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黄必城, 苏涛, 封国林. 全球海洋蒸发量年代际变化归因:动力因子分析[J]. 大气科学, 2019, 43(3): 525-538. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1805.18117
引用本文: 黄必城, 苏涛, 封国林. 全球海洋蒸发量年代际变化归因:动力因子分析[J]. 大气科学, 2019, 43(3): 525-538. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1805.18117
HUANG Bicheng, SU Tao, and FENG Guolin. Interdecadal Changes in Global Ocean Evaporation: Dynamic Factors Analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, 43(3): 525-538. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1805.18117
Citation: HUANG Bicheng, SU Tao, and FENG Guolin. Interdecadal Changes in Global Ocean Evaporation: Dynamic Factors Analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, 43(3): 525-538. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1805.18117

全球海洋蒸发量年代际变化归因:动力因子分析

Interdecadal Changes in Global Ocean Evaporation: Dynamic Factors Analysis

  • 摘要: 本文基于动力调整方法,利用客观分析海气通量(OAFlux)资料研究了1958~2016年全球海洋蒸发量变化及其动力作用和辐射强迫分量的变化,发现海洋蒸发量及其动力作用分量具有一致性年代际变化特征,特别是在20世纪70年代及90年代末期存在明显的年代际转折。进一步分析发现:主要动力因子有太平洋—北美遥相关型(PNA)、北极涛动(AO)、北大西洋涛动(NAO)、厄尔尼诺—南方涛动(ENSO)和阿留申低压(AL),并受到太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)的影响,其中,1970年代末期的转折与PNA、PDO、ENSO和AL密切相关,而1990年代末期的转折还与NAO变化有关。动力作用分量的前六个模态解释方差达到67.5%,其中,低纬北太平洋和印度洋蒸发异常主要与海表温度(SST)及其引起的环流异常有关,南太平洋、中纬北太平洋和北大西洋蒸发异常与环流异常直接相关。ENSO与PDO在全球海洋蒸发量上的影响要大于NAO。单因子相关分析发现南方涛动指数(SOI)、NAO和PDO与海洋蒸发年代际变化密切相关。总体来说,动力作用分量在海洋蒸发的年代际变化中起主导作用,其中,以ENSO、NAO和PDO的影响最大。

     

    Abstract: Using the dynamical adjustment method, variations of ocean evaporation and its dynamically induced and radiative forced components from 1958 to 2016 are studied based on the Objectively Analyzed Air-sea Fluxes (OAFlux) dataset. It is found that ocean evaporation and its dynamically induced components have consistent interdecadal changes, especially the transitions that occurred in the late 1970s and 1990s. Further analysis shows that the major dynamic factors that affect ocean evaporation are the Pacific-North America teleconnection (PNA), the Arctic Oscillation (AO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Aleutian Low (AL). The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) also has certain impacts. Among these factors, the transition in the 1970s is closely related to the PNA, PDO, ENSO and AL, while the transition in the 1990s is also related to NAO. The first six leading modes of dynamically induced components explain up to 67.5% of the total variance. The anomalies of evaporation in the North Pacific and the Indian Ocean at low latitudes are mainly related to SST and circulation anomalies induced by SST. The evaporation anomalies in the South Pacific, the North Pacific over middle latitudes and the North Atlantic are directly related to anomalies of circulation. ENSO, and PDO have greater impacts on global ocean evaporation than the NAO. Single factor correlation shows that the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and changes in the NAO and PDO coincide with the interdecadal variation of ocean evaporation. In general, the dynamically induced component dominates the interdecadal changes of ocean evaporation mainly by ENSO, NAO, and PDO.

     

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