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Volume 24 Issue 6

Nov.  2007

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Article >  ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES  > 2007 >  24(6): 1099-1108

Numerical Weather Prediction in China in the New Century ---Progress, Problems and Prospects

  • 1.

    State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081,State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081


doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-1099-1

  • This paper summarizes the recent progress of numerical weather prediction (NWP) research since the last review was published. The new generation NWP system named GRAPES (the Global and Regional Assimilation and Prediction System), which consists of variational or sequential data assimilation and nonhydrostatic prediction model with options of configuration for either global or regional domains, is briefly introduced, with stress on their scientific design and preliminary results during pre-operational implementation. In addition to the development of GRAPES, the achievements in new methodologies of data assimilation, new improvements of model physics such as parameterization of clouds and planetary boundary layer, mesoscale ensemble prediction system and numerical prediction of air quality are presented. The scientific issues which should be emphasized for the future are discussed finally.
  • [1] GUO Xueliang, FU Danhong, LI Xingyu, HU Zhaoxia, LEI Henchi, XIAO Hui, HONG Yanchao, 2015: Advances in Cloud Physics and Weather Modification in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 230-249.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-0006-9
    [2] REN Guoyu, DING Yihui, ZHAO Zongci, ZHENG Jingyun, WU Tongwen, TANG Guoli, XU Ying, 2012: Recent Progress in Studies of Climate Change in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 29, 958-977.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-1200-2
    [3] XUE Hai-Le, SHEN Xue-Shun, CHOU Ji-Fan, 2013: A Forecast Error Correction Method in Numerical Weather Prediction by Using Recent Multiple-time Evolution Data, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 30, 1249-1259.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2274-1
    [4] Jianhua LU, 2021: Chen-Chao Koo and the Early Numerical Weather Prediction Experiments in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 707-716.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-0268-y
    [5] XUE Jishan, 2004: Progresses of Researches on Numerical Weather Prediction in China: 1999-2002, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 21, 467-474.  doi: 10.1007/BF02915573
    [6] JIANG Dabang, YU Ge, ZHAO Ping, CHEN Xing, LIU Jian, LIU Xiaodong, WANG Shaowu, ZHANG Zhongshi, YU Yongqiang, LI Yuefeng, JIN Liya, XU Ying, JU Lixia, ZHOU Tianjun, YAN Xiaodong, 2015: Paleoclimate Modeling in China: A Review, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 250-275.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-0002-0
    [7] YANG Shili, FENG Jinming, DONG Wenjie, CHOU Jieming, 2014: Analyses of Extreme Climate Events over China Based on CMIP5 Historical and Future Simulations, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 1209-1220.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-3119-2
    [8] MA Jianzhong, GUO Xueliang, ZHAO Chunsheng, ZHANG Yijun, HU Zhijin, 2007: Recent Progress in Cloud Physics Research in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 1121-1137.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-1121-7
    [9] WANG Dongxiao, QIN Zenghao, SHI Ping, 2004: Progress in Marine Meteorology Studies in China during 1999-2002, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 21, 485-496.  doi: 10.1007/BF02915575
    [10] DING Yihui, REN Guoyu, ZHAO Zongci, XU Ying, LUO Yong, LI Qiaoping, ZHANG Jin, 2007: Detection, Causes and Projection of Climate Change over China: An Overview of Recent Progress, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 954-971.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0954-4
    [11] ZHENG Jingyun, LIN Shanshan, HE Fanneng, 2009: Recent Progress in Studies on Land Cover Change and Its Regional Climatic Effects over China during Historical Times, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 793-802.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9031-5
    [12] Jianping DUAN, Hongzhou ZHU, Li DAN, Qiuhong TANG, 2023: Recent Progress in Studies on the Influences of Human Activity on Regional Climate over China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 1362-1378.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2327-z
    [13] GUO Xueliang, ZHENG Guoguang, 2009: Advances in Weather Modification from 1997 to 2007 in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 240-252.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0240-8
    [14] Guifu ZHANG, Vivek N. MAHALE, Bryan J. PUTNAM, Youcun QI, Qing CAO, Andrew D. BYRD, Petar BUKOVCIC, Dusan S. ZRNIC, Jidong GAO, Ming XUE, Youngsun JUNG, Heather D. REEVES, Pamela L. HEINSELMAN, Alexander RYZHKOV, Robert D. PALMER, Pengfei ZHANG, Mark WEBER, Greg M. MCFARQUHAR, Berrien MOORE III, Yan ZHANG, Jian ZHANG, J. VIVEKANANDAN, Yasser AL-RASHID, Richard L. ICE, Daniel S. BERKOWITZ, Chong-chi TONG, Caleb FULTON, Richard J. DOVIAK, 2019: Current Status and Future Challenges of Weather Radar Polarimetry: Bridging the Gap between Radar Meteorology/Hydrology/Engineering and Numerical Weather Prediction, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 36, 571-588.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-019-8172-4
    [15] Hongqin ZHANG, Xiangjun TIAN, Wei CHENG, Lipeng JIANG, 2020: System of Multigrid Nonlinear Least-squares Four-dimensional Variational Data Assimilation for Numerical Weather Prediction (SNAP): System Formulation and Preliminary Evaluation, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 1267-1284.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-9252-1
    [16] Guifu ZHANG, Jidong GAO, Muyun DU, 2021: Parameterized Forward Operators for Simulation and Assimilation of Polarimetric Radar Data with Numerical Weather Predictions, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 737-754.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-0289-6
    [17] HAN Guijun, LI Wei, ZHANG Xuefeng, LI Dong, HE Zhongjie, WANG Xidong, WU Xinrong, YU Ting, MA Jirui, 2011: A Regional Ocean Reanalysis System for Coastal Waters of China and Adjacent Seas, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 682-690.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-9184-2
    [18] HE Jinhai, JU Jianhua, WEN Zhiping, L\"U Junmei, JIN Qihua, 2007: A Review of Recent Advances in Research on Asian Monsoon in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 972-992.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0972-2
    [19] Athanassios A. ARGIRIOU, Zhen LI, Vasileios ARMAOS, Anna MAMARA, Yingling SHI, Zhongwei YAN, 2023: Homogenised Monthly and Daily Temperature and Precipitation Time Series in China and Greece since 1960, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 1326-1336.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-2246-4
    [20] Hui LIU, Bo HU, Yuesi WANG, Guangren LIU, Liqin TANG, Dongsheng JI, Yongfei BAI, Weikai BAO, Xin CHEN, Yunming CHEN, Weixin DING, Xiaozeng HAN, Fei HE, Hui HUANG, Zhenying HUANG, Xinrong LI, Yan LI, Wenzhao LIU, Luxiang LIN, Zhu OUYANG, Boqiang QIN, Weijun SHEN, Yanjun SHEN, Hongxin SU, Changchun SONG, Bo SUN, Song SUN, Anzhi WANG, Genxu WANG, Huimin WANG, Silong WANG, Youshao WANG, Wenxue WEI, Ping XIE, Zongqiang XIE, Xiaoyuan YAN, Fanjiang ZENG, Fawei ZHANG, Yangjian ZHANG, Yiping ZHANG, Chengyi ZHAO, Wenzhi ZHAO, Xueyong ZHAO, Guoyi ZHOU, Bo ZHU, 2017: Two Ultraviolet Radiation Datasets that Cover China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 805-815.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6293-1
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    • Manuscript History

    Manuscript received: 10 November 2007
    Manuscript revised: 10 November 2007
    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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    Numerical Weather Prediction in China in the New Century ---Progress, Problems and Prospects

    • 1. State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081,State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081
    • Manuscript received: 2007-11-10
    • Manuscript revised: 2007-11-10

    Abstract: This paper summarizes the recent progress of numerical weather prediction (NWP) research since the last review was published. The new generation NWP system named GRAPES (the Global and Regional Assimilation and Prediction System), which consists of variational or sequential data assimilation and nonhydrostatic prediction model with options of configuration for either global or regional domains, is briefly introduced, with stress on their scientific design and preliminary results during pre-operational implementation. In addition to the development of GRAPES, the achievements in new methodologies of data assimilation, new improvements of model physics such as parameterization of clouds and planetary boundary layer, mesoscale ensemble prediction system and numerical prediction of air quality are presented. The scientific issues which should be emphasized for the future are discussed finally.

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