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辽西地区雨雪转化机制的观测—模拟研究

Observational and Modeling Study on the Mechanisms of Rain–Snow Transition in Western Liaoning

  • 摘要: 冬季复杂相态的降水常常带来严重灾害,为弥补目前研究对于雨雪转化过程微物理机制的缺乏,本文结合雨滴谱等地面观测资料和WRF(Weather Research Forecasting model)模式,对2021~2023年初冬季节发生在辽宁西部地区的雨雪转化个例的微物理机制进行了讨论。通过雨滴谱资料,基于速度—粒径(V–D)谱形态的变化对降水相态进行区分并利用幂函数V=α×Dβ分别对辽西地区雨雪过程不同阶段的V–D关系进行拟合,拟合系数β反映了降水粒子的下落末速度对其粒径的依赖程度。纯雨阶段β值介于0.3到0.5之间,雨雪转化阶段β值介于0.1到0.2之间,纯降雪阶段,β值通常小于0.1,用以提供日后模式本地化修改方向。基于观测结果,利用WRF模式,对3次个例进行模拟并构建辽宁西部地区11月雨雪转化过程的概念模型。结果表明:近地面大气温度和水汽条件,特别是0°C以上逆温层(暖层)的存在与演变,是决定地面降水相态的关键。降雨的形成主要依赖于高空冰相粒子在下落过程中完全穿过暖层融化,或低空过冷水滴的碰并增长。当暖层存在但较薄或温度较低时,冰相粒子部分融化后再冻结,或与过冷水滴发生凇附(主要发生在2 km高度附近),易形成雨夹雪或霰等混合相态降水。当整层大气温度低于0°C时,4 km以上高空的凝华和冰晶自动转化过程是雪花粒子形成和增长的主要途径,最终形成纯雪。

     

    Abstract: Complex-phase winter precipitation events involving various phases often lead to severe disasters. To address the current research gap in the microphysical mechanisms of rain–snow transition, this study investigates these mechanisms in cases during early winter of 2021–2023 in western Liaoning, using ground-based disdrometer observations and the WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model. By analyzing the disdrometer data, the precipitation phases were differentiated based on changes in the velocity–diameter (VD) spectrum morphology. A power function, V=α×Dβ, was employed to fit the VD relationship for the various stages of rain–snow processes in western Liaoning. The fitting coefficient β indicates the dependence of the terminal velocity of precipitation particles on their diameter. The results showed that the β values ranged from 0.3 to 0.5 for pure rain and from 0.1 to 0.2 for the rain–snow transition stage and were typically less than 0.1 for pure snowfall. These findings offer valuable insights for future improvements to localized models. Building upon the observational insights, the WRF model was used to simulate three selected cases, leading to the development of a conceptual model for November rain–snow transition processes in western Liaoning. The results revealed that near-surface atmospheric temperature and water vapor conditions, particularly the presence and evolution of inversion layers above 0°C (referred to as warm layers), were crucial for determining the surface precipitation phase. Rain formation primarily depended on the complete melting of high-altitude ice-phase particles as they fell through a warm layer or on the coalescence growth of supercooled water droplets at lower altitudes. When the warm layer was present but thin or relatively cold, ice-phase particles partially melted and then refroze or rimed with supercooled water droplets (primarily observed around 2 km altitude), leading to mixed-phase precipitation such as sleet or graupel. When the entire atmospheric column remained below 0°C, deposition and ice-crystal autoconversion above 4 km were the primary mechanisms for snow crystal formation and growth, ultimately resulting in pure snow.

     

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