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青藏高原地气交换过程及其天气气候效应研究进展

Research Progress on Land–Atmosphere Exchange Processes over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and Their Weather and Climate Effects

  • 摘要: 系统梳理了青藏高原该领域近年来在观测、机理与模拟方面的研究进展。观测上,青藏高原多圈层相互作用综合立体观测网络平台的逐步完善,为理解高原复杂下垫面的能量与水分交换提供了坚实数据基础。地表蒸散发已从总量估算深入到组分分解,发现土壤蒸发是蒸散发的主体(>84%),且改进的模型显著提升了蒸散发的估算精度。边界层观测揭示了高原对流边界层可发展至3~4 km,远超同纬度平原地区,而其时空演变受季风、感热与西风动力的协同调控。数值模拟方面,针对砾石、冻土与雪反照率等关键参数的优化,有效降低了模式的系统性偏差,使潜热通量与气温模拟精度显著提升。在气候效应层面,高原感热加热通过“气泵”效应驱动亚洲季风,并通过遥相关与土壤湿度记忆等途径,深刻影响着东亚夏季降水,其陆面强迫对降水变率的贡献(0.52)略高于海洋强迫(0.42)。未来研究应聚焦于构建“数字孪生”观测体系,融合人工智能与数据同化技术,以提升对高原气候变化及其全球效应的预测能力。

     

    Abstract: A systematic review of recent advances in observations, physical mechanisms, and numerical simulations pertaining to land-atmosphere interaction process and its climatic effects over the Tibetan Plateau is provided. On the observational front, the progressive development of a comprehensive multi-sphere interactive three-dimensional observation network across the plateau has furnished a robust data foundation for quantifying energy and water fluxes over its heterogeneous underlying surface. Evapotranspiration (ET) research has evolved from bulk-flux estimation to component-based partitioning, revealing that soil evaporation accounts for over 84% of total ET, while model refinements have significantly improved ET retrieval accuracy. Boundary layer observations show that the convective boundary layer over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau can develop to heights of 3–4 km, far exceeding those over plains at the same latitudes, and its spatiotemporal evolution is jointly regulated by the monsoon, sensible heating, and westerly dynamics. In the realm of numerical modeling, the optimization of critical parameters—including gravel thermal properties, permafrost processes, and snow albedo—has effectively mitigated systematic model biases, yielding substantial enhancements in the simulation of latent heat flux and near-surface air temperature. In terms of climatic impacts, the plateau’s sensible heating drives the Asian monsoon via the "air-pump" mechanism, and through teleconnections and soil-moisture memory, it exerts a strong control on summer precipitation over East Asia. Quantitative attribution shows that land-surface forcing contributes slightly more to precipitation variability (0.52) than oceanic forcing (0.42). Looking ahead, future efforts should prioritize the establishment of a "digital twin" observation framework, coupled with the integration of artificial intelligence and data assimilation techniques, to sharpen predictive capabilities for climate change over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and its far-reaching global consequences.

     

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