Allen, R. G., L. S. Pereira, D. Raes, and M. Smith, 1998: Crop evapotranspiration — Guidelines for computing crop water requirements. FAO Irrigation and drainage paper 56, Rome. |
Byrne, M. P., and P. A. O'Gorman, 2015: The response of precipitation minus evapotranspiration to climate warming: Why the “Wet-Get-Wetter, Dry-Get-Drier” scaling does not hold over land. J. Climate, 28, 8078−8092, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0369.1. |
Chen, H. P., J. Q. Sun, W. Q. Lin, and H. W. Xu, 2020a: Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 models in simulating climate extremes. Science Bulletin, 65, 1415−1418, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2020.05.015. |
Chen, T. X., H. X. Zhang, X. Chen, D. F. Hagan, G. J. Wang, Z. Q. Gao, and T. T. Shi, 2017: Robust drying and wetting trends found in regions over China based on Köppen climate classifications. J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., 122, 4228−4237, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD026168. |
Chen, X. L., T. J. Zhou, P. L. Wu, Z. Guo, and M. H. Wang, 2020b: Emergent constraints on future projections of the western North Pacific Subtropical High. Nature Communications, 11, 2802, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16631-9. |
Chou, C. A., J. C. H. Chiang, C. W. Lan, C. H. Chung, Y. C. Liao, and C. J. Lee, 2013: Increase in the range between wet and dry season precipitation. Nature Geoscience, 6, 263−267, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1744. |
CMA Climate Change Center, 2021: Blue Book on Climate Change in China. Science Press. (in Chinese) |
Dai, A. G., 2011: Characteristics and trends in various forms of the Palmer Drought Severity Index during 1900–2008. J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., 116, D12115, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015541. |
Dai, A. G., 2013: Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models. Nature Climate Change, 3, 52−58, https://doi.org/10.1038/Nclimate1633. |
Ekström, M., P. D. Jones, H. J. Fowler, G. Lenderink, T. A. Buishand, and D. Conway, 2007: Regional climate model data used within the SWURVE project -1: Projected changes in seasonal patterns and estimation of PET. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 11, 1069−1083, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-11-1069-2007. |
Feng, H. H, and M. Y. Zhang, 2016: Global land moisture trends: Drier in dry and wetter in wet over land. Scientific Reports, 5, 18018, https://doi.org/10.1038/srep18018. |
Feng, S., and Q. Fu, 2013: Expansion of global drylands under a warming climate. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13(19), 10 081−10 094, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-10081-2013. |
Fu, Q., and S. Feng, 2014: Responses of terrestrial aridity to global warming. J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., 119, 7863−7875, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD021608. |
Fujimori, S., and Coauthors, 2019: A multi-model assessment of food security implications of climate change mitigation. Nature Sustainability, 2, 386−396, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0286-2. |
Greve, P., B. Orlowsky, B. Mueller, J. Sheffield, M. Reichstein, and S. I. Seneviratne, 2014: Global assessment of trends in wetting and drying over land. Nature Geoscience, 7, 716−721, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2247. |
Harris, I., T. J. Osborn, P. Jones, and D. Lister, 2020: Version 4 of the CRU TS monthly high-resolution gridded multivariate climate dataset. Scientific Data, 7, 109, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-0453-3. |
Heim, R. R., 2002: A review of twentieth-century drought indices used in the United States. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1149−1166, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477-83.8.1149. |
Huang, J. P., M. X. Ji, Y. K. Xie, S. S. Wang, Y. L. He, and J. J. Ran, 2016: Global semi-arid climate change over last 60 years. Climate Dyn., 46, 1131−1150, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2636-8. |
Huang, N. E., and Z. H. Wu, 2008: A review on Hilbert-Huang transform: Method and its applications to geophysical studies. Rev. Geophys., 46, RG2006, https://doi.org/10.1029/2007RG000228. |
Huang, N. E., and Coauthors, 1998: The empirical mode decomposition and the Hilbert spectrum for non-linear and non-stationary time series analysis. Proc. Roy. Soc. London A, 454, 903−995, https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1998.0193. |
Hulme, M., 1996: Recent climatic change in the world's drylands. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 61−64, https://doi.org/10.1029/95GL03586. |
IPCC, 2021: Summary for policymakers. Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, V. Masson-Delmotte et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 3−32. |
Ji, F., Z. H. Wu, J. P. Huang, and E. P. Chassignet, 2014: Evolution of land surface air temperature trend. Nature Climate Change, 4, 462−466, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2223. |
Jia, X. J., Q. X. Gu, Q. F. Qian, and R. G. Wu, 2021: Wet-to-dry climate shift of the Sichuan Basin during 1961–2010. Climate Dyn., 57, 671−685, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05734-8. |
Li, S. Y., and Coauthors, 2020: Projected drought conditions in Northwest China with CMIP6 models under combined SSPs and RCPs for 2015–2099. Advances in Climate Change Research, 11, 210−217, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.accre.2020.09.003. |
Li, Y., J. P. Huang, M. X. Ji, and J. J. Ran, 2015: Dryland expansion in northern China from 1948 to 2008. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 32, 870−876, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-014-4106-3. |
Li, Y. Z., A. Q. Feng, W. B. Liu, X. Y. Ma, and G. T. Dong, 2017: Variation of aridity index and the role of climate variables in the Southwest China. Water, 9, 743, https://doi.org/10.3390/w9100743. |
Liang, L., and P. Gong, 2017: Climate change and human infectious diseases: A synthesis of research findings from global and spatio-temporal perspectives. Environment International, 103, 99−108, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2017.03.011. |
Qian, C., and T. J. Zhou, 2014: Multi-decadal variability of North China aridity and its relationship to PDO during 1900–2010. J. Climate, 27, 1210−1222, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00235.1. |
Qian, W., Q. Hu, Y. Zhu, and D. K. Lee, 2003: Centennial-scale dry-wet variations in East Asia. Climate Dyn., 21, 77−89, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-003-0319-3. |
Sheffield, J., E. F. Wood, and M. L. Roderick, 2012: Little change in global drought over the past 60 years. Nature, 491, 435−438, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature11575. |
Vicente-Serrano, S. M., S. Beguería, and J. I. López-Moreno, 2010: A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming: The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index. J. Climate, 23, 1696−1718, https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2909.1. |
Wang, H. Y., B. He, Y. F. Zhang, L. Huang, Z. Y. Chen, and J. J. Liu, 2018: Response of ecosystem productivity to dry/wet conditions indicated by different drought indices. Science of the Total Environment, 612, 347−357, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.08.212. |
Wei, Y., H. P. Yu, J. P. Huang, X. Y. Liu, and J. Zhou, 2021: Improving China's summer precipitation prediction in 2020 by observational constrained bias correction. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 145, 1317−1331, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03693-y. |
Wu, W., F. Ji, S. J. Hu, Y. L. He, Y. Wei, Z. H. Xu, and H. P. Yu, 2022: Future evolution of global land surface air temperature trend based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models. International Journal of Climatology, 42, 7611−7627, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7668. |
Wu, Z. H., and N. E. Huang, 2009: Ensemble empirical mode decomposition: A noise-assisted data analysis method. Advances in Adaptive Data Analysis, 1, 1−41, https://doi.org/10.1142/S1793536909000047. |
Wu, Z. H., N. E. Huang, S. R. Long, and C. K. Peng, 2007: On the trend, detrending, and variability of non-linear and nonstationary time series. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 104, 14 889−14 894, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0701020104. |
Xu, Z. H., F. Ji, B. Liu, T. C. Feng, Y. Gao, Y. L. He, and F. Chang, 2021: Long-term evolution of global sea surface temperature trend. International Journal of Climatology, 41, 4494−4508, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7082. |
Yan, X. Y., Q. Zhang, X. Y. Ren, X. Y. Wang, X. M. Yan, X. Q. Li, L. Wang, and L. L. Bao, 2022: Climatic change characteristics towards the "Warming–Wetting" trend in the Pan-Central-Asia arid region. Atmosphere, 13, 467, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13030467. |
Yang, H., Xu, J., Chen, Y. et al., 2020: Has the Bosten Lake Basin been dry or wet during the climate transition in Northwest China in the past 30 years? Theor. Appl. Climatol., 141, 627−644, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03209-0. |
Yu, R. C., and T. J. Zhou, 2007: Seasonality and three-dimensional structure of interdecadal change in the East Asian monsoon. J. Climate, 20, 5344−5355, https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1559.1. |
Yu, R. C., B. Wang, and T. J. Zhou, 2004: Tropospheric cooling and summer monsoon weakening trend over East Asia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L22212, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL021270. |
Zhang, J., F. B. Sun, J. J. Xu, Y. N. Chen, Y. F. Sang, and C. M. Liu, 2016: Dependence of trends in and sensitivity of drought over China (1961–2013) on potential evaporation model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 206−213, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067473. |
Zhang, Q., S. Wang, F. L. Yang, P. Yue, T. Yao, and W. Y. Wang, 2015b: Characteristics of dew formation and distribution, and its contribution to the surface water budget in a semi-arid region in China. Bound.-Layer Meteorol., 154, 317−331, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-014-9971-x. |
Zhang, Q., C. J. Zhang, H. Z. Bai, L. Li, L. D. Sun, D. X. Liu, J. S. Wang, and H. Y. Zhao, 2010: New development of climate change in Northwest China and its impact on arid environment. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 28, 1−7, https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1006-7639.2010.01.001. (in Chinese with English abstract |
Zhang, Q., and Coauthors, 2021: New characteristics about the climate humidification trend in Northwest China. Chinese Science Bulletin, 66, 3757−3771, https://doi.org/10.1360/TB-2020-1396. (in Chinese with English abstract |
Zhang, Q., and Coauthors, 2022: The eastward expansion of the climate humidification trend in northwest China and the synergistic influences on the circulation mechanism. Climate Dyn., 59, 2481−2497, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06221-4. |
Zhang, Y. Q., Q. L. You, H. B. Lin, and C. C. Chen, 2015a: Analysis of dry/wet conditions in the Gan River Basin, China, and their association with large-scale atmospheric circulation. Global Planetary Change, 133, 309−317, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.09.005. |