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The Influence of Regional SSTs on the Interdecadal Shift of the East Asian Summer Monsoon


doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-2062-3

  • East Asia has experienced a significant interdecadal climate shift since the late 1970s. This shift was accompanied by a decadal change of global SST. Previous studies have suggested that the decadal shift of global SST background status played a substantial role in such a climatic shift. However, the individual roles of different regional SSTs remain unclear. In this study, we investigated these roles using ensemble experiments of an atmospheric general circulation model, GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) AM2. Two kinds of ensembles were performed. The first was a control ensemble in which the model was driven with the observed climatological SSTs. The second was an experimental ensemble in which the model was driven with the observed climatological SSTs plus interdecadal SST background shifts in separate ocean regions. The results suggest that the SST shift in the tropics exerted more important influence than those in the extratropics, although the latter contribute to the shift modestly. The variations of summer monsoonal circulation systems, including the South Asian High, the West Pacific Subtropical High, and the lower-level air flow, were analyzed. The results show that, in comparison with those induced by extratropical SSTs, the shifts induced by tropical SSTs bear more similarity to the observations and to the simulations with global SSTs prescribed. In particular, the observed SST shift in the tropical Pacific Ocean, rather than the Indian Ocean, contributed significantly to the shift of East Asian summer monsoon since the 1970s.
  • [1] FU Jianjian, LI Shuanglin, LUO Dehai, 2009: Impact of Global SST on Decadal Shift of East Asian Summer Climate, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 192-201.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0192-z
    [2] SU Tonghua, XUE Feng*, ZHANG He, 2014: Simulating the Intraseasonal Variation of the East Asian Summer Monsoon by IAP AGCM4.0, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 570-580.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3029-8
    [3] Yujie WU, Wansuo DUAN, 2018: Impact of SST Anomaly Events over the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension on the "Summer Prediction Barrier", ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 35, 397-409.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6322-0
    [4] HAN Jinping, WANG Huijun, 2007: Interdecadal Variability of the East Asian Summer Monsoon in an AGCM, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 808-818.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0808-0
    [5] ZHAO Chongbo, ZHOU Tianjun, SONG Lianchun, REN Hongli, 2014: The Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation Simulated by Four Chinese AGCMs Participating in the CMIP5 Project, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 1167-1180.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-3211-7
    [6] Lin Zhaohui, Zeng Qingcun, 1997: Simulation of East Asian Summer Monsoon by Using an Improved AGCM, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 14, 513-526.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-997-0069-y
    [7] LI Shuanglin, CHEN Xiaoting, 2014: Quantifying the Response Strength of the Southern Stratospheric Polar Vortex to Indian Ocean Warming in Austral Summer, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 492-503.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2322-x
    [8] FENG Jinming, WEI Ting, DONG Wenjie, WU Qizhong, and WANG Yongli, 2014: CMIP5/AMIP GCM Simulations of East Asian Summer Monsoon, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 836-850.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3131-y
    [9] ZENG Gang, SUN Zhaobo, Wei-Chyung WANG, MIN Jinzhong, 2007: Interdecadal Variability of the East Asian Summer Monsoon and Associated Atmospheric Circulations, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 24, 915-926.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0915-y
    [10] Ben TIAN, Hong-Li REN, 2022: Diagnosing SST Error Growth during ENSO Developing Phase in the BCC_CSM1.1(m) Prediction System, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 39, 427-442.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1189-5
    [11] FENG Juan*, CHEN Wen, 2014: Interference of the East Asian Winter Monsoon in the Impact of ENSO on the East Asian Summer Monsoon in Decaying Phases, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 344-354.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3118-8
    [12] MAN Wenmin, and ZHOU Tianjun, 2014: Regional-scale Surface Air Temperature and East Asian Summer Monsoon Changes during the Last Millennium Simulated by the FGOALS-gl Climate System Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 765-778.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-3123-y
    [13] Xue Feng, 2001: Interannual to Interdecadal Variation of East Asian Summer Monsoon and its Association with the Global Atmospheric Circulation and Sea Surface Temperature, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 18, 567-575.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-001-0045-x
    [14] Shiyan ZHANG, Yongyun HU, Jiankai ZHANG, Yan XIA, 2024: Attribution of Biases of Interhemispheric Temperature Contrast in CMIP6 Models, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 41, 325-340.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-3002-0
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Manuscript received: 10 March 2013
Manuscript revised: 10 March 2013
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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The Influence of Regional SSTs on the Interdecadal Shift of the East Asian Summer Monsoon

  • 1. Climate Changes Research Center and Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 and Climate Changes Research Center and Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029

Abstract: East Asia has experienced a significant interdecadal climate shift since the late 1970s. This shift was accompanied by a decadal change of global SST. Previous studies have suggested that the decadal shift of global SST background status played a substantial role in such a climatic shift. However, the individual roles of different regional SSTs remain unclear. In this study, we investigated these roles using ensemble experiments of an atmospheric general circulation model, GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) AM2. Two kinds of ensembles were performed. The first was a control ensemble in which the model was driven with the observed climatological SSTs. The second was an experimental ensemble in which the model was driven with the observed climatological SSTs plus interdecadal SST background shifts in separate ocean regions. The results suggest that the SST shift in the tropics exerted more important influence than those in the extratropics, although the latter contribute to the shift modestly. The variations of summer monsoonal circulation systems, including the South Asian High, the West Pacific Subtropical High, and the lower-level air flow, were analyzed. The results show that, in comparison with those induced by extratropical SSTs, the shifts induced by tropical SSTs bear more similarity to the observations and to the simulations with global SSTs prescribed. In particular, the observed SST shift in the tropical Pacific Ocean, rather than the Indian Ocean, contributed significantly to the shift of East Asian summer monsoon since the 1970s.

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