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广西台风“海葵”残涡极端暴雨关键热动力过程

Key thermal dynamic process of extreme rainstorm caused by residual vortex of Typhoon Haikui (2311) in Guangxi

  • 摘要: 受台风“海葵”残涡影响,2023年9月10至11日广西东南沿海出现一次极端暴雨过程,降雨强度大、落区重叠并伴有明显夜雨特征,多地雨量破建站以来观测纪录。利用多源实况观测及ERA5再分析资料,对此次极端暴雨成因及残涡维持的可能机制进行分析,结果表明:在大陆副高减弱而西太副高稳定维持的背景下,处于两高之间的“海葵”残涡受弱引导气流影响,导致其在广西一带稳定少动,配合强盛西南季风气流,促成此次极端暴雨过程。在最强降水开始前,暴雨中心附近已具备明显的强降水潜势,大气可降水量显著异常偏多。残涡东南侧边界层急流是促成极端暴雨的关键影响系统,起到了跨尺度联系残涡与局地极端暴雨的纽带作用,其发展增强与残涡东南侧经向气压梯度力作功导致的局地动能增长有关。边界层急流发展一方面通过低层辐合抬升配合残涡正涡度环流形成强垂直螺旋度,以及低层辐合、变形锋生强迫为强降水发展提供动力条件,另一方面使暴雨中心保持低层高温高湿,湿层增厚。深厚的暖平流加热层以及对流层中层潜热加热为残涡环流维持提供有利热力条件。夜间云贵高原东麓下坡扰动风以及北部湾向岸扰动风位相互相配合共同指向残涡中心,增强风场辐合效应,为残涡气旋性涡度发展维持提供动力条件。

     

    Abstract: Affected by the residual vortex of Typhoon Haikui (2311), an extreme rainstorm occurred in the southeast coast of Guangxi from September 10 to 11, 2023, with large rainfall intensity, overlapping falling areas and obvious night rain characteristics, and the rainfall in many places broke the observation records since the establishment of the station. Based on the multi-source observations and ERA5 reanalysis data, the cause of the extreme rainstorm and the possible mechanism of residual vortex maintenance were analyzed. The results are as follows: Under the background of the weakening of the continental high and the stable maintenance of the western Pacific subtropical high, the "Haikui" residual vortex between the two is weakly guided by the steering flow, remaining stationary over Guangxi, which cooperated with the strong southwest monsoon flow and contributed to the extreme rainstorm. There is obvious strong precipitation potential near the rainstorm center, and the precipitable water is abnormally large before the heaviest precipitation. The boundary layer jet on the southeast side of the residual vortex is the key influencing system for extreme rainstorm, which plays a cross-scale pivotal role in connecting the residual vortex with local extreme rainstorm. Its development at night is related to the local kinetic energy increase driven by work done by the meridional pressure gradient force in the southeast side of the residual vortex.The negative meridional potential height horizontal gradient on the southeast side of the residual vortex combined with southerly wind increases the local kinetic energy, resulting in enhanced development of boundary layer jet at night. The development of boundary layer jet is conducive to the formation of strong vertical helicity through low-level convergence uplift combined with positive vorticity circulation of residual vortex, on the one hand, and the frontogenesis forcing of convergence and deformation at low level provides dynamic conditions for the development of heavy precipitation. On the other hand, is conducive to the rainstorm center maintains high temperature and high humidity at low level, and thicker wet layer depth. The deep warm advection heating layer and the middle troposphere latent heating provide favorable thermal conditions for the maintenance of residual vortex circulation. At night, the perturbation downslope wind on the eastern slope of the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau and the perturbation onshore wind in the Beibu Gulf cooperate with each other to point to the center of the residual vortex, enhance the convergence effect of the wind field, and provide dynamic conditions for the development and maintenance of the cyclonic vorticity of the residual vortex.

     

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