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重建式AI模型在地面气温质量控制中的应用

Application of Reconstruction-Based AI Models in Anomaly Detection of Temperature Observation Data

  • 摘要: 地面气温质量控制中,传统的方法通常依赖人工设计的规则,现有基于AI的方法多依赖于同站其他要素或邻站的观测数据,在应用中都受到限制。为解决传统人工方法和现有AI方法在地面气温质量控制应用中受到限制的问题,提出了一种基于重建式AI模型的地面气温质量控制方法,该模型为基于Transformer的自编码器,采用中国气象局的台站观测数据对模型进行训练和评估。结果发现,在对评分选择合适阈值时,重建式AI模型能够有效审核典型错误,在保持较高检出能力的同时显著降低误检率。尽管其查全率相较现有业务方法略低,尤其是观测发生系统性漂移时,但漏检样本的高出错评分仍然显示出较强的实用价值,同时未来研究可以通过引入更多信号或与其他方法结合,进一步提高查全率。重建式AI模型为气象数据质量控制提供了新的技术手段,展现出巨大应用潜力。

     

    Abstract: Traditional methods for detecting anomalies in temperature observation data by human or AI (Artificial Intelligence) face limitations in practical applications. To overcome these limitations, this paper proposes a temperature anomaly detection method based on a reconstruction-based AI model trained with a Transformer-based AutoEncoder on temperature observation data from stations of the China Meteorological Administration. The experimental results show that, with an appropriate threshold, the reconstruction-based AI model can effectively identify typical anomalies, maintaining high detection capability while significantly reducing the false detection rate. In some cases, the reconstruction-based AI model did not achieve the detection performance of traditional operational methods, especially when the observation data drifted systematically. However, the high error scores of missed samples indicated strong practical value. Future research could improve the model by introducing additional signals or combining it with other methods. The proposed reconstruction-based AI model provides a new technical means for data quality control and demonstrates its potential in this field.

     

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