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Long-Term Trends in Extreme Temperatures in Hong Kong and Southern China


doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-9160-x

  • The observed long-term trends in extreme temperatures in Hong Kong were studied based on the meteorological data recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory Headquarters from 1885--2008. Results show that, over the past 124 years, the extreme daily minimum and maximum temperatures, as well as the length of the warm spell in Hong Kong, exhibit statistically significant long-term rising trends, while the length of the cold spell shows a statistically significant decreasing trend. The time-dependent return period analysis also indicated that the return period for daily minimum temperature at 4oC or lower lengthened considerably from 6 years in 1900 to over 150 years in 2000, while the return periods for daily maximum temperature reaching 35oC or above shortened drastically from 32 years in 1900 to 4.5 years in 2000. Past trends in extreme temperatures from selected weather stations in southern China from 1951--2004 were also assessed. Over 70% of the stations studied yielded a statistically significant rising trend in extreme daily minimum temperature, while the trend for extreme maximum temperatures was found to vary, with no significant trend established for the majority of stations.
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    [2] Ping LIANG, Yihui DING, 2017: The Long-term Variation of Extreme Heavy Precipitation and Its Link to Urbanization Effects in Shanghai during 1916-2014, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 321-334.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-6120-0
    [3] Xiujing YU, Guoyu REN, Panfeng ZHANG, Jingbiao HU, Ning LIU, Jianping LI, Chenchen ZHANG, 2020: Extreme Temperature Change of the Last 110 Years in Changchun, Northeast China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 347-358.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-9165-z
    [4] LI Hongmei, FENG Lei, ZHOU Tianjun, 2011: Multi-Model Projection of July--August Climate Extreme Changes over China under CO2 Doubling. Part II: Temperature, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 448-463.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0052-x
    [5] Yang LIU, Jingyun ZHENG, Zhixin HAO, Xuezhen ZHANG, 2017: Unprecedented Warming Revealed from Multi-proxy Reconstruction of Temperature in Southern China for the Past 160 Years, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 34, 977-982.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6228-x
    [6] Cunde XIAO, Qi ZHANG, Jiao YANG, Zhiheng DU, Minghu DING, Tingfeng DOU, Binhe LUO, 2023: A Statistical Linkage between Extreme Cold Wave Events in Southern China and Sea Ice Extent in the Barents-Kara Seas from 1289 to 2017, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 2154-2168.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2227-2
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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 January 2011
Manuscript revised: 10 January 2011
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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Long-Term Trends in Extreme Temperatures in Hong Kong and Southern China

  • 1. Hong Kong Observatory, 134A, Nathan Road, Hong Kong,Hong Kong Observatory, 134A, Nathan Road, Hong Kong,Hong Kong Observatory, 134A, Nathan Road, Hong Kong,Hong Kong Observatory, 134A, Nathan Road, Hong Kong

Abstract: The observed long-term trends in extreme temperatures in Hong Kong were studied based on the meteorological data recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory Headquarters from 1885--2008. Results show that, over the past 124 years, the extreme daily minimum and maximum temperatures, as well as the length of the warm spell in Hong Kong, exhibit statistically significant long-term rising trends, while the length of the cold spell shows a statistically significant decreasing trend. The time-dependent return period analysis also indicated that the return period for daily minimum temperature at 4oC or lower lengthened considerably from 6 years in 1900 to over 150 years in 2000, while the return periods for daily maximum temperature reaching 35oC or above shortened drastically from 32 years in 1900 to 4.5 years in 2000. Past trends in extreme temperatures from selected weather stations in southern China from 1951--2004 were also assessed. Over 70% of the stations studied yielded a statistically significant rising trend in extreme daily minimum temperature, while the trend for extreme maximum temperatures was found to vary, with no significant trend established for the majority of stations.

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