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郝立生, 丁一汇, 闵锦忠, 等. 华北降水季节演变主要模态及影响因子[J]. 大气科学, 2011, 35(2): 217-234. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2011.02.03
引用本文: 郝立生, 丁一汇, 闵锦忠, 等. 华北降水季节演变主要模态及影响因子[J]. 大气科学, 2011, 35(2): 217-234. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2011.02.03
Hao Lisheng, Ding Yihui, Min Jinzhong, et al. Analysis on Seasonally Evolutive Main Modes of North China Precipitation and Their Influence Factors[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2011, 35(2): 217-234. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2011.02.03
Citation: Hao Lisheng, Ding Yihui, Min Jinzhong, et al. Analysis on Seasonally Evolutive Main Modes of North China Precipitation and Their Influence Factors[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2011, 35(2): 217-234. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2011.02.03

华北降水季节演变主要模态及影响因子

Analysis on Seasonally Evolutive Main Modes of North China Precipitation and Their Influence Factors

  • 摘要: 使用华北地区120站降水资料、美国国家环境预报中心和美国国家大气研究中心(NCEP/NCAR)再分析环流资料和Kaplan扩展海温资料(Kaplan et al.,1998),对华北降水季节演变主要模态及影响因子进行了研究。结果表明,华北降水季节演变存在两个主要模态,第一模态夏季降水在中北部偏多、南部偏少,第二模态夏季北部偏少、中南部偏多,两者明显不同。第一模态主要受ENSO演变过程和印度洋偶极子(IOD)事件的控制,第二模态主要受IOD演变过程控制。印度洋海温异常明显比赤道东太平洋异常幅度小,但对华北夏季降水的影响比ENSO更加明显。影响华北季节降水演变两个模态的季风环流明显不同:第一模态在春季,东亚北部开始出现类似夏季风的异常形势,到夏季时,春季建立的异常东亚夏季风环流进一步加强,而且印度夏季风偏西风环流在华南并入东亚夏季风;第二模态在春季,东亚地区也开始出现偏南风异常,到夏季,东亚偏南夏季风异常进一步加强,但越过长江后迅速转向向东,在华南无明显印度夏季风环流并入。另外,影响两个模态的水汽通道和水汽源地也明显不同:第一模态在夏季,影响华北的水汽通道有三条,即西南风水汽通道、东南风水汽通道和偏西风水汽通道,其中西南风水汽通道最为重要,水汽源地主要在南海和东海;第二模态在夏季,影响华北夏季降水的主要是西南风水汽通道,水汽源地主要在孟加拉湾和南海。

     

    Abstract: The seasonally evolutive main modes of North China precipitation and their influence factors are analyzed based on precipitation data from 120 stations in North China,NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data,and Kaplan extended SST data (Kaplan et al., 1998). The results show that there are two main seasonally evolutive modes in North China precipitation,with summer rainfall of the first mode above normal in the central,northern areas and below normal in the southern areas,with that of the second mode less in the northern areas and more in the central,southern ones,both are significantly different. The first mode is mainly controlled by the evolution of ENSO and the Indian Ocean Dipole event,and the second mode mainly by the evolution of the Indian Ocean Dipole. Although the sea surface temperature anomalous amplitude in the Indian Ocean is significantly smaller than that in the equatorial eastern Pacific,but it has a greater influence on the North China precipitation. The evolution of monsoon circulation influencing the two modes was different. To the first mode,in the spring,abnormal circulation similar to the summer wind appeares in the north of East Asia,in the summer,the spring anomalous monsoon circulation further strengthens,with westerly winds circulation of the India summer monsoon being absorbed into the East Asian summer monsoon in South China. To the second mode,in the spring,southerly wind anomalies also come into being in the East Asia region,in the summer,the East Asian monsoon further strengthens,but quickly turns to westerly wind after crossing the Yangtze River,no obvious Indian monsoon circulation combined into the East Asia summer monsoon in South China. In addition,the water vapor channel and the vapor source of the two modes are significantly different. In the summer of the first mode,there are three water vapor channels to affect North China precipitation,namely,southwest,southeast,and west wind water vapor channels,with the southwest water vapor channel being most important and its main source of water vapor being in the South China Sea and the East China Sea. In the summer of the second mode,the water vapor channel affecting North China precipitation is mainly southwesterly water vapor channel,and the main source of water vapor is in the Bay of Bengal and the South China Sea.

     

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