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基于多源观测的中国及周边区域飞机高空颠簸特征分析

Examining Upper-Level Aviation Turbulence over China and its Surroundings based on a combination of multi-source observations

  • 摘要: 飞机高空颠簸是由自由大气中湍流过程诱发的飞行现象,对飞行安全存在巨大威胁。在全球变暖背景下,东亚地区飞机颠簸呈逐年增多趋势。为了更好地了解中国及周边区域高空颠簸的来源和发生规律,本文基于两套不同来源的飞机气象观测资料(AMDAR),通过质量控制和标准化处理,建立了一套以湍流耗散率(EDR)表征飞机颠簸的全球一年的颠簸观测数据集。并使用该数据集,结合FY-4A卫星观测和ERA5再分析资料,对我国三类高空颠簸:晴空颠簸(CAT)、近云颠簸(NCT)以及对流诱导颠簸(CIT)的空间分布、季节以及日变化特征进行了初步分析。结果表明,晴空颠簸高发区主要集中在我国中东部至日本以东洋面上空对流层顶附近;近云颠簸有4个活跃区,分别位于我国华东、华北、南海地区以及日本上空,青藏高原北坡至东坡是我国西部近云颠簸易发生区域;对流诱导颠簸则主要集中出现在华南地区。三类高空颠簸均有显著的季节和日变化特征。其中晴空颠簸在冬春季午后高发,近云和对流诱导颠簸更易出现在夏季上午时段。

     

    Abstract: Upper-level aviation turbulence is triggered by turbulence in the free atmosphere. It is a major concern for aircraft operations. Under a warming climate, the turbulence over China shows a trend of increasing. To better understand the sources and characteristics of the upper-level aviation turbulence over China, two sets of Aircraft Meteorological Data Relay (AMDAR) are used to establish a one-year global turbulence observation dataset in the form of eddy dissipation rate (EDR) through quality controls and consistency processing. Based on the aviation, FY-4A satellite observations and the ERA5 reanalysis, the spatial distribution, as well as the seasonal and diurnal variations of three types of upper-level aviation turbulence, clear-air turbulence (CAT), near-cloud turbulence (NCT), and convective-induced turbulence (CIT) over China, are analyzed. It is found that the active zone of the clear-air turbulence is prone to occur in the upper troposphere near the tropopause in the vertical direction. Near-cloud turbulence over China has 4 active zones, which are located in eastern, northern China, and the South Sea, as well as over Japan. The northern to eastern slopes of the Qinghai Tibet Plateau are regions with a high probability of near-cloud turbulence in western China. The convective-induced turbulence concentrated more over southern China. All three types of turbulence exhibit typical seasonal and diurnal variations. Clear-air turbulence is more common in the afternoon during winter and spring seasons, while near-cloud and convective-induced turbulence are more likely to occur in the morning during summertime.

     

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