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任国强, 赵勇. 2023. 中亚副热带西风急流的年代际变化及其与环流和降水的联系[J]. 气候与环境研究, 28(4): 356−366. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2022.21196
引用本文: 任国强, 赵勇. 2023. 中亚副热带西风急流的年代际变化及其与环流和降水的联系[J]. 气候与环境研究, 28(4): 356−366. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2022.21196
REN Guoqiang, ZHAO Yong. 2023. Decadal Variability of the Subtropical Westerly Jet and Its Association with Circulation and Rainfall over Central Asia [J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 28 (4): 356−366. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2022.21196
Citation: REN Guoqiang, ZHAO Yong. 2023. Decadal Variability of the Subtropical Westerly Jet and Its Association with Circulation and Rainfall over Central Asia [J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 28 (4): 356−366. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2022.21196

中亚副热带西风急流的年代际变化及其与环流和降水的联系

Decadal Variability of the Subtropical Westerly Jet and Its Association with Circulation and Rainfall over Central Asia

  • 摘要: 基于1961~2016年美国国家环境预测中心(NCEP)/美国国家大气研究中心(NCAR)提供的大气环流再分析数据和全球降水气候中心(GPCC)提供的逐月降水数据,研究了副热带西风急流与中亚夏季降水的年代际关系。结果表明,副热带西风急流经向位置在1997/1998年发生年代际突变。急流经向位置突变前,当急流偏南时,中亚上空受异常气旋控制,印度半岛上空受异常反气旋控制,在印度半岛和中亚上空反气旋和气旋的共同作用下,将热带印度洋的水汽接力输送至中亚上空,中亚夏季降水偏多;急流经向位置突变后,副热带西风急流位置与中亚夏季降水的关系减弱,当急流偏南时,中亚上空的异常气旋减弱中心西移,印度半岛上的异常反气旋加强并西移,导致热带印度洋到中亚上空的经向输送减弱,水汽不再深入至中亚东部和北部地区。东大西洋—西俄罗斯型遥相关(EA-WR)和中亚副热带西风急流经向位置存在不同的年代际联系,且对其体现为间接影响。中亚副热带急流经向位置突变前,EA-WR负位相对应乌拉尔山脉地区的异常反气旋,反气旋东侧的异常偏北风将高纬冷空气向南输送,导致中亚对流层中上层气温降低,形成异常气旋,对应副热带西风急流位置偏南;副热带急流经向位置突变后,原乌拉尔山附近上空的异常反气旋东移,不再导致中亚上空对流层中高层气温降低,EA-WR和中亚副热带西风急流经向位置的联系也减弱。中亚副热带西风急流经向位置突变前后,太平洋—北美型遥相关(PNA)正位相均能导致中亚上空受异常气旋控制,对应急流位置偏南。

     

    Abstract: Using reanalysis data from the National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research and the monthly precipitation data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Center for the period 1961–2016, this study investigates the decadal relationships between the subtropical westerly jet and summer rainfall over central Asia. Results indicate that the subtropical westerly jet experienced significant decadal change points in 1997/1998. Before 1997, when the jet shifted southward, an anomalous cyclone dominated central Asia, while the anomalous anticyclone over the Indian Peninsula and anomalous cyclone over central Asia transported water vapor from the tropical Indian Ocean into central Asia, causing increased summer rainfall. After 1997, the relationship between the subtropical westerly jet and summer rainfall weakened. Furthermore, when the jet shifted southward, the anomalous cyclone over central Asia weakened and shifted westward, while the anomalous anticyclone over the Indian Peninsula strengthened and shifted westward. This resulted in weakened meridional water vapor transport from the tropical Indian Ocean into central Asia, thus, no longer reaching the eastern and northern parts of the region. The East Atlantic/West Russia (EA-WR) pattern exhibited different decadal relationships with the meridional location of the Central Asian subtropical westerly jet, acting as an indirect influence. Before 1997, a negative EA-WR pattern corresponded to an anomalous anticyclone over the Ural Mountains region, with the northerly flow on the anticyclone’s eastern flank transporting cold air from high latitudes southward. This led to a cooling of the upper troposphere and the formation of an anomalous cyclone over Central Asia, corresponding to the jet shifting southward. After 1997, the anomalous anticyclone over the former Ural Mountains region shifted eastward, no longer causing upper troposphere cooling over central Asia, and the relationships between the subtropical westerly jet location and EA-WR decreased. Before and after the decadal change in subtropical westerly jet location, a positive Pacific–North America pattern could cause the anomalous cyclone to determine central Asia, corresponding to the jet shifting southward.

     

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