-
LD20 found a relatively larger
$ {\theta }_{e} $ present in the downshear-left outer core at middle levels (also in Fig. 1e), and indicated that a positive$ {\theta }_{e} $ tendency occurs about three hours after the VWS is introduced in SH15 (Fig. 8h in LD20). Such a positive$ {\theta }_{e} $ tendency is produced mainly by the shear-forced asymmetric outflow in the midtroposphere that can transport high-entropy air outward from the inner core. In addition, the upward advection of low-level water vapor by convective-scale updrafts on the downshear semicircle enhance$ {\theta }_{e} $ at midlevels (LD20). Note that the possible contribution of air from the middle and upwind portions of outer rainbands to such$ {\theta }_{e} $ increases were not examined in LD20.Figure 7 depicts the 6-h backward trajectories of parcels, which are seeded at 15 h of simulation at z = 5 km in the downshear-left quadrant between 100 and 300 km (Figs. 1c, d), on a radius-height plane with horizontal tracks in insets. As shown in Fig. 1a, the storm simulated in SH15 is intensifying during this period. LD20 indicated that radially outward transports of high-entropy air from the inner core by shear-forced asymmetric outflow play an important role in the presence of the larger
$ {\theta }_{e} $ in the downshear-left outer core. Therefore, we first examine the traits of those trajectories traveling through the inner core. Here, the trajectories that have ever appeared within a radius of 100 km from the storm center are treated as trajectories through the inner core. Around 20.8% of the trajectories move through the inner core in SH15, while around 10% track through the inner core in SH05 (Figs. 9a, b). This result mirrors that VWS-forced asymmetric outflow at midlevels tends to be stronger in SH15 than in SH05 (LD20), so a much larger percentage of parcels can be transported outward in SH15. Most of the trajectories originate below z = 5 km, indicating parcels from the lower troposphere and the boundary layer are more readily transported outward to the outer core in the middle layers.Figure 9. Height versus radius plots of the 6-h backward trajectories (grey lines) starting at 9 h, with parcels being initially released at z = 5 km. The parcels are seeded in the sectors marked in Figs. 2c, d. Panels (a) and (b) show trajectories moving through the inner core, (c) and (d) display trajectories moving within the outer core with a maximum upward velocity larger than 1 m s–1, and (e) and (f) show the remaining trajectories moving within the outer core. The left and right columns represent results in SH15 and SH05, respectively. Black dots represent the release positions of parcels of the trajectories. Red dots in (a), (b), (e), and (f) represent the end positions of parcels on the backward trajectories. Red and blue dots in (c) and (d) represent the end positions of parcels on the backward trajectories with the peak upward velocity in the downshear-left quadrant and other quadrants, respectively. Insets show the horizontal tracks of the trajectories, with the sectors bounded by green dashed lines indicating the parcel seeding region.
Moreover, the parcels appear at relatively small radii as they move away from the inner core and then approach the outer core. A comparison of Figs. 9a and 9b further shows that more of this type start within a radius of 100 km in SH15. In addition, some of the trajectories, initially outside 200 km, move from lower levels in the downshear-right quadrant in SH15 (Fig. 9a), suggesting the presence of more significant low-level asymmetric inflow as a consequence of the shear in this experiment. As noted in previous studies (Cram et al., 2007; Finocchio and Rios-Berrios, 2021),
$ {\theta }_{e} $ changes, thermodynamically produced by a variety of trajectories, can be quantitatively estimated as:where
$ {P}_{\mathrm{s}\mathrm{e}\mathrm{e}\mathrm{d}\mathrm{s}} $ represents the percentage of trajectories of various classifications,$ {{\theta }_{e}}_{\mathrm{s}\mathrm{e}\mathrm{e}\mathrm{d}} $ represents the$ {\theta }_{e} $ of seed parcels at the beginning of backward trajectories,$ {{\theta }_{e}}_{\mathrm{f}\mathrm{i}\mathrm{n}\mathrm{a}\mathrm{l}} $ indicates the$ {\theta }_{e} $ of parcels at the end of backward trajectories, and$\overline {{\theta }_{e}}$ denotes the$ {\theta }_{e} $ averaged in the seed region. Angled brackets in Eq. (5) indicate averages over all trajectories. By and large, Eq. (5) approximates the$ {\theta }_{e} $ changes in the targeted region due to advection and ventilation (Cram et al., 2007; Finocchio and Rios-Berrios, 2021). Based on Eq. (5), the$ {\theta }_{e} $ change in the downshear-left midlevel outer core by these trajectories is approximately 1.69 K in SH15 in contrast to approximately 0.29 K in SH05 (Table 1). Therefore, the contribution to the midlevel increase in$ {\theta }_{e} $ by VWS-forced asymmetric outflow is much higher in SH15 than in SH05.LD20 demonstrated that the upward transport of water vapor also contributes to the midlevel enhancement of
$ {\theta }_{e} $ in the downshear-left outer core, and trajectories with striking ascent are hence examined herein to investigate their corresponding effects. Those trajectories that appear outside 100 km from the storm center and have a maximum upward velocity exceeding 1 m s–1 are discussed. The tracks of the trajectories in SH15 and SH05 are shown in Figs. 7c and 7d, respectively. Compared to the trajectories from the inner core, these trajectories tend to appear at further radii as they approach the downshear-right quadrant.Moreover, these trajectories can be categorized into two groupings, with one having peak upward velocities found in the downshear-left quadrant and the other showing peak upward velocities observed in different quadrants. The initial locations of the first grouping of trajectories in SH15 are mainly outside a radius of 200 km from the TC center in the downshear-right quadrant (red dots in Fig. 9c). Previous studies revealed that mature convective cells in the outer rainbands of sheared TCs generally populate in the downshear-left quadrant (Li and Fang, 2018), and upward motion is characterized by out-up-out and in-up-out updrafts (Barron et al., 2022). Therefore, these trajectories are closely linked to parcels moving from the upwind sector of the outer rainbands in SH15, subsequently ascending in the mature cellular convection in the middle portion of the rainbands.
Interestingly, a
$ {\theta }_{e} $ increase of 1.77 K in the downshear-left outer core at z = 5 km is estimated in association with these trajectories (Table 1), which is slightly larger than that produced by trajectories through the inner core. Therefore, the present trajectory analysis indicates that the greatest contribution to the midlevel growth in$ {\theta }_{e} $ in the downshear-left outer core in SH15 is due to parcels ascending in the mature convective cells in the middle sector of the outer rainbands, followed by the contribution of parcels moving through the inner core.In addition, the trajectories with peak upward velocities not in the downshear-left quadrant show their initial positions in the right-of-shear quadrants (Fig. 9c). These trajectories are likely related to parcels that rise along the nascent convection in the upwind portion of the outer rainbands and subsequently approach the downshear-left outer core at midlevels. These trajectories result in an average
$ {\theta }_{e} $ increase of 0.50 K in the downshear-left quadrant between 100- and 300-km radii at z = 5 km in SH15 (Table 1). In SH05, the track features of the trajectories moving beyond 100 km from the storm center and with a maximum upward velocity higher than 1 m s–1 are akin to those in SH15, apart from the parcels starting at a more skewed position towards the center (Fig. 9d). Although Table 1 shows these trajectories also contributing positively to the$ {\theta }_{e} $ change in the downshear-left outer core at midlevels, their contributions are much smaller than those in SH15.The movement features of other trajectories in the outer core are portrayed in Figs. 9e and 9f. In SH15, these trajectories prefer to persist in the lower and middle troposphere (Fig. 7e), resulting in a moderate, incremental
$ {\theta }_{e} $ increase of 0.79 K in the downshear-left quadrant between 100- and 300-km radii at z = 5 km (Table 1). In contrast, the majority of the trajectories originate above z = 5 km in SH05 (Fig. 7f) and even contribute negatively to the$ {\theta }_{e} $ change in the downshear-left quadrant between 100- and 300-km radii at z = 5 km (Table 1). These trajectories are possibly associated with the outer rainband downdrafts from the upper levels in this experiment (Didlake and Houze, 2009; Cheng and Li, 2020). A more in-depth examination regarding the provenance of these trajectories is required, which is beyond the scope of this study.Experiment name Parcels moving through
the inner coreParcels moving in the outer core with peak
upward velocity exceeding 1 m s–1Parcels moving in the
outer core with peak
upward velocity smaller
than 1 m s–1Peak upward velocity in the
downshear-left quadrantPeak upward velocity in
other quadrantsSH05 0.29 (445) 0.21 (1090) 0.19 (726) –0.14 (2237) SH15 1.69 (857) 1.77 (1810) 0.50 (443) 0.79 (1003) Table 1.
$ {\theta }_{e} $ changes averaged in the downshear-left outer core at z = 5 km due to the trajectories during 9 to 15 h. The number in brackets indicates the number of trajectories.Figure 1a shows the storm intensity experiencing quasi-periodic pulses in SH15. Correspondingly, the rain rate averaged in the outer core of the TC simulated in SH15 also oscillates with time (Fig. 1a), implying periodic activity of outer rainbands (Li and Wang, 2012b). It has been indicated that the periodic evolution of outer rainbands can lead to TC intensity oscillations (Li and Wang, 2012b). Given the pronounced effect of outer rainbands on the
$ {\theta }_{e} $ changes in the downshear-left outer core at midlevels, we discuss the backward trajectory properties during 18 and 24 h of simulation when the storm in SH15 is weakening and the outer rainbands thrive. The traits of trajectories during the same period in SH05 are also examined for comparison.The characteristics of the trajectories through the inner core in SH15 during this time resemble those during 9 and 15 h, except that more trajectories come from the upper layers (Fig. 10a). The parcel trajectories originating from the upper levels are possibly relevant to the inflow beneath the upper-tropospheric outflow layer (Komaromi and Doyle, 2017; Smith et al., 2019; Wang et al., 2020). Table 2 shows a significant increase in average
$ {\theta }_{e} $ of 2.66 K in the downshear-left quadrant between 100- and 300-km radii at z = 5 km resulting from these trajectories. Further estimations show that the corresponding$ {\theta }_{e} $ changes due to trajectories from the levels above z = 5 km is about 0.30 K; this in contrast to the 2.36 K produced by trajectories below z = 5 km (not shown). In SH05, only approximately 7% of trajectories move through the inner core due to lower VWS (Fig. 10b), yielding an average$ {\theta }_{e} $ increase in the downshear-left outer core in the midtroposphere (Table 2).Experiment name Parcels moving
through the
inner coreParcels moving in the outer core with peak upward
velocity exceeding 1 m s–1Parcels moving in the outer core
with peak upward velocities
smaller than 1 m s–1Peak upward velocity in the
downshear-left quadrantPeak upward velocity
in Others QuadrantsSH05 0.17 (318) 0.05 (893) –0.01 (571) –0.10 (2811) SH15 2.66 (968) 3.18 (1790) 0.69 (386) 0.90 (678) Table 2.
$ {\theta }_{e} $ changes averaged in the downshear-left outer core at z = 5 km due to the trajectories during 18 to 24 h. The number in brackets indicates the number of trajectories.Between 18 and 24 h, the tracks of those trajectories 100 km outside of the storm center and with a maximum upward velocity exceeding 1 m s–1 are depicted in Figs. 8c and 8d. These trajectories accounted for 56.9% of the total trajectories in SH15 and 31.9% in SH05, commensurate with those between 9 and 15 h of simulation. Additionally, the characteristic movement of these trajectories is similar to those during the period 9 to 15 h. However, the trajectories with peak upward velocity of > 1 m s–1 in the downshear-left quadrant lead to an average
$ {\theta }_{e} $ change of 3.18 K in the downshear-left quadrant between 100- and 300-km radii at z = 5 km in SH15 (Table 2). This increase in$ {\theta }_{e} $ is much larger than that during the period 9 to 15 h, indicating that more active outer rainbands tend to produce a larger$ {\theta }_{e} $ increase in the downshear-left outer core at midlevels.Other trajectories moving in the outer core during 18 and 24 h show tracks similar to those during 9 and 15 h (Figs. 10e, f). Table 2 indicates that these trajectories yield average
$ {\theta }_{e} $ changes of 0.9 and –0.1 K in the downshear-left quadrant between 100- and 300-km radii at z = 5 km in SH15 and SH05, respectively.
Experiment name | Parcels moving through the inner core | Parcels moving in the outer core with peak upward velocity exceeding 1 m s–1 | Parcels moving in the outer core with peak upward velocity smaller than 1 m s–1 | |
Peak upward velocity in the downshear-left quadrant | Peak upward velocity in other quadrants | |||
SH05 | 0.29 (445) | 0.21 (1090) | 0.19 (726) | –0.14 (2237) |
SH15 | 1.69 (857) | 1.77 (1810) | 0.50 (443) | 0.79 (1003) |