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The Impact of Atmospheric Heat Sources over the Eastern Tibetan Plateau and the Tropical Western Pacific on the Summer Rainfall over the Yangtze-River Basin


doi: 10.1007/s00376-006-0015-4

  • The variability of the summer rainfall over China is analyzed using the EOF procedure with a new parameter (namely, mode station variance percentage) based on 1951-2000 summer rainfall data from 160 stations in China. Compared with mode variance friction, the mode station variance percentage not only reveals more localized characteristics of the variability of the summer rainfall, but also helps to distinguish the regions with a high degree of dominant EOF modes representing the analyzed observational variable. The atmospheric circulation diagnostic studies with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis daily data from 1966 to 2000 show that in summer, abundant (scarce) rainfall in the belt-area from the upper-middle reaches of the Yangtze River northeastward to the Huaihe River basin is linked to strong (weak) heat sources over the eastern Tibetan Plateau, while the abundant (scarce) rainfall in the area to the south of the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River is closely linked to the weak (strong) heat sources over the tropical western Pacific.
  • [1] Wu Renguang, Chen Lieting, 1998: Decadal Variation of Summer Rainfall in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley and Its Relationship to Atmospheric Circulation Anomalies over East Asia and Western North Pacific, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 15, 510-522.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-998-0028-2
    [2] CAO Jie, LU Riyu, HU Jinming, WANG Hai, 2013: Spring Indian Ocean-Western Pacific SST Contrast and the East Asian Summer Rainfall Anomaly, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 30, 1560-1568.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2298-6
    [3] HAN Leqiong, LI Shuanglin, LIU Na, 2014: An Approach for Improving Short-Term Prediction of Summer Rainfall over North China by Decomposing Interannual and Decadal Variability, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 435-448.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3016-0
    [4] Yali ZHU, Tao WANG, Jiehua MA, 2016: Influence of Internal Decadal Variability on the Summer Rainfall in Eastern China as Simulated by CCSM4, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 706-714.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-5269-x
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    [6] LI Chun, MA Hao, 2011: Coupled Modes of Rainfall over China and the Pacific Sea Surface Temperature in Boreal Summertime, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 1201-1214.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-011-0127-3
    [7] XUE Feng, GUO Pinwen, YU Zhihao, 2003: Influence of Interannual Variability of Antarctic Sea-Ice on Summer Rainfall in Eastern China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 20, 97-102.  doi: 10.1007/BF03342053
    [8] Xuejie GAO, Ying SHI, Zhenyu HAN, Meili WANG, Jia WU, Dongfeng ZHANG, Ying XU, Filippo GIORGI, 2017: Performance of RegCM4 over Major River Basins in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 441-455.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-6179-7
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    [11] Kaiming HU, Yingxue LIU, Gang HUANG, Zhuoqi HE, Shang-Min LONG, 2020: Contributions to the Interannual Summer Rainfall Variability in the Mountainous Area of Central China and Their Decadal Changes, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 259-268.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-019-9099-5
    [12] WU Bingyi, ZHANG Renhe, Bin WANG, 2009: On the Association between Spring Arctic Sea Ice Concentration and Chinese Summer Rainfall: A Further Study, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 666-678.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9009-3
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    [16] Yang ZHAO, Xiangde XU, Bin CHEN, Yinjun Wang, 2016: The Upstream "Strong Signals" of the Water Vapor Transport over the Tibetan Plateau during a Heavy Rainfall Event in the Yangtze River Basin, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 1343-1350.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-6118-7
    [17] Xinyu LI, Riyu LU, 2021: Decadal Change in the Influence of the Western North Pacific Subtropical High on Summer Rainfall over the Yangtze River Basin in the Late 1970s, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 1823-1834.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1051-9
    [18] Philip E. BETT, Adam A. SCAIFE, Chaofan LI, Chris HEWITT, Nicola GOLDING, Peiqun ZHANG, Nick DUNSTONE, Doug M. SMITH, Hazel E. THORNTON, Riyu LU, Hong-Li REN, 2018: Seasonal Forecasts of the Summer 2016 Yangtze River Basin Rainfall, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 35, 918-926.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7210-y
    [19] Philip E. BETT, Nick DUNSTONE, Nicola GOLDING, Doug SMITH, Chaofan LI, 2023: Skilful Forecasts of Summer Rainfall in the Yangtze River Basin from November, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 2082-2091.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2251-2
    [20] Philip E. BETT, Gill M. MARTIN, Nick DUNSTONE, Adam A. SCAIFE, Hazel E. THORNTON, Chaofan LI, 2021: Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts for the Yangtze River Basin in the Extreme Summer of 2020, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 2212-2220.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1087-x

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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 January 2006
Manuscript revised: 10 January 2006
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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The Impact of Atmospheric Heat Sources over the Eastern Tibetan Plateau and the Tropical Western Pacific on the Summer Rainfall over the Yangtze-River Basin

  • 1. Research Center for Monsoon and Environment/Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen£Zhongshan¤University, Guangzhou 510275,Research Center for Monsoon and Environment/Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen£Zhongshan¤University, Guangzhou 510275,Research Center for Monsoon and Environment/Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen£Zhongshan¤University, Guangzhou 510275,Research Center for Monsoon and Environment/Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen£Zhongshan¤University, Guangzhou 510275

Abstract: The variability of the summer rainfall over China is analyzed using the EOF procedure with a new parameter (namely, mode station variance percentage) based on 1951-2000 summer rainfall data from 160 stations in China. Compared with mode variance friction, the mode station variance percentage not only reveals more localized characteristics of the variability of the summer rainfall, but also helps to distinguish the regions with a high degree of dominant EOF modes representing the analyzed observational variable. The atmospheric circulation diagnostic studies with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis daily data from 1966 to 2000 show that in summer, abundant (scarce) rainfall in the belt-area from the upper-middle reaches of the Yangtze River northeastward to the Huaihe River basin is linked to strong (weak) heat sources over the eastern Tibetan Plateau, while the abundant (scarce) rainfall in the area to the south of the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River is closely linked to the weak (strong) heat sources over the tropical western Pacific.

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