高级检索

阿拉伯海和南海附近的对流异常对2022年夏季长江流域极端高温的调控作用

The role of convection anomalies near the Arabian Sea and South China Sea in regulating extreme high temperatures in the Yangtze River Basin in the summer of 2022

  • 摘要: 2022年7~8月长江流域经历了破纪录的极端高温事件。利用ERA5再分析资料、CN05.1格点资料等,通过频谱分析确定了本次高温事件中包含30–64天的低频特征。线性回归表明欧亚大陆的副热带波列遥相关及两个关键区的热带对流活动与本次高温事件有重要联系。进一步的线性斜压模式结果表明:阿拉伯海-巴基斯坦和南海两地的异常对流在高温事件不同阶段通过大气遥相关调控了长江流域的大气环流。具体而言,高温事件低频周期的正、负位相期间,加强的对流均活动于阿拉伯海-巴基斯坦附近,其热源强迫调控了北侧对流层上部的副热带Rossby波列,进而向东影响下游的长江流域环流异常;南海附近的对流异常激发的Rossby波,通过类太平洋-日本遥相关波列进而影响其北侧的长江流域。气温低频负位相期间,南海对流减弱的响应在长江流域起主导作用,长江流域位于异常正涡度气旋性环流内,纬向冷平流促进了该地区的降温;而气温低频正位相期间,南海对流加强和阿拉伯海对流加强的响应在长江流域是同位相叠加的,长江流域位于异常负涡度反气旋性环流内的偏南侧,下沉运动绝热加热和东南风暖平流加强了该时期的气温正异常。本研究结果有助于进一步理解长江流域极端高温事件的影响机制,为未来夏季极端高温预测提供借鉴。

     

    Abstract: The Yangtze River Basin in July-August 2022 experienced a record-breaking extreme high-temperature event. Using the ERA5 reanalysis data and CN05.1 grid point data, the spectral analysis identifies the low-frequency feature containing 30–64d in this high-temperature event and linear regression showed that the Eurasian subtropical teleconnection and two key Tropical convection activities in the region have an important connection with this high-temperature event. Further analysis using a linear baroclinic model revealed that abnormal convection over the Arabian Sea-Pakistan area and the South China Sea played critical roles in modulating the atmospheric circulation over the Yangtze River Basin at different stages of the heatwave through teleconnection patterns. Specifically, during the positive and negative phases of the low-frequency cycle, enhanced convective activities near the Arabian Sea-Pakistan region modulated the upper tropospheric subtropical Rossby wave train in the north, thereby affecting downstream circulation anomalies over the Yangtze River Basin. Conversely, convective anomalies in the South China Sea initiated Rossby waves that influenced the basin via the Pacific-Japan teleconnection pattern. During the negative phase of low-frequency temperature cycles, weakened convection in the South China Sea predominated, placing the Yangtze River Basin within an anomalous cyclonic circulation with meridional cold advection, leading to cooling in the region. Contrary to the response to the convection in the Arabian Sea, the Yangtze River Basin is located in a cyclonic circulation with abnormal positive vorticity, zonal cold advection promotes cooling in the region; during the positive phase of the low-frequency temperature. the response to the strengthened convection in the South China Sea and the strengthened convection in the Arabian Sea is a synchronous phase, and the Yangtze River basin is located in an anticyclonic circulation with anomalous negative vorticity. At this time, the Yangtze River basin is located on the southerly side within the anticyclonic circulation, the sinking adiabatic motion and meridional warm advection strengthens the positive temperature anomaly in this period. This study elucidates the impact mechanisms of extreme high-temperature events in the Yangtze River Basin and provides insights for forecasting future summer extreme temperature events.

     

/

返回文章
返回