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陈佳毅, 赵勇, 王天竺. 2023. 夏季伊朗高原和热带印度洋热力异常与同期塔里木盆地降水的可能联系[J]. 气候与环境研究, 28(1): 17−29. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2021.21086
引用本文: 陈佳毅, 赵勇, 王天竺. 2023. 夏季伊朗高原和热带印度洋热力异常与同期塔里木盆地降水的可能联系[J]. 气候与环境研究, 28(1): 17−29. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2021.21086
CHEN Jiayi, ZHAO Yong, WANG Tianzhu. 2023. Possible Linkage between Summer Thermal Anomalies over the Iranian Plateau, the Tropical Indian Ocean and Rainfall in the Tarim Basin [J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 28 (1): 17−29. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2021.21086
Citation: CHEN Jiayi, ZHAO Yong, WANG Tianzhu. 2023. Possible Linkage between Summer Thermal Anomalies over the Iranian Plateau, the Tropical Indian Ocean and Rainfall in the Tarim Basin [J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 28 (1): 17−29. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2021.21086

夏季伊朗高原和热带印度洋热力异常与同期塔里木盆地降水的可能联系

Possible Linkage between Summer Thermal Anomalies over the Iranian Plateau, the Tropical Indian Ocean and Rainfall in the Tarim Basin

  • 摘要: 基于1979~2019年日本气象厅提供的地表感热与大气环流再分析资料,美国国家海洋和大气管理局提供的月均海表温度数据和国家气象信息中心提供的月降水数据,分析了夏季伊朗高原感热和热带印度洋海温与同期塔里木盆地降水的可能联系。奇异值分解分析表明,两个地区热力异常均与塔里木盆地夏季降水联系紧密,可以通过影响500 hPa风场和水汽输送来调制塔里木盆地夏季降水的变化。当伊朗高原感热和热带印度洋海温均偏强(弱)时,对应中亚上空受异常气旋(反气旋)控制,蒙古高原上空为反气旋(气旋)控制,二者共同作用塔里木盆地上空盛行异常偏南(北)风,形成有利(不利)的动力条件;同时印度半岛上空受异常反气旋(气旋)环流控制,中亚上空为异常气旋(反气旋),阿拉伯海水汽可(不可)由以上两个系统两步输送至新疆上空,导致盆地夏季降水整体偏多(少)。当伊朗高原和热带印度洋热力异常反相变化时,盆地降水空间差异性较大,部分区域降水偏多,部分地区降水偏少。

     

    Abstract: On the basis of a reanalysis of the monthly mean data of surface sensible heat and atmospheric circulation data provided by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), sea surface temperature (SST) data provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and the monthly precipitation data from 1979 to 2019 provided by the Nation Meteorological Information Center, the possible linkage between SH over the Iranian Plateau and SST over the tropical Indian Ocean in summer and precipitation over the Tarim Basin in the same period is analyzed. Singular value decomposition shows that the surface thermal anomalies in both areas are closely related to summer precipitation in the Tarim Basin and can modulate the precipitation variation by influencing the wind at 500 hPa and water flux transportation. When corresponding to stronger (weaker) sensible heat over the Iranian Plateau and warmer (colder) SSTs over the tropical Indian Ocean, on the one hand, an anomalous cyclone (anticyclone) over central Asia and an anticyclone (cyclone) over the Mongolian Plateau cause the anomalous south (north) wind to prevail over the Tarim Basin and (do not) form favorable dynamic conditions; on the other hand, because of an anomalous anticyclone (cyclone) over the Indian Peninsula and an anomalous cyclone (anticyclone) over central Asia, the water vapor can (not) be transported to the Tarim Basin by two-step transportation based on the above two anomalous circulations. All of the abovementioned components contribute to more (less) summer precipitation occurring. When the heating anomalies over the Iranian Plateau and tropical Indian Ocean are in opposition, they can lead to more precipitation in some regions of the Tarim Basin and less precipitation in other regions.

     

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