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李卓敏, 巩远发, 向楠. 2023. 青藏高原和西南地区60年不同等级昼夜降雨日数的变化特征[J]. 气候与环境研究, 28(4): 367−384. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2022.21180
引用本文: 李卓敏, 巩远发, 向楠. 2023. 青藏高原和西南地区60年不同等级昼夜降雨日数的变化特征[J]. 气候与环境研究, 28(4): 367−384. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2022.21180
LI Zhuomin, GONG Yuanfa, XIANG Nan. 2023. Variation Characteristics of Daytime/Nighttime Rainy Days of Different Magnitudes over the Tibetan Plateau and Southwest China over 60 Years [J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 28 (4): 367−384. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2022.21180
Citation: LI Zhuomin, GONG Yuanfa, XIANG Nan. 2023. Variation Characteristics of Daytime/Nighttime Rainy Days of Different Magnitudes over the Tibetan Plateau and Southwest China over 60 Years [J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 28 (4): 367−384. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2022.21180

青藏高原和西南地区60年不同等级昼夜降雨日数的变化特征

Variation Characteristics of Daytime/Nighttime Rainy Days of Different Magnitudes over the Tibetan Plateau and Southwest China over 60 Years

  • 摘要: 利用国家气象科学数据中心的青藏高原81个站和西南地区80个气象站点的逐日昼夜降水量资料,统计分析了1961~2020年60年来两个地区不同量级昼夜降雨日数及其差异的年变化、年际变化(趋势)特征。结果表明:(1)青藏高原和西南地区不同等级昼夜降水日数年变化都是在5月迅速增多,11月显著减少;两个地区的降雨日数昼夜差异大的月份均在5~10月,大雨和暴雨日数在5~10月的贡献更大,青藏高原暴雨日数占全年暴雨日数的85%以上、大雨占比90%以上,西南地区这两个量级降水占比分别为93%和86%;两个地区雨季夜间发生极端强降水(暴雨)的概率远大于白天。(2)两个地区雨季不同量级昼夜降水日数差异显著。三江源和青藏高原东南部昼夜都是小雨、中雨的频次多,大雨仅夜间在西藏东南部及三江源东侧发生较多;暴雨仅在青藏高原东部多发,夜间发生的站点明显多于白天。西南地区昼夜小雨和中雨发生率较高的地区包括川中区域、川西边缘山地和云南西南部;大雨在云南西南部白天易于发生,川中则是夜间易于发生;暴雨以上量级的典型多发区为四川中东部、重庆西部、贵州中南部。(3)两个区域雨季昼夜分等级降雨日数的年际变化总体趋势有明显的不同。青藏高原地区除了夜间小雨日数为显著减少外,其余的不同量级昼夜降雨日数都显著增加,夜间的增加趋势均大于白天,大雨和暴雨在夜间的增加趋势几乎是白天的2倍。与青藏高原不同的是,西南地区小量级降水(小雨—中雨—大雨)日数总体呈显著减少趋势,其中夜间的小雨日数减幅最大,为白昼的2倍左右;大量级降水(暴雨—大暴雨)日数则是相反的增加趋势,且夜间增加趋势大于白天。

     

    Abstract: The daily daytime/nighttime precipitation data of 81 National Meteorological Science Data Center stations on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau and 80 stations in Southwest China were used to statistically analyze the daytime/nighttime rainy days of different magnitudes, differences in this number in the two regions from 1961 to 2020, and interannual change (trend) characteristics. The results showed the following: (1) The number of daytime/nighttime rainy days of different magnitudes on the Tibetan Plateau and in Southwest China increased rapidly in May and decreased significantly in November; large differences in the number of daytime/nighttime rainy days in the two regions were observed in May–October, and the number of heavy rain and rainstorm days was higher in May–October. The number of rainstorm days on the Tibetan Plateau accounted for >85% of the total number of rainstorm days in the year, heavy rain accounted for >90%, and the proportions of these two levels of precipitation were 93% and 86%, respectively, in Southwest China. The probability of extremely heavy precipitation (rainstorms) during the rainy season in both regions was substantially higher at night than during the day. (2) In addition to obvious regional differences in the number of daytime/nighttime rainy days of different magnitudes in the two regions during the rainy season, very significant differences were observed between daytime and nighttime. The Three-Rivers Source region and the southeastern part of the Tibetan Plateau have frequent light and moderate rains during the day and night. Heavy rain occurs exclusively at night in southeastern Tibet and the east of the Three-Rivers Source region; rainstorms occur only in the east of the Tibetan Plateau, and there are visibly more sites receiving precipitation at night than during the day. Central Sichuan, western Sichuan marginal mountains, and southwestern Yunnan in Southwest China have a high incidence of daytime/nighttime light rain and moderate rain; heavy rain is more likely to occur during the day in southwestern Yunnan, whereas it is more likely to occur at night in central Sichuan. Typical areas with rainstorms are central and eastern Sichuan, western Chongqing, and central and southern Guizhou. (3) The overall trends of interannual changes in the number of rainy seasons in the rainy season are significantly different between daytime/nighttime-graded rain days. In the Tibetan Plateau, except for the significant decrease in the number of light rainy days at night, the rest of the rainy days of different magnitudes increased significantly during the daytime and nighttime, with the increasing trend at night being greater than that during the day, and the increasing trend of heavy rain and rainstorm at night was almost twice that of the day. Unlike the Tibetan Plateau, the number of days with light precipitation (light rain, moderate rain, and heavy rain) decreased significantly in Southwest China. Among them, the number of light rainy days at night decreased the most, approximately twice as much as during the daytime; the number of days with heavy precipitation (rainstorm or torrential rain) increased in the opposite direction, and the increasing trend at night is greater than that during the daytime.

     

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