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2022年欧洲夏季热浪高温过程特征及极端性分析

Observational analysis of the evolution and extreme characteristics of the European record-breaking heatwave during the summer of 2022

  • 摘要: 使用欧洲中西部多源实况资料对2022年夏季(6~7月)欧洲大范围持续性高温过程进行实况过程特征及极端性分析。结果表明:(1)本轮欧洲高温热浪事件(连续3日日最高气温≥32°C)影响范围覆盖欧洲中西部,影响时间持续约59天,法国、西班牙、葡萄牙等国40°C以上的高温日数达7~15天,过程日最高气温47°C(观测地葡萄牙,站点皮尼昂Pinhão,非国际交换站),英国首次观测到40°C以上日最高气温;高温由4个连续子过程构成,第4个子过程(7月17~29日)高温强度达到最强。(2)相比21世纪以来2003年(影响西欧、中欧、南欧,过程持续31天,最高气温45.2°C)、2013年(影响西欧北部,过程持续19天,最高气温38.1°C)、2019年(影响西欧、中欧,过程持续8天,最高气温42.6°C)的三次典型高温过程,本次过程高温强度、持续时间、影响范围均达到历史最强,共有616个(6月292站,7月324站)GTS、GSOD站日最高气温突破其同期历史极值。(3)ECA&D站点高温极值最强,GTS站点监测时效性最好,GSOD站点反映超历史同期极值准确度最高,ERA5高温极值偏弱。

     

    Abstract: In the summer of 2022 (June and July), Europe experienced an anomalous heatwave that significantly deviated from the climatic norms. Research into this extreme event can enhance China’s capabilities in forecasting regional extreme high-temperature events on a global scale. Using multisource observations from Central and Western Europe, this study analyzed the evolution and extreme characteristics of such widespread and persistent heatwaves. The results revealed the following: 1) This heatwave event (defined as a period with daily maximum temperatures ≥32°C persisting for 3 consecutive days) affected central and western Europe and lasted for approximately 59 days. The number of days on which the daily maximum temperature exceeded 40°C reached 7 to 15 in France, Spain, Portugal, and other countries. The highest recorded daily temperature during the entire heatwave was 47°C in Pinhão (in Portugal, not a Global Transition Station), while the United Kingdom observed a daily maximum temperature above 40°C for the first time in its history. Overall, the heatwave comprised four consecutive subprocesses, and the heatwave intensity peaked in the fourth subprocess (July 17–29). 2) Compared with the three typical heatwave events in the 21st century—the 2003 event (affecting western, central, and southern Europe, lasting 31 days, with a peak daily temperature of 45.2°C), the 2013 event (affecting northwestern Europe, lasting 19 days, with a peak daily temperature of 38.1°C), and the 2019 event (affecting western and central Europe, lasting 8 days, with a peak daily temperature of 42.6°C)—the 2022 heatwave exhibited the highest intensity, longest duration, and broadest spatial impact in recorded history. 3) The ECA&D (European Climate Assessment and Dataset) stations provided the highest daily temperature observations. The Global Telecommunication System stations provided the best (shortest) monitoring timeliness, and the Global Surface Summary of the Day stations provided the highest accuracy in representing historical extreme temperature records. Meanwhile, the extreme high-temperature values obtained from ERA5 were relatively lower.

     

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