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Progress in Climate Prediction and Weather Forecast Operations in China


doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-1194-9

  • The current status of weather forecasting and climate prediction, and the main progress China has made in recent years, are summarized in this paper. The characteristics and requirements of modern weather forecast operations are described briefly, and the significance of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) for future development is emphasized. The objectives and critical tasks for seamless short-term climate prediction that covers the extended-range (15--30 days), monthly, seasonal, annual, interannual and interdecadal timescales, are proposed.
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    [2] YUAN Zhuojian, QI Jindian, GAO Shouting, FENG Yerong, XU Pengcheng, WU Naigeng, 2014: New Evidence for Improving Omega Estimation by Explicitly Considering Horizontal Divergence, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 449-456.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3003-5
    [3] WU Lingyun, ZHANG Jingyong, 2015: The Relationship between Spring Soil Moisture and Summer Hot Extremes over North China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 1660-1668.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5003-0
    [4] YANG Peicai, WANG Geli, BIAN Jianchun, ZHOU Xiuji, 2010: The Prediction of Non-stationary Climate Series Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 27, 845-854.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9128-x
    [5] Tianbao XU, Zhicong YIN, Xiaoqing MA, Yanyan HUANG, Huijun WANG, 2023: Hybrid Seasonal Prediction of Meridional Temperature Gradient Associated with “Warm Arctic–Cold Eurasia”, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 1649-1661.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2226-3
    [6] Wang Huijun, Zhou Guangqing, Lin Zhaohui, Zhao Yan, Guo Yufu, Ma Zhuguo, 2001: Recent Researches on the Short-Term Climate Prediction at IAP-A Brief Review, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 18, 929-936.
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    [9] Weiwei WANG, Song YANG, Tuantuan ZHANG, Qingquan LI, Wei WEI, 2022: Sub-seasonal Prediction of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset in the NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 39, 1969-1981.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-1403-0
    [10] Cao Hongxing, 1987: A TECHNIQUE FOR VERIFICATION OF WEATHER FORECAST AND CLIMATE SIMULATION WITH FUZZY SETS, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 4, 363-374.  doi: 10.1007/BF02663606
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    [12] XUE Hai-Le, SHEN Xue-Shun, CHOU Ji-Fan, 2013: A Forecast Error Correction Method in Numerical Weather Prediction by Using Recent Multiple-time Evolution Data, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 30, 1249-1259.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2274-1
    [13] Jiaqi Zheng, Qing Ling, Jia Li, Yerong Feng, 2023: Improving Short-Range Precipitation Forecast of Numerical Weather Prediction Through a Deep Learning-Based Mask Approach, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3085-7
    [14] T. N. KRISHNAMURTI, A. D. SAGADEVAN, A. CHAKRABORTY, A. K. MISHRA, A. SIMON, 2009: Improving Multimodel Weather Forecast of Monsoon Rain Over China Using FSU Superensemble, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 813-839.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-8162-z
    [15] WANG Huijun, FAN Ke, SUN Jianqi, LI Shuanglin, LIN Zhaohui, ZHOU Guangqing, CHEN Lijuan, LANG Xianmei, LI Fang, ZHU Yali, CHEN Hong, ZHENG Fei, 2015: A Review of Seasonal Climate Prediction Research in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 149-168.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-0016-7
    [16] Wansuo DUAN, Lichao YANG, Mu MU, Bin WANG, Xueshun SHEN, Zhiyong MENG, Ruiqiang DING, 2023: Recent Advances in China on the Predictability of Weather and Climate, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 40, 1521-1547.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2334-0
    [17] Jianhua LU, 2021: Chen-Chao Koo and the Early Numerical Weather Prediction Experiments in China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 38, 707-716.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-0268-y
    [18] XUE Jishan, 2004: Progresses of Researches on Numerical Weather Prediction in China: 1999-2002, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 21, 467-474.  doi: 10.1007/BF02915573
    [19] XUE Jishan, LIU Yan, 2007: Numerical Weather Prediction in China in the New Century ---Progress, Problems and Prospects, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 1099-1108.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-1099-1
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Manuscript History

Manuscript received: 10 September 2012
Manuscript revised: 10 September 2012
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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Progress in Climate Prediction and Weather Forecast Operations in China

  • 1. China Meteorological Administration Training Centre, 46 Zhongguancun Nandajie, Beijing 100081;China Meteorological Administration Training Centre, $46$ Zhongguancun Nandajie, Beijing 100081;China Meteorological Administration Training Centre, 46 Zhongguancun Nandajie, Beijing 100081

Abstract: The current status of weather forecasting and climate prediction, and the main progress China has made in recent years, are summarized in this paper. The characteristics and requirements of modern weather forecast operations are described briefly, and the significance of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) for future development is emphasized. The objectives and critical tasks for seamless short-term climate prediction that covers the extended-range (15--30 days), monthly, seasonal, annual, interannual and interdecadal timescales, are proposed.

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