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中国区域3种再分析数据集地表气温和湿度适用性对比分析

Applicability Evaluation of Surface Air Temperature and Humidity from Three Reanalysis Datasets in China

  • 摘要: 基于2021~2023年2364个国家气象观测站逐小时的地表(2 m)气温、气压和水汽压观测资料,对欧洲中期天气预报中心第五代再分析资料(ERA5)、国家气象信息中心研制的中国全球大气/陆面再分析40年产品(CRA)和全球表面实况分析产品(ART)3种再分析产品的气温和比湿资料在中国区域的适用性进行对比评估。结果表明,ART数据质量最优,CRA次之,ERA5最低。3种再分析资料均能重现地表气温和比湿的时空分布特征,但结果存在一定差异。气温误差主要集中在−1, 1 ℃,CRA多年平均误差为0.27℃;ART多年平均误差为0.03℃;ERA5多年平均误差为−0.22℃。多年均方根误差ART最小为1.55℃,CRA次之为1.89℃,ERA5最大为2.11℃;相关系数均大于0.98,ART最大为0.99144,CRA次之为0.98749,ERA5最小为0.98431。比湿误差主要集中在−0.05, 0.05,3种资料均为负误差占比大于正误差,多年平均误差均为负值。其中ART误差最小,为−0.00019;CRA次之,为−0.00023;ERA5最大为−0.00029。多年均方根误差ART最小,为0.00094;CRA次之,为0.00106;ERA5最大,为0.00118;相关系数ART最大,CRA次之,ERA5最小。可见,CRA气温较观测值偏暖,ERA5气温较观测值偏冷,3种数据的比湿均较观测值偏干。在时间维度上,3种产品均表现为夏季优于冬季。在空间维度上,在华南、华东、华北、西南、东北区域3种再分析产品的可信度都相对较高,而在北方半干旱区、西北、新疆和青藏区域的可信度则相对较低。在华南、华东、青藏、西南、华北、东北、北方半干旱区和西北8个区域ART资料可信度最高,CRA次之。在新疆ART资料可信度最高,ERA5次之。

     

    Abstract: Based on the hourly surface (2 m) temperature and humidity data of 2364 national meteorological stations during 2021−2023, the applicability of ERA5, CRA, and ART reanalysis temperature and humidity datasets in China is preliminarily compared and evaluated. The results show that the three reanalysis datasets can reproduce the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of surface air temperature and humidity, but there are some differences in the reproduction results. The CRA datasets is warmer than the observed values, whereas the ERA5 datasets is colder. The humidity in all three datasets is lower than the observed humidity. Among them, the ART datasets has the highest reliability, followed by the CRA datasets. In terms of spatial distribution, the credibility of the three reanalysis datasets is relatively high in South China, East China, North China, Southwest China, and Northeast China. However, it is relatively low in the Northern semi-arid regions, Northwest China, Xinjiang, and the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. The ART datasets performs best in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, South China, East China, Southwest China, North China, Northeast China, Northern semi-arid regions, and Northwest China, followed by the CRA datasets. In the Xinjiang region, the ART datasets performs best, followed by the ERA5 datasets. In the time dimension, the three datasets are better in summer than in winter.

     

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