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气候变化背景下北京城市渗面率及雨水调蓄能力探讨

Analysis of Urban Permeable Surface Rate and Rainwater Storage Capacity in Beijing under Climate Change

  • 摘要: 城市化与气候变化作用叠加所带来的城市内涝灾害不容忽视,因此亟需充分发挥城市生态渗透面对雨水的吸纳作用。通过对北京城市降水变化特征、渗面率及其雨水调蓄能力的分析发现:(1)2000~2024年北京城六区总体年降水量呈增加趋势,且日极端降水强度与夏季暴雨事件频次也有所增加,需关注极端降水概率上升对城市的影响。(2)北京城六区总体渗面率为37.15%,其中城市绿地的贡献最大;在城六区中,石景山区的渗面率最高(56.43%),而东城区与西城区的渗面率均低于30%。(3)在大雨、暴雨和特大暴雨情景下,北京的城市雨水调蓄率分别为33.48%、31.94%和29.37%。为提高北京城市渗面率和雨水调蓄能力,建议重视城市绿地管理措施,营建复层林分结构,减少土壤压实,并适当保留凋落物。考虑到城区土地资源紧张,应在现有用地类型的基础上,宜尽可能增加透水路面比例、建筑屋顶绿化及其他低影响开发措施。在城市总体规划中,有必要为雨水调蓄、行泄通道等设施预留规划空间,整体提高城市洪涝风险管控能力。

     

    Abstract: The urban waterlogging disaster resulting from the combined effects of urbanization and climate change has become increasingly severe. It is imperative to enhance the capacity of urban ecological permeable surfaces to absorb rainfall. Based on an analysis of precipitation variation characteristics, permeable surface rate, and stormwater regulation capacity in Beijing, the following conclusions are obtained: (1) From 2000 to 2024, The overall annual precipitation in six urban districts of Beijing exhibited an increasing trend, with rising intensity of daily extreme rainfall evens and more frequent summer rainstorms. Attention should be paid to the potential climate signal of increasing probability of extreme precipitation events. (2) The overall permeable surface rate in six urban districts of Beijing reached 37.15%, with urban green spaces contributing the most. Among the six central districts, Shijingshan District had the highest permeable surface rate (56.43%), while both Dongcheng and Xicheng Districts were below 30%. (3) Under scenarios of heavy rain, rainstorm, and severe rainstorm, the corresponding stormwater regulation rates in the central urban area of Beijing were 33.48%, 31.94%, and 29.37%, respectively. To further enhance the permeable surface rate and stormwater regulation capacity in Beijing, it is recommended to prioritize urban green space management measures, such as establishing multi-layered vegetation structures, reducing soil compaction, and appropriately retaining surface litter. Given the limited land resources in the central urban area, efforts should be made to increase the proportion of permeable pavements, promote green roofs, and adopt other low-impact development practices based on existing land-use types. Furthermore, it is necessary to allocate sufficient planning space for rainwater storage and drainage corridors in overall urban planning to strengthen the city’s resilience and flood risk management capacity.

     

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