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不同数据集中亚洲大气CO?浓度时空演变格局的比较

Comparison of spatiotemporal patterns of atmospheric CO? concentrations over Asia among different datasets

  • 摘要: 为满足区域碳循环研究与减排政策制定对大气二氧化碳(CO2)浓度精准数据的需求,应对多源数据集表征亚洲大气CO2浓度时空特征的偏差问题,本研究基于全球1km分辨率大气CO2浓度数据(High-Res),CarbonTracker CT2022(CT2022)和第四代全球温室气体再分析产品(CAMS)三套使用不同方法构建的数据集,对比分析了 2003~2020 年亚洲大气CO2浓度的时空演变格局。交叉验证结果表明,三套数据集的表征结果存在显著差异性,空间分布上虽均显示亚洲东部等区域为高浓度区、青藏高原等为低浓度区,但在浓度均值、季节变化规律、年际增长速率上特征各异,且季节增长速率存在较大不确定性。数据集间差异具有明显时空分异特征,南亚、东南亚为差异核心区域,2014年成为差异重要节点,CT2022与High-Res的差异受季节和时间影响显著,CAMS则始终高于High-Res且夏秋季差异更突出。本研究初步明晰了各数据集的表征特点,为相关数据的优选与校正提供科学依据,也期望能够为亚洲区域碳源汇评估、碳循环模拟及低碳减排政策制定提供可靠的数据支撑。

     

    Abstract: To meet the demand for accurate atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO?) concentration data in regional carbon cycle research and emission reduction policy formulation, and to address the biases of multi-source datasets in characterizing the spatiotemporal features of atmospheric CO? concentrations over Asia, this study conducted a comparation of the spatiotemporal patterns of atmospheric CO? concentrations across Asia from 2003 to 2020 by using three datasets constructed via distinct methods, namely the High-Res, CT2022, and CAMS. The results indicated that there were significant discrepancies in the characterization results of the three datasets. In terms of spatial distribution, all three datasets identified eastern Asia and other regions as high-concentration areas and the Tibetan Plateau and adjacent regions as low-concentration areas, while they exhibited distinct characteristics in terms of mean concentration, seasonal variation regularity and interannual growth rate, with considerable uncertainties in the seasonal growth rates. The discrepancies among the datasets presented obvious spatiotemporal differentiation features: South Asia and Southeast Asia were the core regions with the most prominent discrepancies, and 2014 emerged as a critical node for the variations in discrepancies. The differences between CT2022 and High-Res were significantly affected by seasons, whereas CAMS consistently yielded higher CO? concentration values than High-Res, with more pronounced discrepancies in summer and autumn. This study initially clarified the characterization features of each dataset, which provides a scientific basis for the selection and calibration of relevant datasets, and also offers reliable data support for the assessment of carbon sources and sinks, simulation of carbon cycles, and formulation of low-carbon emission reduction policies in the Asian region.

     

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