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孙泓川, 周广庆, 曾庆存. IAP第四代大气环流模式的耦合气候系统模式模拟性能评估[J]. 大气科学, 2012, 36(2): 215-233. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2011.11062
引用本文: 孙泓川, 周广庆, 曾庆存. IAP第四代大气环流模式的耦合气候系统模式模拟性能评估[J]. 大气科学, 2012, 36(2): 215-233. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2011.11062
SUN Hongchuan, ZHOU Guangqing, ZENG Qingcun. Assessments of the Climate System Model (CAS-ESM-C) Using IAP AGCM4 as Its Atmospheric Component[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2012, 36(2): 215-233. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2011.11062
Citation: SUN Hongchuan, ZHOU Guangqing, ZENG Qingcun. Assessments of the Climate System Model (CAS-ESM-C) Using IAP AGCM4 as Its Atmospheric Component[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2012, 36(2): 215-233. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2011.11062

IAP第四代大气环流模式的耦合气候系统模式模拟性能评估

Assessments of the Climate System Model (CAS-ESM-C) Using IAP AGCM4 as Its Atmospheric Component

  • 摘要: 本文首先扼要介绍了基于中国科学院大气物理研究所 (简称IAP) 第四代大气环流模式的新气候系统模式——CAS-ESM-C (中国科学院地球系统模式气候系统模式分量) 的发展和结构, 之后主要对该模式在模拟大气、 海洋、 陆面和海冰的气候平均态、 季节循环以及主要的年际变率等方面的能力做一个初步的评估。结果表明: 模式没有明显的气候漂移, 各分量的气候平均态整体上都比较合理。模式能相对真实地模拟出沿赤道SST的季节循环, 海冰覆盖的季节循环。东亚季风降水的季节迁徙特征在模式中的再现, 说明模式对东亚季风气候有着不错的模拟能力。除了ENSO周期略短, 平均振幅偏强外, 模式能够较好地模拟出热带太平洋SST的年际变率的各种特征。特别是得益于模式对于沿赤道SST的季节循环的较好模拟能力, 国际上公认较难模拟ENSO的季节锁相特征在CAS-ESM-C中得到了真实的再现。模式最主要的问题是存在以“双ITCZ (赤道辐合带)”现象为代表的热带偏差, 这是当今气候系统模式中常见的问题。进一步的分析表明: 单独大气模式IAP4对于降水和云的模拟存在一定的原有误差, 这些误差耦合后在海洋—大气反馈作用下演变, 最终形成了模式的热带偏差。CAS-ESM-C未来改进工作的重点宜首先放在云和降水过程, 可以考虑对大气模式中的低云方案和对积云对流参数化方案进行改进调整。

     

    Abstract: This paper assesses the performance of a new climate system model, namely CAS-ESM-C (Chinese Academy of Sciences-Earth System Model-Climate system component), which employs the recently improved version of IAP AGCM, namely IAP AGCM4, as its atmospheric component. This paper first describes the development and framework of the model briefly, and then evaluates the performances of the model in simulating the climate mean states of the atmosphere, land surface, ocean, and sea ice. Some aspects of the seasonal cycle and interannual variability are also analyzed. The results indicate that the CAS-ESM-C succeeds in controlling the long-term climate drift and has acceptable performances in realistically reproducing the climate mean states of the atmosphere, ocean, land surface and sea ice. The CAS-ESM-C also successfully reproduces the seasonal cycle of SST over the tropical Pacific and the seasonal cycle of the sea ice cover in the Arctic. The seasonal migration of monsoon rain band is well reproduced in the model, indicating the acceptable performance of the East Asian monsoon simulation. Except for the slight underestimation of the ENSO period and overestimation of the average amplitude, other characteristics of interannual variability over the tropical Pacific are well reproduced in the CAS-ESM-C. It is particularly important that, benefiting from the realistic simulation of the seasonal cycle of SST over the tropical Pacific, a “phase-locked” phenomenon appears in the simulated ENSO, which is hardly reproduced in other coupled models. The main deficiency of the CAS-ESM-C is the tropic bias, which is common in other coupled models. Some analyses are made to reveal the possible reason behind these simulation biases especially the tropical bias. The results suggest that the biases in the atmosphere which are amplified by the ocean-atmosphere feedback are the key reasons of the tropic bias in the coupled system. According to the analyses of the biases, future improvements of the CAS-ESM-C should focus on the treatment of physical processes of cloud and precipitation in the AGCM. From this point, updating or improving the low-level cloud scheme and the convective parameterization of the atmosphere model may be the first step for the future development of the CAS-ESM-C.

     

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