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曾庆存, 吴琳, 洪钟祥. 控制论与人工影响天气 III: 自然控制论在人工增雨作业中的应用框架[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2012, 17(6): 986-990. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.06.35
引用本文: 曾庆存, 吴琳, 洪钟祥. 控制论与人工影响天气 III: 自然控制论在人工增雨作业中的应用框架[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2012, 17(6): 986-990. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.06.35
ZENG Qingcun, WU Lin, HONG Zhongxiang. Cybernetics in the Artificial Weather Modification. III: A Framework of Artificial Weather Modification Based on the Natural Cybernetics[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2012, 17(6): 986-990. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.06.35
Citation: ZENG Qingcun, WU Lin, HONG Zhongxiang. Cybernetics in the Artificial Weather Modification. III: A Framework of Artificial Weather Modification Based on the Natural Cybernetics[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2012, 17(6): 986-990. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.06.35

控制论与人工影响天气 III: 自然控制论在人工增雨作业中的应用框架

Cybernetics in the Artificial Weather Modification. III: A Framework of Artificial Weather Modification Based on the Natural Cybernetics

  • 摘要: 应用自然控制论的理论方法, 提出人工增雨作业和效果检验的框架。它将事前和作业进行过程中的观测和预报、调控方案(滚动式的和有反馈回路的)、作业和效果检验紧密联系成一个整体系统, 将调控方案提为最优化问题, 并把不断的观测资料同化到滚动式预报模式和求优化之中。所提出的一种效果检验方法是比较客观和定量的。

     

    Abstract: Based on the theory and methodology of natural cybernetics a framework of artificial weather modification and its verification was proposed. The framework deals with the artificial precipitation enhancement. It consists of observation and prediction (both before and during the operation), the quasi-continuous decision making of operation (controlling) with feedback cycle, operation and verification. Every link is closely correlated each with other in a whole system. The scheme of operation is given by a solving relevant optimization problem. The verification method is quantitative and more objective.

     

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