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孙丞虎, 李维京. 观测资料与模式的协调性对同化效果的影响[J]. 大气科学, 2009, 33(4): 796-810. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2009.04.13
引用本文: 孙丞虎, 李维京. 观测资料与模式的协调性对同化效果的影响[J]. 大气科学, 2009, 33(4): 796-810. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2009.04.13
SUN Chenghu, LI Weijing. The Impact of Compatibility between Dynamic Model and Observational Data on Data Assimilation[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2009, 33(4): 796-810. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2009.04.13
Citation: SUN Chenghu, LI Weijing. The Impact of Compatibility between Dynamic Model and Observational Data on Data Assimilation[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2009, 33(4): 796-810. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2009.04.13

观测资料与模式的协调性对同化效果的影响

The Impact of Compatibility between Dynamic Model and Observational Data on Data Assimilation

  • 摘要: 针对资料同化时模式与观测资料不协调导致的同化失效问题, 利用国家气候中心NCCo简化海气耦合模式, 基于一种提取观测资料中与模式相协调信息分量 (也称模式可协调信息) 的资料重构方法, 探讨了观测资料和模式的协调性对资料同化效果的影响。结果发现: 利用简单海气耦合模式同化海表温度距平资料时, 由于模式与资料不匹配使同化后的初始场中产生与模式动力特征不协调的小尺度扰动, 这些小扰动在预报阶段会迅速增长, 污染预报结果, 使得预报失败。研究还发现, 无论在耦合或不耦合同化形式下, 对海温资料中的模式可协调分量进行同化时, 预报效果明显好于对原观测资料的同化。其缘于对观测海温中模式可协调信息分量同化生成的初始场中, 消除了与模式动力特征不协调的小尺度扰动, 突出了原始资料中与模式协调的ENSO尺度信息分量, 改善了初始场与模式的协调性, 从而提高了模式的预报技巧。

     

    Abstract: To resolve the problem caused by incompatibility between the dynamic model and observational data in the assimilation, the effect of model compatible part of observational information on the assimilation is explored by utilizing the NCCo model and a method of separating the model compatible part of information from the observational data. The researches show that the predictions are rather poor when the observational SSTA data are assimilated directly by the simple ocean-atmospheric coupled model, as the NCCo model, because the assimilated initial fields contain too much small scale disturbances which are incompatible with the dynamic features of model and grow up rapidly in the integrating process. However, the effect of assimilation could be greatly improved by just assimilating the model compatible part of observational data whether the assimilation circumstance is uncoupled or not, because the initial fields primarily contain ENSO scale information, which matches the dynamical spatial and temporal scales of the NCCo model.

     

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