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蔡榕硕, 谭红建, 黄荣辉. 中国东部夏季降水年际变化与东中国海及邻近海域海温异常的关系[J]. 大气科学, 2012, 36(1): 35-46. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2012.01.04
引用本文: 蔡榕硕, 谭红建, 黄荣辉. 中国东部夏季降水年际变化与东中国海及邻近海域海温异常的关系[J]. 大气科学, 2012, 36(1): 35-46. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2012.01.04
CAI Rongshuo, TAN Hongjian, HUANG Ronghui. The Relationship between Interannual Variations of Summer Precipitation in Eastern China and the SST Anomalies in the East China Sea and Its Adjacent Seas[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2012, 36(1): 35-46. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2012.01.04
Citation: CAI Rongshuo, TAN Hongjian, HUANG Ronghui. The Relationship between Interannual Variations of Summer Precipitation in Eastern China and the SST Anomalies in the East China Sea and Its Adjacent Seas[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2012, 36(1): 35-46. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2012.01.04

中国东部夏季降水年际变化与东中国海及邻近海域海温异常的关系

The Relationship between Interannual Variations of Summer Precipitation in Eastern China and the SST Anomalies in the East China Sea and Its Adjacent Seas

  • 摘要: 本文首先利用1979~2008年中国756个站点和GPCP2.1的降水资料与Hadley中心的HadISST再分析海温资料以及应用合成和相关分析方法, 分析了中国东部夏季降水年际变化及其与东中国海及邻近海域海温异常的关系。分析结果表明: 当东中国海及邻近海域为暖 (冷) 异常时, 长江中下游、 江淮地区夏季降水减少 (偏多), 而东北南部的降水偏多 (减少)。并且, 本文应用RegCM3区域气候模式对上述关系进行数值试验, 结果表明了东中国海及邻近海域的暖 (冷) 异常, 将使得我国长江、 黄淮流域和华北大部分地区夏季降水的减少 (增加), 而华南地区、 东北南部和朝鲜半岛等地夏季降水的增加 (减少)。此外, 本文还利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和数值模拟对上述关系的大气环流变异过程进行了分析, 分析结果揭示了上述海域的升温或降温对东亚地区上空的纬向和经向环流有较明显的影响。当东中国海及邻近海域升温时, 除了在该海域东部引起低空辐合, 高空辐散, 产生上升运动外, 还在其西部的长江、 黄淮流域和华北地区引起低空辐散, 高空辐合, 产生下沉运动, 这将引起长江、 黄淮流域和华北等地夏季降水的减少; 并在华南、 东北南部和朝鲜半岛地区引起低空辐合, 高空辐散, 从而产生上升运动, 这使得华南地区、 东北南部和朝鲜半岛夏季降水的增加。反之, 当东中国海及邻近海域降温时, 上述区域出现相反的现象。这些都说明东中国海及邻近海域的热力状态可能是影响我国东部夏季降水的重要因子之一。

     

    Abstract: The relationship between the interannual variations of summer precipitation in eastern China and the SST anomalies in the East China Sea and its adjacent seas is analysed by using the methods of composite and correlation analyses and the daily data of summer (June-August) precipitation at 756 stations of China, GPCP2.1 and HadISST datasets from 1979 to 2008. The results show that when the SST of the East China Sea and its adjacent seas is in warm (cold) anomalies in summer, there are less (more) rainfall in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and the Yangtze River/Huaihe River valley (Jianghuai valley) and more (less) rainfall in the southern part of Northeast China. Moreover, a regional climate model (RegCM3) is used to examine the above-mentioned relationship. The simulation results indicate that the warm (cold) SST anomalies in the East China Sea and its adjacent seas can contribute to less (more) rainfall in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, the Yangtze River/Huaihe River valley (Jianghuai valley), and most of North China, and more (less) precipitation in South China, the southeast part of Northeast China, and the Korean Peninsula. Besides, the processes of atmospheric circulation variability over East Asia caused by the SST anomalies in these sea regions are explored based on the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and numerical simulation. The result shows that increase or decrease of SST in the above-mentioned seas has remarkable effect on zonal and meridional circulations over East Asia. When the SST of the East China Sea and its adjacent seas is above normal, a downward motion with a divergence at low levels and a convergence at upper levels can appear over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze Rive and the Yangtze River/Huaihe River valley (Jianghuai valley), and most of North China, which contributes to the decrease of summer rainfall in these areas, in addition to an upward motion with a strong convergence at low levels and a remarkable divergence at upper levels can be caused over the region to the east of these seas. And an upward motion with strong convergence at low levels and remarkable divergence at upper levels is caused in South China, the southern part of Northeast China, and the Korean Peninsula, thus, the summer precipitation increase obviously in these regions. When the SST of the East China Sea and its adjacent seas is below normal, the opposite phenomena appear in the above-mentioned areas. Consequently, it is suggested that the thermal state of the East China Sea and its adjacent seas may be one of the important factors affecting the summer precipitation in East China.

     

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