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袁媛, 李崇银. 热带印度洋海温异常不同模态对南海夏季风爆发的可能影响[J]. 大气科学, 2009, 33(2): 325-336. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2009.02.11
引用本文: 袁媛, 李崇银. 热带印度洋海温异常不同模态对南海夏季风爆发的可能影响[J]. 大气科学, 2009, 33(2): 325-336. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2009.02.11
YUAN Yuan, LI Chongyin. Possible Impacts of the Tropical Indian Ocean SST Anomaly Modes on the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2009, 33(2): 325-336. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2009.02.11
Citation: YUAN Yuan, LI Chongyin. Possible Impacts of the Tropical Indian Ocean SST Anomaly Modes on the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2009, 33(2): 325-336. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2009.02.11

热带印度洋海温异常不同模态对南海夏季风爆发的可能影响

Possible Impacts of the Tropical Indian Ocean SST Anomaly Modes on the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset

  • 摘要: 热带印度洋海温异常两种主要的模态分别是春季最强的全区一致型海温变化和秋季发展成熟的东西反位相偶极型模态, 本文主要分析了这两种海温模态对当年南海夏季风爆发的不同影响机制。对热带印度洋全区一致增暖和变冷年份的合成分析表明: 热带印度洋的增暖 (变冷) 通过海气相互作用激发印度洋-西太平洋异常的Walker环流圈, 加强 (减弱) 西太平洋副热带高压的强度, 进而有利于南海夏季风爆发的推迟 (提早)。由于热带印度洋全区一致型海温变化滞后响应于前冬ENSO事件, 因此, 作者提出热带印度洋的这种海温模态对维持ENSO对第二年南海夏季风爆发的影响起到了重要的传递作用。作者进一步通过1994年个例研究了热带印度洋偶极型海温模态对南海夏季风爆发的可能影响。1994年的热带印度洋偶极子在初夏就表现出很强的强度, 显著削弱了印度洋的夏季风环流, 尤其是索马里急流和赤道印度洋西风气流的强度。南海上游季风气流的减弱以及热带印度洋异常反气旋的发展阻碍了印度洋西南季风向南海的推进, 从而使得这一年南海夏季风爆发偏晚大约2候。

     

    Abstract: There are two major sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) patterns over the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO): basin-wide SSTA variation which peaks in the boreal spring, and the dipole mode that is phase-locked in the boreal autumn. This paper explores possible impacts of these two SSTA patterns on the South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon onset. Using composite analyses, it is revealed that basin-wide warming (cooling) in the TIO apparently induces an anomalous reversed (intensified) Walker circulation over the tropical Indo-Pacific region, leading to anomalous descending (ascending) motion, and hence suppressed (increased) convection over the western Pacific. The intensified (weakened) western Pacific anticyclone in April and May prevents (favors) the extension of the Indian Ocean westerly flow into the SCS region, thereby causing a late (an early) SCS summer monsoon onset. The results suggest that the basin-wide SSTA mode in the Indian Ocean should play an important role in prolonging the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) effects on the subsequent Asian summer monsoon, mainly through modifying the strength of the western Pacific anticyclone. Further, impacts of the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) case on the SCS summer monsoon onset in 1994 are carried out. Coupled to the exceptionally strong positive IOD over the tropical Indian Ocean in early May, the Asian summer monsoon circulation around the Indian Ocean is significantly weakened, especially the Somali jet along the east coast of Africa and the low-level westerlies across the equatorial Indian Ocean. Anomalous anticyclones dominate the 850-hPa wind field in the tropical Indian Ocean, accompanied by easterly anomalies along the equatorial Indian Ocean. These features, induced apparently by the positive IOD event, are unfavorable for the establishment and advancement of the Asian monsoon westerlies, and lead to a delay of the SCS summer monsoon onset in 1994.

     

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