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基于一次丹江口流域飞机冷云探测增雨过程的FY-4B卫星作业条件识别研究

Identification of Cloud Seeding Conditions Using FY-4B Satellite Data During an Aircraft Cold Cloud Seeding Operation in the Danjiangkou Basin

  • 摘要: 基于2024年春季丹江口流域一次飞机冷云探测增雨作业,通过结合FY-4B卫星与飞机观测资料,分析了卫星在冷云增雨作业条件识别中的应用方法。初步研究发现:(1)通过分析关注区域卫星云参量分布特征,显示作业目标区云系为具有自然降水潜力的冷暖混合云,适合开展冷云催化作业;(2)结合飞机观测,统计得到飞机在云内飞行时,其探测温度同云顶温度的平均差(21.94℃)小于云外(26.30℃),并且随着云类型由过冷水云向冰水混合云、再向冰云过渡以及云光学厚度的增加,云内飞行的平均温度差逐渐增大且始终小于云外;(3)通过分析飞机观测过冷水同卫星云参量间的关系,建立基于卫星多参量阈值的过冷水潜在区识别方法,并通过对作业后多源观测资料的分析,验证了该次飞机冷云催化基本位于过冷水潜在区并产生了一定的作业效果。

     

    Abstract: This study investigated the use of FY-4B satellite data to identify suitable conditions for cold cloud seeding during an aircraft operation conducted in spring 2024 over the Danjiangkou basin, China. Key findings are as follows: (1) FY-4B cloud parameters revealed that the target cloud was a cold–warm mixed cloud with natural precipitation potential, suitable for cold cloud seeding; (2) the average temperature difference between in situ aircraft-measured temperature and satellite-retrieved cloud-top temperature was smaller inside the cloud (21.94°C) than outside the cloud (26.30°C). Furthermore, as cloud types transitioned from supercooled water to mixed-phase and to ice clouds, and as cloud optical thickness increased, this average temperature difference during in-cloud flights gradually increased, but remained consistently smaller than that outside the cloud; (3) correlations between aircraft-measured supercooled water and FY-4B cloud parameters were analyzed to develop an identification method for potential supercooled water areas based on multiparameter thresholds. Post-seeding analysis of multisource observations confirmed that the aircraft cloud seeding was primarily conducted within these identified potential supercooled water areas and yielded measurable effects.

     

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