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Possible Impacts of Winter Arctic Oscillation on Siberian High, the East Asian Winter Monsoon and Sea-Ice Extent


doi: 10.1007/s00376-002-0024-x

  • Using the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset covering a 40-year period from January 1958 to December 1997, sea surface temperature (1950-1992), and monthly sea-ice concentration dataset for the period from 1953to 1995, we investigate connections between winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) and Siberian high (SH), the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM), and winter sea-ice extent in the Barents Sea. The results indicate that winter AO not only influences climate variations in the Arctic and the North Atlantic sector, but also shows possible effects on winter SH, and further influences EAWM. When winter AO is in its positive phase, both of winter SH and the EAWM are weaker than normal, and air temperature from near the surface to the middle troposphere is about 0.S-2°C higher than normal in the southeastern Siberia and the East Asian coast, including eastern China,Korea, and Japan. When AO reaches its negative phase, an opposite scenario can be observed. The results also indicate that winter SH has no significant effects on climate variations in Arctic and the ture in contrast to AO. This study further reveals the possible mechanism of how the winter AO is related to winter SH. It is found that winter SH variation is closely related to both dynamic processes and air temperature variations from the surface to the middle troposphere. The western SH variation mainly depends on dynamic processes, while its eastern part is more closely related to air temperature variation. The maintaining of winter SH mainly depends on downward motion of airflow of the nearly entire troposphere. The airflow originates from the North Atlantic sector, whose variation is influenced by the AO. When AO is in its positive (negative) phase,downward motion remarkably weakened (strengthened), which further influences winter SH. In addition, winter AO exhibits significant influences on the simultaneous sea-ice extent in the Barents Sea.
  • [1] Zhuozhuo Lü, Shengping HE, Fei LI, Huijun WANG, 2019: Impacts of the Autumn Arctic Sea Ice on the Intraseasonal Reversal of the Winter Siberian High, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 36, 173-188.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-8089-8
    [2] Hoffman H. N. CHEUNG, Noel KEENLYSIDE, Nour-Eddine OMRANI, Wen ZHOU, 2018: Remarkable Link between Projected Uncertainties of Arctic Sea-Ice Decline and Winter Eurasian Climate, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 35, 38-51.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-7156-5
    [3] Tae-Won PARK, Jee-Hoon JEONG, Chang-Hoi HO, Seong-Joong KIM, 2008: Characteristics of Atmospheric Circulation Associated with Cold Surge Occurrences in East Asia: A Case Study During 2005/06 Winter, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 25, 791-804.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-008-0791-0
    [4] FENG Juan*, CHEN Wen, 2014: Interference of the East Asian Winter Monsoon in the Impact of ENSO on the East Asian Summer Monsoon in Decaying Phases, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 344-354.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3118-8
    [5] LI Fei, WANG Huijun, 2013: Relationship between Bering Sea Ice Cover and East Asian Winter Monsoon Year-to-Year Variations, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 30, 48-56.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-2071-2
    [6] CHEN Shangfeng, CHEN Wen, WEI Ke, 2013: Recent Trends in Winter Temperature Extremes in Eastern China and their Relationship with the Arctic Oscillation and ENSO, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 30, 1712-1724.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2296-8
    [7] Yingxian ZHANG, Dong SI, Yihui DING, Dabang JIANG, Qingquan LI, Guofu WANG, 2022: Influence of Major Stratospheric Sudden Warming on the Unprecedented Cold Wave in East Asia in January 2021, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 39, 576-590.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-1318-9
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    [10] LU Riyu, LI Ying, Buwen DONG, 2007: Arctic Oscillation and Antarctic Oscillation in Internal Atmospheric Variability with an Ensemble AGCM Simulation, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 152-162.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0152-4
    [11] LI Fei, WANG Huijun, 2012: Predictability of the East Asian Winter Monsoon Interannual Variability as Indicated by the DEMETER CGCMS, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 29, 441-454.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-011-1115-3
    [12] Se-Hwan YANG, LU Riyu, 2014: Predictability of the East Asian Winter Monsoon Indices by the Coupled Models of ENSEMBLES, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 1279-1292.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-4020-8
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Manuscript received: 10 March 2002
Manuscript revised: 10 March 2002
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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Possible Impacts of Winter Arctic Oscillation on Siberian High, the East Asian Winter Monsoon and Sea-Ice Extent

  • 1. Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing,100029,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 University of Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska 99775

Abstract: Using the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset covering a 40-year period from January 1958 to December 1997, sea surface temperature (1950-1992), and monthly sea-ice concentration dataset for the period from 1953to 1995, we investigate connections between winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) and Siberian high (SH), the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM), and winter sea-ice extent in the Barents Sea. The results indicate that winter AO not only influences climate variations in the Arctic and the North Atlantic sector, but also shows possible effects on winter SH, and further influences EAWM. When winter AO is in its positive phase, both of winter SH and the EAWM are weaker than normal, and air temperature from near the surface to the middle troposphere is about 0.S-2°C higher than normal in the southeastern Siberia and the East Asian coast, including eastern China,Korea, and Japan. When AO reaches its negative phase, an opposite scenario can be observed. The results also indicate that winter SH has no significant effects on climate variations in Arctic and the ture in contrast to AO. This study further reveals the possible mechanism of how the winter AO is related to winter SH. It is found that winter SH variation is closely related to both dynamic processes and air temperature variations from the surface to the middle troposphere. The western SH variation mainly depends on dynamic processes, while its eastern part is more closely related to air temperature variation. The maintaining of winter SH mainly depends on downward motion of airflow of the nearly entire troposphere. The airflow originates from the North Atlantic sector, whose variation is influenced by the AO. When AO is in its positive (negative) phase,downward motion remarkably weakened (strengthened), which further influences winter SH. In addition, winter AO exhibits significant influences on the simultaneous sea-ice extent in the Barents Sea.

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