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湖南昼夜复合高温变化特征及其对应大气环流和海温异常

Variations of the Day-night Heat Wave in Hunan and its Corresponding Atmospheric Circulation and Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies

  • 摘要: 采用1961~2025年湖南88个国家气象观测站逐日最高气温和最低气温资料、NCEP/NCAR月尺度再分析大气环流资料、NOAA月尺度海温重建资料(ERSST V5),运用线性相关、小波分析、合成分析等方法分析了湖南昼夜复合高温时空变化规律及其对应大气环流和海温异常的关系。结果表明:1961~2025年湖南6~9月昼夜复合高温日数以0.89天/10a的速率显著增多,并且在1998年发生了增多的突变,其中在1961~1997年整体呈减少趋势,1998~2025年呈现极显著增多趋势。空间分布上,平原区昼夜复合高温日数多于山区丘陵区,近65年有97.7%站点呈显著增多趋势,增加的大值区主要位于湘北洞庭湖区、长株潭地区、湘西偏东地区、湘南中部等区域。导致湖南6~9月昼夜复合高温日数增多的关键大气环流系统是高低空正压结构的高度场正距平、低层偏强的西南暖平流和偏弱的东亚副热带西风急流。湖南6~9月昼夜高温年际和年代际变化对应的海温异常特征基本相同,前冬至前春印度洋IOBW发展、南海和西北太平洋为暖海温、北大西洋海温偏高,同期夏季拉尼娜发展,中国近海海温偏高,有利于昼夜复合高温日数偏多。

     

    Abstract: Using daily maximum and minimum temperature data from 88 national meteorological stations in Hunan Province, atmospheric circulation data from NCEP/NCAR monthly reanalysis, and NOAA monthly sea surface temperature (SST) reconstruction data (ERSST V5) from 1961 to 2025, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal variations of the day-night heat wave in Hunan and its corresponding atmospheric circulation and SST anomalies using linear correlation, wavelet analysis, and composite analysis. The results show that the number of days with day-night heat wave from June to September in Hunan increased significantly at a rate of 0.89 days/10a from 1961 to 2025. Specifically, the overall trend was decreasing from 1961 to 1997, while a highly significant increasing trend emerged from 1998 to 2025. Spatially, the number of days with day-night heat wave is higher in plains areas than in mountainous areas. Over the past 65 years, 97.7% of stations have shown a significant increasing trend, with the largest increases mainly located in the Dongting Lake area of northern Hunan, the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan region, the eastern part of western Hunan, and the central part of southern Hunan. The key atmospheric circulation systems leading to the increase in the number of days with day-night heat wave in Hunan are the barotropic positive anomalies in geopotential height field, the stronger low-level southwest warm advection, and the weaker East Asian subtropical westerly jet stream. The SST anomalies corresponding to the interannual and interdecadal variations of day-night heat wave are similar: warm SST anomalies in the Indian Ocean, South China Sea, Northwest Pacific, and North Atlantic from the previous winter to the current spring, the development of La Ni?a type anomalies in the Pacific Ocean and warm SST anomaly in the coastal area of China during the current summer. All these SST anomalies are correlated with the increased number of days with day-night heat wave.

     

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