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2022年长江中下游夏季极端高温干旱复合事件及陆面反馈的可能贡献

Extreme Compound Drought and High Temperature Event in Summer 2022 in the Yangtze River Basin and Possible Contribution of Land Surface Feedback

  • 摘要: 2022年夏季长江中下游地区发生异常极端高温干旱复合事件,对社会经济造成严重影响。为了解此次极端复合事件的发生机理,本文基于观测和再分析资料,分析了此次极端复合事件的基本特征和异常环流特征,并结合陆气耦合指数,探讨与土壤湿度相关的陆面反馈对此次复合事件的影响及可能机理。结果表明,2022年8月长江中下游地区极端高温干旱复合天数高达20天,为1979年以来最高;西太副高异常西伸,南亚高压异常东伸,导致长江中下游地区为深厚的异常高压控制,局地表现为强烈的辐合下沉运动,下沉绝热增温是导致近地面温度变化的直接原因。同时西风急流北移增强,阻挡北方冷空气南下,不利于水汽在长江流域辐合,导致长江中下游降水异常偏少,进而形成此次极端高温干旱复合事件。此外,同期局地土壤湿度异常偏低,陆气耦合指数异常偏高,说明此时温度异常受到与土壤干燥有关的蒸发和感热加热的影响。合成分析结果表明,土壤湿度偏干会导致感热通量增加,有利于对流层中上层反气旋环流发展,异常高压在局地形成下沉运动,造成云量减少,入射短波辐射增加,进而导致地表增温且不利于降水的形成。回归分析的结果也进一步量化了长江中下游局地土壤湿度对温度的贡献为65.6%。陆气耦合及陆面反馈的作用对长江中下游地区温度的升高和降水的减少具有不可忽视的贡献。

     

    Abstract: In the summer of 2022, an extreme Compound Drought and High temperature Event (CDHE) occurred in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin (YRB), causing serious impacts on the social economy. To understand the mechanism of this extreme compound event, we analyzed its characteristics and abnormal circulation based on observation and re-analysis data. Additionally, combined with the land–atmosphere coupling index, we explored the impact and possible mechanism of the land surface feedback related to the soil moisture on this compound event. Results showed that in August 2022, the existence of the CDHE over the YRB reached 20 days, which was the highest since 1979. The westward extension of the West Pacific Subtropical High and eastward extension of the South Asian High led to an abnormally enhanced high over the YRB, which manifested strong convergence and sinking motion locally, and the adiabatic warming of subsidence was the direct cause of temperature changes near the surface. At the same time, the intensified and northward-shifted westerly jet blocked the southward motion of the northern cold air, which was not conducive to the convergence of water vapor over the YRB, resulting in abnormally low precipitation in the region and thus forming the extreme CDHE. During the same period, the local soil moisture was abnormally low, and land–atmosphere coupling index was abnormally high, indicating that the temperature anomaly was influenced by evaporation and sensible heating related to soil drought. The composite analysis indicated that dry soil over the YRB resulted in an increase in the sensible heat flux, which was conducive to the development of an anticyclonic circulation in the upper and middle troposphere. At the same time, a local sinking motion was formed, causing a decrease in the cloud cover and an increase in the incident shortwave radiation, which led to surface warming and was not conducive to precipitation. The results of a regression analysis further quantified that the contribution of the local soil moisture to temperature increase over the YRB was 65.6%. The land–atmosphere coupling and land surface feedback had an undeniable contribution to the increase in temperature and decrease in precipitation in the middle and lower reaches of the YRB.

     

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