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李卓忆, 杨庆, 马柱国, 等. 2022. 中国北方干旱半干旱区植被对气候变化和人类活动的响应[J]. 大气科学, 48(X): 1−16. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2210.22048
引用本文: 李卓忆, 杨庆, 马柱国, 等. 2022. 中国北方干旱半干旱区植被对气候变化和人类活动的响应[J]. 大气科学, 48(X): 1−16. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2210.22048
Li Zhuoyi, Yang Qing, Ma Zhuguo, et al. 2022. Responses of Vegetation to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Arid and Semiarid Regions of Northern China [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 48(X): 1−16. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2210.22048
Citation: Li Zhuoyi, Yang Qing, Ma Zhuguo, et al. 2022. Responses of Vegetation to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Arid and Semiarid Regions of Northern China [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 48(X): 1−16. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2210.22048

中国北方干旱半干旱区植被对气候变化和人类活动的响应

Responses of Vegetation to Climate Change and Human Activities in the Arid and Semiarid Regions of Northern China

  • 摘要: 干旱半干旱区是我国的生态环境脆弱的地区之一。伴随着气候变化和人类活动的加剧,近几十年该区域植被正发生着显著的变化,然而,至今还缺乏对植被变化原因的足够认识。本文基于GLASS(Global Land Surface Satellite)叶面积指数(Leaf Area Index,简称LAI)、CRU(Climate Research Unit)气温和降水数据,采用相关系数法及残差分析法研究了1982~2017年中国干旱半干旱区植被的时空变化特征,并分析了气温、降水及人类活动对LAI变化的相对贡献。结果发现:(1)干旱半干旱区植被显著改善,仅局部地区有所退化,且植被改善在夏季最为明显;(2)在植被变化中,长期趋势变化和年际变化的影响因子不同,前者受气候变暖影响,而后者则主要与降水的波动密切相关;(3)春、夏季气温和夏季降水对干旱半干旱地区植被生长的同季节影响显著,而在新疆北部和内蒙中部地区,植被对气候因子有季节尺度的滞后响应;(4)植被变化受到人类活动和气候变化的共同作用,不同地区植被变化的主导因子不同。在植被改善地区,气候因子的贡献率约为59%,人类活动的贡献率约为41%;而植被退化地区,气候因子的贡献率约为−51%,人类活动贡献率约为−49%。总的来说,近几十年来我国北方干旱半干旱区植被已发生了显著变化,该变化是气温、降水和人类活动多因素综合影响的结果。

     

    Abstract: Arid and semiarid regions are ecologically fragile regions in China. Over the last decades, the vegetation in these regions has changed substantially due to the intensifying climate change and human activity. However, the causes of the variations in vegetation are unclear. Based on the Global Land Surface Satellite (GLASS) leaf area index (LAI) and Climate Research Unit (CRU) temperature and precipitation data, the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of vegetation in China’s arid and semiarid regions were analyzed from 1982 to 2017. The residual trend analysis method was employed to calculate the relative contributions of temperature, precipitation, and human activities to the variations in LAI. The results revealed that (1) vegetation was remarkably improved in most arid and semiarid areas, which was specifically pronounced in the summer; (2) in most of the study areas, vegetation was positively correlated with the temperature and precipitation, and temperature mainly affected the long-term trends in vegetation, while precipitation mainly affected its interannual variation; (3) spring and summer temperatures and summer precipitation substantially affected the vegetation growth during the same season, while in northern Xinjiang and central Inner Mongolia, a seasonal lag was observed in the response of vegetation to climate factors; and (4) vegetation changes were affected by human activities and climate change, and the dominant factors of vegetation change varied by regions. In places with improved vegetation, the contributions of climatic factors and human activities were 59% and 51%, respectively. Moreover, in areas with degraded vegetation, the contribution of climatic forcing was−51%, whereas that of human activities was −49%. Generally, the vegetation in northern China's arid and semiarid areas has experienced notable changes in recent decades, resulting from the combined effects of climate change and human activities.

     

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