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Volume 32 Issue 10

Aug.  2015

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Article >  ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES  > 2015 >  32(10): 1447-1448

Response to Comments by Yuan WANG on "Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes"

  • 1.

    State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871

  • 2.

    Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei 11529

  • 3.

    Department of Atmospheric Science, NCU, Jhongli 32001

  • 4.

    National Academy of Sciences, Washington DC 20001, USA

  • 5.

    Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine 92697-3100, USA

  • 6.

    Institute of Urban Meteorology of China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100089


doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5121-8

  • In his comments, Wang cites a number of works to dispute the conclusion in our previous work, which attributes the observed decreases/increases in light/heavy precipitation in eastern China primarily to global warming rather than the regional aerosol effect. However, most of the cited works (admittedly, including our previous work), employ correlation analysis, which has little bearing on the cause-effect relationship. Theoretical analyses and/or modeling studies are needed to ascertain the cause-effect relationship. We argue that theoretical analyses and modeling results show that global warming is the primary cause of the widely observed phenomena of suppression of light precipitation and enhancement of heavy precipitation across the globe, including in eastern China.
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  • [1] LIU Run, LIU Shaw Chen, Ralph J. CICERONE, SHIU Chein-Jung, LI Jun, WANG Jingli, ZHANG Yuanhang, 2015: Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 1027-1037.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015- 5002-1
    [2] Yuan WANG, 2015: Air Pollution or Global Warming: Attribution of Extreme Precipitation Changes in Eastern China——Comments on "Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes", ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 32, 1444-1446.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5109-4
    [3] FANG Changfang*, WU Lixin, and ZHANG Xiang, 2014: The Impact of Global Warming on the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the Possible Mechanism, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 118-130.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2260-7
    [4] LIU Chengyan* and WANG Zhaomin, , 2014: On the Response of the Global Subduction Rate to Global Warming in Coupled Climate Models, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 211-218.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2323-9
    [5] LI Ying, AN Junling, Ismail GULTEPE, 2014: Effects of Additional HONO Sources on Visibility over the North China Plain, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 31, 1221-1232.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-4019-1
    [6] FENG Lei, ZHOU Tianjun, WU Bo, Tim LI, Jing-Jia LUO, 2011: Projection of Future Precipitation Change over China with a High-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 464-476.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0016-1
    [7] Chafai AZRI, Habib ABIDA, Khaled MEDHIOUB, 2009: Geochemical Behaviour of the Tunisian Background Aerosols in Sirocco Wind Circulations, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 390-402.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0390-8
    [8] Sheng LAI, Zuowei XIE, Cholaw BUEH, Yuanfa GONG, 2020: Fidelity of the APHRODITE Dataset in Representing Extreme Precipitation over Central Asia, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 1405-1416.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-0098-3
    [9] NING Liang, QIAN Yongfu, 2009: Interdecadal Change in Extreme Precipitation over South China and Its Mechanism, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 26, 109-118.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0109-x
    [10] Yongguang ZHENG, Yanduo GONG, Jiong CHEN, Fuyou TIAN, 2019: Warm-Season Diurnal Variations of Total, Stratiform, Convective, and Extreme Hourly Precipitation over Central and Eastern China, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 36, 143-159.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7307-3
    [11] DING Yuguo, CHENG Bingyan, JIANG Zhihong, 2008: A Newly-Discovered GPD-GEV Relationship Together with Comparing Their Models of Extreme Precipitation in Summer, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 25, 507-516.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-008-0507-5
    [12] LI Hongmei, FENG Lei, ZHOU Tianjun, 2011: Multi-model Projection of July--August Climate Extreme Changes over China under CO$_{2}$ Doubling. Part I: Precipitation, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 28, 433-447.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0013-4
    [13] Chenyu MA, Wei YUAN, Ji NIE, 2020: Responses of Mean and Extreme Precipitation to Different Climate Forcing Under Radiative-Convective Equilibrium, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 37, 377-386.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-020-9236-1
    [14] Ran LIU, Changlin CHEN, Guihua WANG, 2016: Change of Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential in Response to Global Warming, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 504-510.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5112-9
    [15] Akio KITOH, Masahiro HOSAKA, Yukimasa ADACHI, Kenji KAMIGUCHI, 2005: Future Projections of Precipitation Characteristics in East Asia Simulated by the MRI CGCM2, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 22, 467-478.  doi: 10.1007/BF02918481
    [16] Xiaofei GAO, Jiawen ZHU, Xiaodong ZENG, Minghua ZHANG, Yongjiu DAI, Duoying JI, He ZHANG, 2022: Changes in Global Vegetation Distribution and Carbon Fluxes in Response to Global Warming: Simulated Results from IAP-DGVM in CAS-ESM2, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 39, 1285-1298.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1138-3
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    [19] Yiyong LUO, Jian LU, Fukai LIU, Xiuquan WAN, 2016: The Positive Indian Ocean Dipole-like Response in the Tropical Indian Ocean to Global Warming, ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 33, 476-488.  doi: 10.1007/s00376-015-5027-5
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    • Manuscript History

    Manuscript received: 12 May 2015
    Manuscript revised: 26 May 2015
    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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    Response to Comments by Yuan WANG on "Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes"

    • 1. State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871
    • 2. Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei 11529
    • 3. Department of Atmospheric Science, NCU, Jhongli 32001
    • 4. National Academy of Sciences, Washington DC 20001, USA
    • 5. Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine 92697-3100, USA
    • 6. Institute of Urban Meteorology of China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100089
    • Manuscript received: 2015-05-12
    • Manuscript revised: 2015-05-26

    Abstract: In his comments, Wang cites a number of works to dispute the conclusion in our previous work, which attributes the observed decreases/increases in light/heavy precipitation in eastern China primarily to global warming rather than the regional aerosol effect. However, most of the cited works (admittedly, including our previous work), employ correlation analysis, which has little bearing on the cause-effect relationship. Theoretical analyses and/or modeling studies are needed to ascertain the cause-effect relationship. We argue that theoretical analyses and modeling results show that global warming is the primary cause of the widely observed phenomena of suppression of light precipitation and enhancement of heavy precipitation across the globe, including in eastern China.

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