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中国甲烷浓度季节性变化与水稻种植关系研究

Seasonal variation of methane concentration in relation to rice cultivation in China

  • 摘要: 甲烷是一种重要的温室气体,水稻种植是甲烷排放的主要人为源之一。基于TROPOMI卫星甲烷观测,结合STL分解时间序列分析等技术,全面分析了2018年至2022年中国区域的甲烷浓度时空变化特征。通过季节变化特征和K-means聚类方法将中国区域甲烷浓度的季节性变化归纳为四类模态,并深入探讨了这些模态与水稻种植(种植密度、种植模式)之间的相互联系。研究发现,中国甲烷浓度的总体分布呈现为从东南沿海向西北内陆递减的趋势,且在研究涵盖的时间段内逐年上升,大部分省份的甲烷四年平均增幅在0.6%以上。此外,揭示了四种主要的季节性模态(单峰型、双峰型、三峰型和多峰型)与不同地区的水稻种植密度、种植模式之间的关系,反映出地区的水稻种植是甲烷季节变化特征的决定性因素。

     

    Abstract: Methane is an important greenhouse gas, and rice cultivation is one of the major anthropogenic sources of methane emissions. Based on the TROPOMI satellite observations ranging from May 2018 to April 2022, this study comprehensively analyzes the methane varying modes in the China using various techniques such as STL decomposition. The seasonal variations of methane concentration in the Chinese region were categorized into four types of modes by seasonal terms, and the interconnections between these modes and rice cultivation patterns were explored in depth. The results showed that the TROPOMI observations confirmed the important influence of rice fields on the seasonal variations of methane content, and the distribution of methane concentration in China generally showed a decreasing trend from the southeast coast to the northwest interior, and an increasing trend year by year over the time period covered by the study, with the growth rate of methane in most of the provinces being above 0.6%. In addition, the study revealed that the four main seasonal modes (single-peak, double-peak, triple-peak, and multi-peak) could consistently correspond to the rice cultivation density and indirectly reflect the regional rice cultivation patterns.

     

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