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Influence of South Asian Biomass Burning on Ozone and Aerosol Concentrations Over the Tibetan Plateau


doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-1197-0

  • In this work, the influence of South Asian biomass burning emissions on O3 and PM2.5 concentrations over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is investigated by using the regional climate chemistry transport model WRF-Chem. The simulation is validated by comparing meteorological fields and pollutant concentrations against in situ observations and gridded datasets, providing a clear perspective on the spatiotemporal variations of O3 and PM2.5 concentrations across the Indian subcontinent, including the Tibetan Plateau. Further sensitivity simulations and analyses show that emissions from South Asian biomass burning mainly affect local O3 concentrations. For example, contribution ratios were up to 20% in the Indo-Gangetic Plain during the pre-monsoon season but below 1% over the TP throughout the year 2016. In contrast, South Asian biomass burning emissions contributed more than 60% of PM2.5 concentration over the TP during the pre-monsoon season via significant contribution of primary PM2.5 components (black carbon and organic carbon) in western India that were lofted to the TP by westerly winds. Therefore, it is suggested that cutting emissions from South Asian biomass burning is necessary to alleviate aerosol pollution over the TP, especially during the pre-monsoon season.
    摘要: 生物质燃烧是大气碳质气溶胶和温室气体等的最主要来源之一,能显著影响区域乃至全球尺度的大气化学组成。青藏高原毗邻的南亚等地区是北半球生物质燃烧最强烈区域之一,这一区域的生物质燃烧不仅对当地气候、环境和人体健康产生干扰,而且还可通过大气环流对青藏高原大气环境产生影响。本研究使用新一代中尺度大气化学-气象模式WRF-Chem分析了南亚生物质燃烧对青藏高原臭氧和PM2.5浓度的影响。模拟结果表明,南亚生物质燃烧虽然对当地的臭氧浓度产生了影响,季风前期在印度恒河平原上,其贡献值可达到20%。然而,南亚生物质燃烧对青藏高原臭氧的影响全年都小于1%。相对而言,南亚生物质燃烧在季风前期对青藏高原PM2.5浓度的贡献超过了60%,主要是因为南亚生物质燃烧对PM2.5的碳质组分的影响显著。以上研究不仅明确了南亚生物质燃烧排放青藏高原臭氧和PM2.5的贡献及其传输过程,更重要的是为政府决策、环境外交和气候谈判提供参考数据。
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  • Figure 1.  WRF-Chem modeling domain, topographic field (m), and measured sites marked with black dots.

    Figure 2.  Comparisons of annual T2, as well as RH and wind at 500 hPa between the WRF-Chem simulation and the reanalysis datasets.

    Figure 3.  The seasonal variations of observed and simulated O3 (a) and PM2.5 (b) concentrations at sites.

    Figure 4.  The seasonal and regional variations of predicted O3 and PM2.5 concentrations.

    Figure 5.  The seasonal and regional variations of predicted PM2.5 components.

    Figure 6.  The influence ratios of South Asian biomass burning to O3 during different seasons: (a) pre-monsoon, (b) monsoon, (c) post-monsoon, (d) winter.

    Figure 7.  The contribution ratios of South Asian biomass burning to PM2.5 and its components during different seasons.

    Table 1.  Model performance for O3 and PM2.5 concentrations at sites. OBS is mean observation; SIM is mean simulation; NMB is Normalized mean bias; NME is Normalized mean error. The performance criteria (NMB <±30%, NME <50%) for PM2.5 and the performance criteria (NMB <±15%, NME <25%) for O3 are suggested by Emery et al. (2001). The values that do not meet the criteria are marked in bold.


    Obs

    Sim
    O3
    NMB

    NME

    R

    Obs

    Sim
    PM2.5
    NMB

    NME

    R
    Guolog85.366.7−14.423.80.8629.113.7−36.936.90.71
    Haixi82.464.1−12.921.10.7424.016.8−28.143.70.76
    Yushu55.952−6.922.60.9318.413.1−29.129.30.97
    Mgaro54.954.2−1.415.70.9413.912.5−10.221.90.77
    Qamdo62.158.5−5.810.70.8920.914.5−28.534.10.86
    Lhasa65.959.5−9.715.40.8023.117.3−25.440.40.73
    Nylingchi66.759.9−10.115.50.9213.416.624.230.60.89
    Nagqu38.644.212.514.50.9148.732.9−32.932.90.72
    Pune30.937.113.822.50.94
    Delhi16.421.512.321.40.76
    Anantapur31.034.511.311.30.98
    Mohali40.437.64.47.60.95
    Agra112.079.8−28.730.80.95
    Mumbai27.725.8−6.914.70.92
    Kosmarra73.672.5−1.88.60.96
    Punjab65.469.76.413.70.88
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Manuscript received: 28 May 2021
Manuscript revised: 19 January 2022
Manuscript accepted: 11 February 2022
通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
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    沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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Influence of South Asian Biomass Burning on Ozone and Aerosol Concentrations Over the Tibetan Plateau

    Corresponding author: Shichang KANG, Shichang.kang@lzb.ac.cn
  • 1. State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Lanzhou 730000, China
  • 2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
  • 3. CAS Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences, Beijing 100101, China

Abstract: In this work, the influence of South Asian biomass burning emissions on O3 and PM2.5 concentrations over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is investigated by using the regional climate chemistry transport model WRF-Chem. The simulation is validated by comparing meteorological fields and pollutant concentrations against in situ observations and gridded datasets, providing a clear perspective on the spatiotemporal variations of O3 and PM2.5 concentrations across the Indian subcontinent, including the Tibetan Plateau. Further sensitivity simulations and analyses show that emissions from South Asian biomass burning mainly affect local O3 concentrations. For example, contribution ratios were up to 20% in the Indo-Gangetic Plain during the pre-monsoon season but below 1% over the TP throughout the year 2016. In contrast, South Asian biomass burning emissions contributed more than 60% of PM2.5 concentration over the TP during the pre-monsoon season via significant contribution of primary PM2.5 components (black carbon and organic carbon) in western India that were lofted to the TP by westerly winds. Therefore, it is suggested that cutting emissions from South Asian biomass burning is necessary to alleviate aerosol pollution over the TP, especially during the pre-monsoon season.

摘要: 生物质燃烧是大气碳质气溶胶和温室气体等的最主要来源之一,能显著影响区域乃至全球尺度的大气化学组成。青藏高原毗邻的南亚等地区是北半球生物质燃烧最强烈区域之一,这一区域的生物质燃烧不仅对当地气候、环境和人体健康产生干扰,而且还可通过大气环流对青藏高原大气环境产生影响。本研究使用新一代中尺度大气化学-气象模式WRF-Chem分析了南亚生物质燃烧对青藏高原臭氧和PM2.5浓度的影响。模拟结果表明,南亚生物质燃烧虽然对当地的臭氧浓度产生了影响,季风前期在印度恒河平原上,其贡献值可达到20%。然而,南亚生物质燃烧对青藏高原臭氧的影响全年都小于1%。相对而言,南亚生物质燃烧在季风前期对青藏高原PM2.5浓度的贡献超过了60%,主要是因为南亚生物质燃烧对PM2.5的碳质组分的影响显著。以上研究不仅明确了南亚生物质燃烧排放青藏高原臭氧和PM2.5的贡献及其传输过程,更重要的是为政府决策、环境外交和气候谈判提供参考数据。

    • Biomass burning, including the combustion of natural (e.g., wildfires) and prescribed (e.g., residential wood combustion in fireplaces) vegetation, releases large amounts of trace gases (e.g., CO, NOx, and CH4) and aerosols, which have gradually affected air quality (Bran et al., 2017), climate change by perturbing the radiation budget (Jacobson, 2014), as well as human health (Venkataraman et al., 2005). Emissions of biomass burning have been found to be a crucial contributor causing atmospheric pollution in South Asia (Streets et al., 2003). For example, annual biomass burning emissions have reached up to 350 Tg in India (Venkataraman et al., 2006), contributing approximately one fourth of the total CO and NOx emissions in the Indian subcontinent (Venkataraman et al., 2006; Jena et al., 2015). Therefore, being adjacent to South Asia, the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau (TP) are highly susceptible to trans-boundary atmospheric pollutants from South Asian biomass burning that affect their vulnerable environments, particularly cryospheric environments.

      The Himalayas and TP, known together as a water tower for surrounding regions and having the largest ice mass outside the Arctic and Antarctica (Barnett et al., 2005; Yao et al., 2007, 2015), are the source of the headwaters of many major rivers in Asia, such as the Yangtze River, Yellow River, and Mekong River (Fekete et al., 1999; Xu et al., 2008). Satellite-based aerosol optical depth images have clearly shown high concentration levels of air pollutants extending from South Asia and accumulating on the southern slope of the Himalayas, then overflowing into the TP region (Ramanathan et al., 2005; Seinfeld, 2008; Kang et al., 2019). Moreover, in situ observations have substantiated the hypothesis that pollutants from South Asia can be transported to the inner TP via the westerlies and Indian monsoon (Xu et al., 2009; Xia et al., 2011; Li et al., 2016). The back-trajectory analysis method also confirmed the pollutant transmission from South Asia to the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau (Lu et al., 2012; Chen et al., 2018). By numerical modeling analysis, South Asia anthropogenic emissions were found to contribute 61.3% of black carbon over the TP during the non-monsoon season (Yang et al., 2018a). Nonetheless, the aforementioned studies overlook the influence of biomass burning emissions from South Asia on atmospheric pollution and their climatic/hydrospheric effects over the TP.

      Compared with a large number of studies conducted on other regions of the world, only a few studies have focused on the impact of biomass burning over South Asia and adjacent regions. Analysis of in situ measurements indicates that biomass burning from India evidently affects air quality in the national capital city Delhi (Ghude et al., 2008), western India (Beig et al., 2008), northeast India (Deka and Hoque, 2014; Rajput et al., 2014), and central Himalayas (Kumar et al., 2011) during the pre-monsoon season. Cong et al. (2015) found that biomass burning emissions from South Asia were closely related to organic aerosols on both slopes of the Himalayas, transported there by large-scale atmospheric circulation and a unique mountain/valley breeze system. Li et al. (2016) used the source-diagnostic Δ14C/δ13C method to ascertain that the biomass burning from the Indo–Gangetic Plain significantly contributes to black carbon (BC) aerosol at specific sites over the TP; similar results were also reported by Xu et al. (2013). High-temporal-resolution measurements of particulate chemical compositions show that air pollutants from South Asian biomass combustion can be transported to Mt. Yulong and the southeastern TP (Zheng et al., 2017). However, the in situ observational records are too sparse to effectively quantify the South Asian biomass burning’s influence on the atmospheric chemical composition and air quality over the TP.

      Some recent studies have conducted chemical transport modeling to investigate and evaluate the impact of South Asian biomass burning on regional O3 and aerosol concentrations. Jane et al. (2015) investigated the impact of springtime biomass burning on regional O3 distribution in South Asia by using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem). Xu et al. (2018) applied the WRF-Chem model to study the regional BC distribution caused by biomass burning emissions from South Asia for two days. However, both existing WRF-Chem modeling studies were focused on very short time scales and do not reveal seasonal variation characteristics. In the present study, WRF-Chem simulations are performed for a whole year to provide detailed temporal and spatial distribution information for O3 and aerosol concentrations over South Asia and the TP. Further, by performing sensitivity simulation experiments, we quantify the contribution of South Asian biomass burning to O3 and various aerosol components and explicate their transportation mechanisms to the TP.

    2.   Method and data
    • WRF-Chem, a newly developed regional dynamical/chemical transport model, involves complex physical and chemical processes and simulates the gas-phase chemical and aerosol microphysical processes on-line with the meteorological fields (Grell et al., 2005). It is capable of modeling regional air quality and has been successfully used for South Asia and the TP (Gao et al., 2015; Bran and Srivastava, 2017; Xu et al., 2018; Yang et al., 2018a, 2021). WRF-Chem v3.9.1 is used in this study. The key physical schemes consist of the Morrison 2-moment microphysical parameterization (Morrison et al., 2009), the RRTMG radiation schemes (Iacono et al., 2008), the Noah–MP land surface model (Niu et al., 2011), and the Yonsei University (YSU) planetary boundary layer scheme. The Carbon Bond Mechanism Version Z (CBMZ; Zaveri and Peters, 1999) is used for gas-phase chemical reaction. Aerosol reaction is based on the Model for Simulating Aerosol Interactions and Chemistry (MOSAIC; Zaveri et al., 2008), where the aerosol particle is divided into four bins.

      The model domain has 25-km grid spacing (Fig. 1) and covers South Asia and the TP, with 155 and 135 grid cells in the west–east and north–south directions, respectively. The vertical configuration of the model includes 35 vertical sigma layers at the top pressure of 50 hPa. All grids are mapped on a Lambert projection, centered at 80°E, 26°N. National Centers for Environmental Prediction Final (NCEP FNL) analysis data with a horizontal resolution of 1° × 1° at 6-h time intervals is used for the meteorological initial and boundary conditions. The anthropogenic emissions are based on a global emissions inventory produced by Peking University at a resolution of 0.1°×0.1° (http://inventory.pku.edu.cn/) for the year 2014, including residential, industrial, transportation, energy production, as well as agriculture emission sources. The open biomass burning emissions are obtained from the fire inventory from NCAR (FINN), which is based on satellite observations (Wiedinmyer et al., 2011). The FINN inventory provides high-resolution data of open fires at 1-km spatial resolution and hourly temporal intervals; it includes wild fires, agricultural fires, and prescribed burnings. Finally, the output of Model for Ozone and related chemical Tracers (MOZART) is used to update the initial O3 condition and the lateral boundary chemical conditions.

      Figure 1.  WRF-Chem modeling domain, topographic field (m), and measured sites marked with black dots.

      To investigate the influence of South Asian biomass burning on O3 and aerosol concentrations over the TP, two simulation experiments were conducted in this study. In the baseline simulation experiment, the original emissions of air pollutants from anthropogenic sources and open biomass burning were unchanged. In the sensitivity simulation, the biomass burning emissions of pollutants were set to zero over South Asia, including India, Pakistan, Nepal, Bhutan, and Bangladesh. These simulations were conducted for an entire year, from 1 December 2015 to 30 December 2016. The first month was considered the model spin-up time and was not analyzed. The seasonal average pollutant concentrations and meteorological elements during the pre-monsoon season (March to May), the monsoon season (June to September), the post-monsoon season (October to November), and winter (December, January, and February) were calculated from daily simulated results.

    • Datasets from the Climate Research Unit (CRU; Mitchell and Jones, 2005, https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/) provided by the UK’s National Centre for Atmospheric Science, which are the most widely used observed climate datasets, were used to validate the model performance for surface temperature (T2). Simulated relative humidity (RH) and wind speed at 500 hPa were evaluated against the ERA-Interim reanalysis dataset obtained from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF, Dee et al., 2011, http://apps.ecmwf.int). The real-time daily concentrations of PM2.5 and O3 at eight sites were downloaded from the website of China National Environmental Monitoring Centre (http://106.37.208.233:20035) and were used for the assessment of simulation precision. In addition, we collected surface measurements of monthly average O3 (Anantapur, Pune, Delhi, and Modal) and PM2.5 (Agra, Mumbai, Kosmarra, and Punjab) concentrations over South Asia for the comparison with model simulation results. Detailed information about the measurements over South Asia is shown in Table S1. These air quality monitoring sites are distributed throughout the TP and South Asia and represent a wide range of environmental topography, including urban sites (Lhasa, Delhi, Agra, and Anantapur), semi-urban sites (Pune and Mohali), rural sites (Kosmarra and Punjab), coastal site (Mumbai), and other sites on the TP (Guolog, Haixi, Yushu, Ngari, Qamdo, Nylingchi and Nagqu). Figure 1 shows the locations of these monitoring sites.

    3.   Results and discussion
    • In this work, we compared the simulated T2, as well as RH and wind field at 500 hPa, with the CRU and ERA-interim reanalysis datasets (Fig. 2). The WRF-Chem model represents the spatial distribution pattern of annual T2 well (Fig. 2a). Warmer regions appeared in South Asia (T2s>20°C), but colder regions appeared over the TP (T2s<0°C). Compared with the CRU (Fig. 2b), WRF-Chem captured the topographically induced variation of T2 over the TP in more detail, owing to its higher spatial resolution. Both WRF-Chem and ERA-interim results indicate that high 500-hPa RH occurred over the TP, but RH was relatively lower in South Asia (Figs. 2c and d). The model predicted slightly lower RH at 500 hPa over the northern TP compared with ERA-interim, which could be because of the simulation bias in temperature affecting the saturation pressure of water vapor (Yang et al., 2018b). The model also effectively reproduced the dynamics for the wind field at 500 hPa. There were prevailing westerly winds over the northern TP and southwesterly winds over the southern TP (Figs. 2e and f). Over South Asia, westerly winds from land to ocean were predominant. Overall, this simulation configuration captured the meteorological fields well, which is crucial to assure prediction accuracy of air pollutant concentrations.

      Figure 2.  Comparisons of annual T2, as well as RH and wind at 500 hPa between the WRF-Chem simulation and the reanalysis datasets.

      Further, we quantitatively evaluated the model performance by using observations at stations in the study area (Fig. S1a in the Electronic Supplementary Material, ESM). The WRF-Chem model generally represents the correct annual variation trends of temperature and humidity at the stations. Compared with the observation, the model simulated higher T2 from June to September and slightly lower values in other months (Fig. S1b). On the other hand, the model simulated lower 2-m relative humidity than the observation from June to September (Fig. S1c). The corresponding statistics between WRF-Chem simulations and in situ observations are presented in Fig. S1.

    • We summarized surface O3 (Fig. 3a) and PM2.5 (Fig. 3b) concentrations from 12 sites to compare with the simulation results. The observed results show very high O3 concentrations at TP sites. As in Haizi, Yushu, and Ngari, surface O3 concentrations exceeded 100 µg m−3 in the pre-monsoon months. However, low O3 levels appeared over South Asia, such as in Delhi (below 30 µg m–3), at 1–2 orders of magnitude less than those over the TP sites. The simulation reflects the spatial variability of O3 concentrations from the TP to South Asia. When the monthly variation of O3 is considered, its concentration is found to have been lowest during the monsoon months over the TP. This might be because pollutants experience the washout effect in the rainy months (Yin et al., 2017). Moreover, the sky was always overcast during the monsoon season, thus, lower solar flux weakened the photochemical processes (Reddy et al., 2008). O3 concentration was also lowest during the summer months at sites over South Asia. The highest O3 concentration was found in May at Delhi and Mohali, partly owing to low humidity and high concentration of precursors (Lamaud et al., 2002). The model exhibited the annual trends of O3 concentrations well at all TP sites, except for Haixi. Overestimation of O3 concentration occurred in spring and underestimation occurred in autumn at Yushu, Ngari, Qamdo, Lhasa, and Nyingchi. The O3 concentration was uniformly underpredicted at other TP sites, such as Guolog, Haixi, and Nagqu. In South Asia, the seasonal trend of O3 concentration was reproduced well at all sites, despite a slight overestimation.

      Figure 3.  The seasonal variations of observed and simulated O3 (a) and PM2.5 (b) concentrations at sites.

      The model also represented the spatiotemporal variation of PM2.5 concentrations well at all sites (Fig. 3b). Both the observation and simulation showed lower PM2.5 over the TP (e.g., in Yushu and Lhasa) and higher PM2.5 at sites over South Asia (e.g., in Agra and Kosmarra), which is opposite to the spatial variability of O3 concentration from the TP to South Asia. Simulated PM2.5 concentrations showed underestimations compared to in situ observations over the TP. However, it should be noted that there is uncertainty in the emissions inventory. For example, in Lhasa, the underestimation of residential emissions was considered as a crucial factor causing the underestimation of PM2.5 (Li et al., 2019). The temporal variability of PM2.5 concentration was reproduced well over the TP, with higher concentration values in winter months but lower values in summer. However, at Haixi and Guolog, PM2.5 concentration reached its peak in May (42 µg m–3) and June (43.5 µg m–3), respectively, possibly due to westerly winds bringing dust to those locations during this period (Jia et al., 2015). High PM2.5 concentrations were observed at sites over South Asia, which is one of the most densely populated regions in the world and has high local emission sources including household, vehicular, mining, and urbanization (Nair et al., 2007). Both observed and simulated PM2.5 concentrations reached their maximum values during winter months and reached their minimums during summer months over South Asia, except at Punjab. The model accurately captures the highest PM2.5 concentration in April (101.1 µg m–3) at Punjab, which could be caused by agricultural waste burning emissions (Kharol et al., 2012). April in Punjab, India happens to be the start of one growing season and end of another, so crop residue burning was prevalent there. As seen in Fig. S2 in the ESM, the pre-monsoon PM2.5 emissions from deforestation and wildfires increased significantly in western India, compared with other seasons.

      Table 1 summarizes the model statistics of O3 and PM2.5 concentrations at the observed sites, including mean observation (OBS), mean simulation (SIM), normalized mean bias (NMB), and normalized mean error (NME). The performance criteria (NMB <±30%, NME <50%) for PM2.5 and the performance criteria (NMB <±15%, NME <25%) for O3 are suggested by Emery et al. (2001). Overall, the model statistics for O3 and PM2.5 in the region meet the model performance criteria. There are large underestimations of PM2.5 in Guolog and Nagqu, partly because the model grid represents a regional average, but also, the observation site is intensely affected by local anthropogenic emissions such as industrial facilities and traffic. In addition, the model generally reflects the O3 and PM2.5 concentrations at these sites during the pre-monsoon season, with R2 values of 0.89 for PM2.5 and 0.81 for O3 (Fig. S3 in the ESM), respectively.


      Obs

      Sim
      O3
      NMB

      NME

      R

      Obs

      Sim
      PM2.5
      NMB

      NME

      R
      Guolog85.366.7−14.423.80.8629.113.7−36.936.90.71
      Haixi82.464.1−12.921.10.7424.016.8−28.143.70.76
      Yushu55.952−6.922.60.9318.413.1−29.129.30.97
      Mgaro54.954.2−1.415.70.9413.912.5−10.221.90.77
      Qamdo62.158.5−5.810.70.8920.914.5−28.534.10.86
      Lhasa65.959.5−9.715.40.8023.117.3−25.440.40.73
      Nylingchi66.759.9−10.115.50.9213.416.624.230.60.89
      Nagqu38.644.212.514.50.9148.732.9−32.932.90.72
      Pune30.937.113.822.50.94
      Delhi16.421.512.321.40.76
      Anantapur31.034.511.311.30.98
      Mohali40.437.64.47.60.95
      Agra112.079.8−28.730.80.95
      Mumbai27.725.8−6.914.70.92
      Kosmarra73.672.5−1.88.60.96
      Punjab65.469.76.413.70.88

      Table 1.  Model performance for O3 and PM2.5 concentrations at sites. OBS is mean observation; SIM is mean simulation; NMB is Normalized mean bias; NME is Normalized mean error. The performance criteria (NMB <±30%, NME <50%) for PM2.5 and the performance criteria (NMB <±15%, NME <25%) for O3 are suggested by Emery et al. (2001). The values that do not meet the criteria are marked in bold.

    • Figures 4ad show the seasonal and spatial variations of simulated surface O3 concentration. O3 concentration was found to be higher over the TP but lower in South Asia, because of more intense photochemical reactions and downward transport of stratospheric air mass over the TP (Yin et al., 2017). Seasonally, higher O3 concentrations occurred in the pre-monsoon season over the TP (Fig. 4a), likely owing to stronger stratosphere–troposphere exchange during this pre-monsoon season compared with other seasons (Yin et al., 2017). O3 concentration declined to its minimum during the monsoon season over the TP (Fig. 4b), consistent with previous in situ observations (Lin et al., 2015; Yin et al., 2019). Since the greatest precipitation occurs during the monsoon season (Fig. S4 in the ESM), O3 and its precursors could be removed, thus reducing photochemistry and O3 concentration over the TP (Ma et al., 2014). As for South Asia, surface O3 concentrations are higher over northeastern India during all seasons except for the monsoon season, which may be attributed to higher O3 precursor concentrations in this region, such as CO (Fig. S5 in the ESM).

      Figure 4.  The seasonal and regional variations of predicted O3 and PM2.5 concentrations.

      Figures 4eh illustrate the seasonal and spatial variation of surface PM2.5 concentrations. PM2.5 concentration is observed to be high in eastern and northeastern regions of South Asia during the pre-monsoon season (Fig. 4e), possibly due to the local forest fires. As seen in Fig. S2, PM2.5 emissions from deforestation and wildfires in eastern South Asia were significantly greater during the pre-monsoon season than during other seasons. Meanwhile, higher PM2.5 concentrations appeared over the TP during the pre-monsoon season compared with other seasons; this was accompanied with a decreasing trend from the southwest TP to the northeast TP. There are very little local emissions over the TP, and westerly winds prevail during the pre-monsoon season. Thus, high PM2.5 mass over the TP during the pre-monsoon season probably was caused by the cross-border transmission from western India. The lowest PM2.5 concentrations (below 60 μg m–3) are observed during the monsoon season (Fig. 4f) because the large amount of precipitation (Fig. S4) in this season leads to intense wet scavenging of particulate matter. PM2.5 concentration is found to be high over the southern Indian subcontinent during the post-monsoon season (Fig. 4g) and winter (Fig. 4h) because low wind speeds at the surface (Fig. S6 in the ESM) as well as little precipitation (Fig. S4) are unfavorable to pollutant diffusion and dispersion. Higher PM2.5 concentrations occurred over the TP during the post-monsoon season and winter compared with the monsoon season, which is partly because of stagnant meteorological conditions during the post-monsoon season and winter, i.e., less precipitation (Fig. S4d) and lower wind speeds (Fig. S6d); it is also partly because of the cross-border transmission by the large-scale air circulation and regional mountain–valley wind.

      The spatial distributions of PM2.5 components had significant seasonal variations (Fig. 5). Secondary inorganic components (SO4, NO3, and NH4) showed higher concentration values during the post-monsoon season and winter over South Asia, whereas the concentrations were lower during the monsoon season. Increasing residential emissions of SO2 and NOx during winter (Fig. S7 in the ESM) resulted in an increase of surface heterogeneous reactions for the formation of SO4 and NO3 in this period. The NO3 to SO4 mass ratio refers to the relative dominance of stationary versus mobile emission sources (Wan et al., 2016). The NO3/SO4 mass ratios below 1 in India during the pre-monsoon season indicate that the mobile emissions are not the main source there. Besides, colder weather in winter is more preferential to ammonium nitrate being partitioned into the particle phase (Aw and Kleeman, 2003). Primary PM2.5 component (BC and OC) concentrations over the TP reached their highest values during the pre-monsoon season (Figs. 5m and q) due to the cross-border transmission. High primary component concentrations occurred over the Indian subcontinent during winter (Figs. 5p and t), driven by the significant increase of residential emissions during winter, as well as stagnant weather conditions as discussed above.

      Figure 5.  The seasonal and regional variations of predicted PM2.5 components.

      Winter SO4, NO3, and NH4 concentrations were 50%–250% higher than the annual average concentrations in southern India and the Bay of Bengal (Fig. S8 in the ESM). However, winter SO4 concentration is lower than the annual mean over the TP, where NO3 and NH4 do not evidently deviate from the average. During the pre-monsoon season, secondary inorganic components are 50%–100% higher than the annual mean over the western TP (Figs. S8a, c, and e). As for primary components over the TP and its southern slope, BC concentration is 50%–200% higher during the pre-monsoon season than its annual mean, while OC concentration during the pre-monsoon season is approximately 100%-250% higher than its annual mean (Fig. S9 in the ESM). Higher BC and OC concentrations during the pre-monsoon season indicate that primary components were the more vital contributor to the maximum PM2.5 concentrations over the TP during the pre-monsoon season. Moreover, maximum PM2.5 concentrations in the northern Indo-Gangetic plain and the Himalayan foothills could be attributable to the primary components which are approximately 100-150% of the annual mean, whereas secondary inorganic components are lower than their annual means during the pre-monsoon season (Fig. S8).

    • In sections 3.1 and 3.2, we validated the WRF-Chem performance for meteorological fields, O3, and aerosol, using in situ observations and gridded data. The results suggest that this model framework is capable to further quantify the contribution proportion of South Asian biomass burning to O3 and aerosol concentrations. The contribution proportion is calculated by (A–W)/A, where A and W are pollutant concentration in the sensitivity and control simulations, respectively.

    • Biomass burning emissions affect O3 concentration mainly by influencing the emissions of O3 precursors (Andreae and Merlet, 2001). Figure 6 illustrates the contribution ratios of South Asian biomass burning to O3 concentrations during different seasons. South Asian biomass burning contributes to O3 primarily in South Asia, especially during the pre-monsoon season (Fig. 6a) and winter (Fig. 6d). This is because South Asian biomass burning significantly influences O3 precursors in South Asia, particularly CO (Fig. S10 in the ESM). During the pre-monsoon season, higher contribution ratios (up to 20%) of South Asian biomass burning to O3 concentration appeared in the Indo-Gangetic Plain and central India (Fig. 6a), which experience a large number of fire counts in this period (Xu et al., 2018). However, South Asian biomass burning contributed less than 1% of the O3 concentration over the TP during the pre-monsoon season, although the biomass burning from western India reached its maximum and westerly winds prevailed during the pre-monsoon season (Fig. S6a). Therefore, it can be inferred that high O3 concentration over the TP during the pre-monsoon season (Fig. 4a) is mainly a result of local weather and environmental factors such as strong stratosphere–troposphere exchange and high background concentration of O3. South Asian biomass burning has very little influence on O3 concentration during the monsoon season (Fig. 6b). During the post-monsoon season, high contribution proportion of South Asian biomass burning to O3 concentration was mainly concentrated in western India (Fig. 6c). Compared with that during the post-monsoon season, the fires from South Asia showed a larger contribution to O3 concentration in south India during winter (Fig. 6d), consistent with more fire counts in this region during winter.

      Figure 6.  The influence ratios of South Asian biomass burning to O3 during different seasons: (a) pre-monsoon, (b) monsoon, (c) post-monsoon, (d) winter.

    • Figure 7 shows the contribution ratios of South Asian biomass burning to PM2.5 and its components. During the pre-monsoon season, high contribution proportions (more than 60%) were observed over the TP and its southern slope (Fig .7a), coincident with the regions with highest PM2.5 concentration during the pre-monsoon season (Fig. 7e). This is primarily because South Asian biomass burning contributed significantly to primary PM2.5 components [BC (Fig. 7q) and OC (Fig. 7u)] over the TP and northern Indo-Gangetic plains during the pre-monsoon season. Moreover, the contribution ratios to primary components showed a gradual decreasing trend from the western TP to eastern TP. Considering that there are very few local emissions over the TP, the primary components over the TP must be mainly transported from western India. As seen in Fig. S11, South Asian biomass burning caused a clear increase of BC (Fig. S11a in the ESM) and OC (Fig. S11b in the ESM) concentrations along the foothills of the Himalayas and the eastern part of the Indian subcontinent, and these pollutants can be transported there from western India by northwesterly and southwesterly winds. We then analyze the cross-border transmission of South Asian biomass burning emissions into BC (Fig. S11c) and OC (Fig. S11d) concentrations over the TP along 30°N, which shows BC and OC in western India can reach 500 hPa and then be transported onto the TP by the westerly winds.

      Figure 7.  The contribution ratios of South Asian biomass burning to PM2.5 and its components during different seasons.

      Meanwhile, the South Asian biomass burning contribution to secondary inorganic components was less than 10% over the TP and northern Indo-Gangetic plains (Figs. 7e, i, and m). The insignificant contributions of South Asian biomass burning to secondary inorganic components of PM2.5 could be attributed to its low contribution to the gaseous precursors of these secondary PM2.5 components (Fig. S12 in the ESM). The only exception is the relatively higher contribution ratios of South Asian biomass burning to NO3 concentrations over the Indian subcontinent in the pre-monsoon season (Fig. 6i), which is due to the larger contribution of South Asian biomass burning to local NO2 concentrations (Fig. S13 in the ESM).

      The lowest contribution proportions of South Asian biomass burning to PM2.5 mass and its components were found during the monsoon season, mainly because of the minimal biomass burning emissions in this season. During the post-monsoon season, South Asian biomass burning contributed up to 50% of the PM2.5 mass in western India (Fig. 7c), owing to its significant contribution to BC (Fig. 6s) and OC (Fig. 7w) in this season. South Asian biomass burning also evidently affected the concentrations of primary PM2.5 components over the TP during the post-monsoon season (Figs. 7s and w), with contribution ratios of more than 10%. However, South Asian biomass burning contributed less than 10% of the PM2.5 over the TP in the post-monsoon season (Fig. 7c). It reflects that primary PM2.5 components accounted for less PM2.5 mass over the TP compared with secondary PM2.5 components (SO4, NO3, and NH4), which is consistent with higher concentrations of secondary components being present during the post-monsoon season (Figs. 5c, g, and k).

      Although PM2.5 concentration was higher over the southern Indian subcontinent during winter (Fig. 4h) than during the pre-monsoon season (Fig. 4e), South Asian biomass burning contributed less toward winter PM2.5 there (Fig. 7d). This can be attributed to the same reason that South Asian biomass burning contributed very little to primary (Fig. 7h) and secondary inorganic (Figs. 7h, l, and p) components over the Indian subcontinent during winter. It implies that the highest PM2.5 concentration over the southern Indian subcontinent during winter (Fig. 4h) might be caused by other emission sources and stagnant weather conditions (less precipitation (Fig. S2d in the ESM) and low wind speed (Fig. S4d)). As shown in Fig. S14, residential and industrial emissions of PM2.5 were significantly greater during winter in southern India.

    4.   Conclusions
    • In this study, O3 and PM2.5 over South Asia and the TP were simulated using WRF-Chem for the whole year of 2016. This simulation configuration provided an appropriate performance on meteorological conditions. The comparison of simulated and observed O3 and PM2.5 concentrations indicated that the model can represent O3 and PM2.5 well compared to most in situ observations for most months. The simulation results showed relatively higher O3 concentrations over the TP during the pre-monsoon season and relatively lower concentrations during the monsoon season. In South Asia, higher O3 concentrations in northeastern India during all seasons except for the monsoon season are closely related to higher O3 precursor concentrations. Similarly, high PM2.5 concentrations appeared in eastern and northeastern regions of South Asia. The PM2.5 components had significant spatiotemporal variations. Primary PM2.5 components were found to be more crucial to forming the highest PM2.5 concentrations over the TP during the pre-monsoon season compared with secondary inorganic PM2.5 components. In the northern Indo-Gangetic plains and the Himalayan foothills, secondary inorganic components during the pre-monsoon season are lower than their annual mean.

      Finally, we calculated the South Asian biomass burning contribution to O3 and PM2.5 concentrations. The contribution of South Asian biomass burning to O3 was mainly concentrated in South Asia, with the highest contribution ratios of up to 20% in the Indo-Gangetic Plain during the pre-monsoon season, but contributions were less than 1% over the TP throughout the year. By contrast, South Asian biomass burning contributed more than 60% of the PM2.5 over the TP and its southern slope during the pre-monsoon season due to its significant contribution to primary PM2.5 components (BC and OC) in western India, which can be lofted to the TP by the westerly winds. Therefore, cutting down South Asian biomass burning emissions is necessary to mitigate air pollution over South Asia and the TP, especially during the pre-monsoon season.

      Acknowledgements. This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 42071096 and 41901071), Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) ( Grant No. 2019QZKK0605), State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science (Grant No. SKLCS-ZZ-2022), Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Open Program (Grant No. SKLCS 2020-10) from State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science, and Youth Science Foundation of Hebei Province (Grant No. D2019106042).

      Electronic supplementary material: Supplementary material is available in the online version of this article at https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-1197-0.

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