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Volume 26 Issue 4

Jul.  2009

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Article >  ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES  > 2009 >  26(4): 748-762

Climate responses to direct radiative forcing of anthropogenic aerosols, tropospheric ozone, and long-lived greenhouse gases in eastern China over 1951-2000

  • 1.

    State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029; Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029; Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049,State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029; Climate Change Research Center {\rm ({\it CCRC})}, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029


doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9032-4

  • A unified chemistry-aerosol-climate model is applied in this work to compare climate responses to changing concentrat, ions of long-lived greenhouse gases (GHGs, CO2, CH4, N2O, tropospheric O3, and aerosols during the years 1951--2000. Concentrations of sulfate, nitrate, primary organic carbon (POA), secondary organic carbon (SOA), black carbon (BC) aerosols, and tropospheric O3 for the years 1950 and 2000 are obtained a priori by coupled chemistry-aerosol-GCM simulations, and then monthly concentrations are interpolated linearly between 1951 and 2000. The annual concentrations of GHGs are taken from the IPCC Third Assessment Report. BC aerosol is internally mixed with other aerosols. Model results indicate that the simulated climate change over 1951--2000 is sensitive to anthropogenic changes in atmospheric components. The predicted year 2000 global mean surface air temperature can differ by 0.8o with different forcings. Relative to the climate simulation without changes in GHGs, O3, and aerosols, anthropogenic forcings of SO2-4, BC, BC+SO2-4, BC+SO2-4+POA, BC+SO2-4+POA+SOA+NO-3, O3, and GHGs are predicted to change the surface air temperature averaged over 1971--2000 in eastern China, respectively, by -0.40oC, +0.62oC, +0.18oC, +0.15oC, -0.78oC, +0.43oC, and +0.85oC, and to change the precipitation, respectively, by -0.21, +0.07, -0.03, +0.02, -0.24, -0.08, and +0.10 mm d-1. The authors conclude that all major aerosols are as important as GHGs in influencing climate change in eastern China, and tropospheric O3 also needs to be included in studies of regional climate change in China.
  • [1] LIU Qianxia, ZHANG Meigen, WANG Bin, 2005: Simulation of Tropospheric Ozone with MOZART-2:An Evaluation Study over East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 22, 585-594.  doi: 10.1007/BF02918490
    [2] XIE Fei, LI Jianping, TIAN Wenshou, ZHANG Jiankai, SHU Jianchuan, 2014: The Impacts of Two Types of El Nio on Global Ozone Variations in the Last Three Decades, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 1113-1126.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3166-0
    [3] ZHANG Meigen, XU Yongfu, Itsushi UNO, Hajime AKIMOTO, 2004: A Numerical Study of Tropospheric Ozone in the Springtime in East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 21, 163-170.  doi: 10.1007/BF02915702
    [4] Bing XIE, Hua ZHANG, Zhili WANG, Shuyun ZHAO, Qiang FU, 2016: A Modeling Study of Effective Radiative Forcing and Climate Response Due to Tropospheric Ozone, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 819-828.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-5193-0
    [5] Yuli ZHANG, Chuanxi LIU, Yi LIU, Rui YANG, 2019: Intraseasonal Oscillation of Tropospheric Ozone over the Indian Summer Monsoon Region, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 36, 417-430.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-8113-7
    [6] Jae H. KIM, Hyunjin LEE, 2010: What Causes the Springtime Tropospheric Ozone Maximum over Northeast Asia?, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 543-551.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9098-z
    [7] Yu FU, Hong LIAO, Yang YANG, 2019: Interannual and Decadal Changes in Tropospheric Ozone in China and the Associated Chemistry-Climate Interactions: A Review, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 36, 975-993.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-019-8216-9
    [8] GAO Lijie, ZHANG Meigen, HAN Zhiwei, 2009: Model Analysis of Seasonal Variations in Tropospheric Ozone and Carbon Monoxide over East Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 312-318.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0312-9
    [9] LIAO Hong, CHANG Wenyuan, YANG Yang, 2015: Climatic Effects of Air Pollutants over China: A Review, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 115-139.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-0013-x
    [10] YUE Xu, WANG Huijun, LIAO Hong, FAN Ke, 2010: Direct Climatic Effect of Dust Aerosol in the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model Version 3 (CAM3), ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 230-242.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-8170-z
    [11] LIU Yu, LI Weiliang, ZHOU Xiuji, I.S.A.ISAKSEN, J.K.SUNDET, HE Jinhai, 2003: The Possible Influences of the Increasing Anthropogenic Emissions in India on Tropospheric Ozone and OH, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 20, 968-977.  doi: 10.1007/BF02915520
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    • Manuscript History

    Manuscript received: 10 July 2009
    Manuscript revised: 10 July 2009
    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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    Climate responses to direct radiative forcing of anthropogenic aerosols, tropospheric ozone, and long-lived greenhouse gases in eastern China over 1951-2000

    • 1. State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029; Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029; Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049,State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029; Climate Change Research Center {\rm ({\it CCRC})}, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029
    • Manuscript received: 2009-07-10
    • Manuscript revised: 2009-07-10

    Abstract: A unified chemistry-aerosol-climate model is applied in this work to compare climate responses to changing concentrat, ions of long-lived greenhouse gases (GHGs, CO2, CH4, N2O, tropospheric O3, and aerosols during the years 1951--2000. Concentrations of sulfate, nitrate, primary organic carbon (POA), secondary organic carbon (SOA), black carbon (BC) aerosols, and tropospheric O3 for the years 1950 and 2000 are obtained a priori by coupled chemistry-aerosol-GCM simulations, and then monthly concentrations are interpolated linearly between 1951 and 2000. The annual concentrations of GHGs are taken from the IPCC Third Assessment Report. BC aerosol is internally mixed with other aerosols. Model results indicate that the simulated climate change over 1951--2000 is sensitive to anthropogenic changes in atmospheric components. The predicted year 2000 global mean surface air temperature can differ by 0.8o with different forcings. Relative to the climate simulation without changes in GHGs, O3, and aerosols, anthropogenic forcings of SO2-4, BC, BC+SO2-4, BC+SO2-4+POA, BC+SO2-4+POA+SOA+NO-3, O3, and GHGs are predicted to change the surface air temperature averaged over 1971--2000 in eastern China, respectively, by -0.40oC, +0.62oC, +0.18oC, +0.15oC, -0.78oC, +0.43oC, and +0.85oC, and to change the precipitation, respectively, by -0.21, +0.07, -0.03, +0.02, -0.24, -0.08, and +0.10 mm d-1. The authors conclude that all major aerosols are as important as GHGs in influencing climate change in eastern China, and tropospheric O3 also needs to be included in studies of regional climate change in China.

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