increasing for East Asia with IAP/LASG GOALS Model

  • 1.

    LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029


doi: 10.1007/s00376-001-0004-6

  • Two simulations, one for the control run and another for the perturbation run, with a global coupled ocean-atmosphere-land system model (IAP / LASG GOALS version 4) have been carried out to study the global warming, with much detailed emphasis on East Asia. Results indicate that there is no climate drift in the control run and at the time of CO2 doubling the global temperature increases about 1.65℃. The GOALS model is able to simulate the observed spatial distribution and annual cycles of temperature and precipitation for East Asia quite well. But, in general, the model underestimates temperature and overestimates rainfall amount for regional annual average. For the climate change in East Asia, the temperature and precipitation in East Asia increase 2. l℃ and 5% respectively, and the maximum warming occurs at middle-latitude continent and the maximum precipitation increase occurs around 25°N with reduced precipitation in the tropical western Pacific.
  • [1] Wang Huijun, 2000: The Interannual Variability of East Asian Monsoon and Its Relationship with SST in a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Land Climate Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 17, 31-47.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-000-0041-6
    [2] XU Ying, GAO Xuejie, F. GIORGI, 2009: Regional Variability of Climate Change Hot-spots in East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 783-792.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9034-2
    [3] LI Hongmei, ZHOU Tianjun, LI Chao, 2010: Decreasing Trend in Global Land Monsoon Precipitation over the Past 50 Years Simulated by a Coupled Climate Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 285-292.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-8173-9
    [4] Dabang JIANG, Dan HU, Zhiping TIAN, Xianmei LANG, 2020: Differences between CMIP6 and CMIP5 Models in Simulating Climate over China and the East Asian Monsoon, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 1102-1118.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-2034-y
    [5] WANG Jia, ZHI Xiefei, and CHEN Yuwen, 2013: Probabilistic multimodel ensemble prediction of decadal variability of East Asian surface air temperature based on IPCC-AR5 near-term climate simulations, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 30, 1129-1142.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-2182-9
    [6] LI Hongmei, FENG Lei, ZHOU Tianjun, 2011: Multi-model Projection of July--August Climate Extreme Changes over China under CO$_{2}$ Doubling. Part I: Precipitation, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 433-447.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0013-4
    [7] LI Hongmei, FENG Lei, ZHOU Tianjun, 2011: Multi-Model Projection of July--August Climate Extreme Changes over China under CO2 Doubling. Part II: Temperature, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 448-463.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0052-x
    [8] CAO Jian, Bin WANG, Baoqiang XIANG, Juan LI, WU Tianjie, Xiouhua FU, WU Liguang, MIN Jinzhong, 2015: Major Modes of Short-Term Climate Variability in the Newly Developed NUIST Earth System Model (NESM), ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 585-600.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-4200-6
    [9] Wang Zifa, Huang Meiyuan, He Dongyang, Xu Huaying, Zhou Ling, 1996: Sulfur Distribution and Transport Studies in East Asia Using Eulerian Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 13, 399-409.  doi: 10.1007/BF02656856
    [10] LIU Qianxia, ZHANG Meigen, WANG Bin, 2005: Simulation of Tropospheric Ozone with MOZART-2:An Evaluation Study over East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 22, 585-594.  doi: 10.1007/BF02918490
    [11] GAO Lijie, ZHANG Meigen, HAN Zhiwei, 2009: Model Analysis of Seasonal Variations in Tropospheric Ozone and Carbon Monoxide over East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 312-318.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0312-9
    [12] Samuel Takele KENEA, Young-Suk OH, Jae-Sang RHEE, Tae-Young GOO, Young-Hwa BYUN, Shanlan LI, Lev D. LABZOVSKII, Haeyoung LEE, Robert F. BANKS, 2019: Evaluation of Simulated CO2 Concentrations from the CarbonTracker-Asia Model Using In-situ Observations over East Asia for 2009-2013, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 36, 603-613.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-019-8150-x
    [13] Gong-Wang Si, Kuranoshin Kato, Takao Takeda, 1995: The Early Summer Seasonal Change of Large-scale Circulation over East Asia and Its Relation to Change of The Frontal Features and Frontal Rainfall Environment During 1991 Summer, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 12, 151-176.  doi: 10.1007/BF02656829
    [14] Ruth GEEN, Marianne PIETSCHNIG, Shubhi AGRAWAL, Dipanjan DEY, F. Hugo LAMBERT, Geoffrey K. VALLIS, 2023: The Relationship between Model Biases in East Asian Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Land Evaporation, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 2029-2042.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2297-1
    [15] WANG Xinmin, ZHAI Panmao, WANG Cuicui, 2009: Variations in Extratropical Cyclone Activity in Northern East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 471-479.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0471-8
    [16] LI Jiawei, HAN Zhiwei, 2012: A Modeling Study of Seasonal Variation of Atmospheric Aerosols over East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 29, 101-117.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-011-0234-1
    [17] Fei WANG, Hua ZHANG, Qi CHEN, Min ZHAO, Ting YOU, 2020: Analysis of Short-term Cloud Feedback in East Asia Using Cloud Radiative Kernels, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 1007-1018.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-9281-9
    [18] Zhenxi ZHANG, Wen ZHOU, Mark WENIG, Liangui YANG, 2017: Impact of Long-range Desert Dust Transport on Hydrometeor Formation over Coastal East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 101-115.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-6157-0
    [19] Sining LING, Riyu LU, Hao LIU, Yali YANG, 2023: Interannual Meridional Displacement of the Upper-Tropospheric Westerly Jet over Western East Asia in Summer, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 1298-1308.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-2279-8
    [20] Xiaohan LI, Yi ZHANG, Yanluan LIN, Xindong PENG, Baiquan ZHOU, Panmao ZHAI, Jian LI, 2023: Impact of Revised Trigger and Closure of the Double-Plume Convective Parameterization on Precipitation Simulations over East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 1225-1243.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-2225-9
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    • Manuscript History

    Manuscript received: 10 January 2001
    Manuscript revised: 10 January 2001
    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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    Simulation of Climate Change Induced by CO2 Increasing for East Asia with IAP/LASG GOALS Model

    • 1. LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029
    • Manuscript received: 2001-01-10
    • Manuscript revised: 2001-01-10

    Abstract: Two simulations, one for the control run and another for the perturbation run, with a global coupled ocean-atmosphere-land system model (IAP / LASG GOALS version 4) have been carried out to study the global warming, with much detailed emphasis on East Asia. Results indicate that there is no climate drift in the control run and at the time of CO2 doubling the global temperature increases about 1.65℃. The GOALS model is able to simulate the observed spatial distribution and annual cycles of temperature and precipitation for East Asia quite well. But, in general, the model underestimates temperature and overestimates rainfall amount for regional annual average. For the climate change in East Asia, the temperature and precipitation in East Asia increase 2. l℃ and 5% respectively, and the maximum warming occurs at middle-latitude continent and the maximum precipitation increase occurs around 25°N with reduced precipitation in the tropical western Pacific.

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