基于雷达资料快速更新同化的一次浙西雷暴大风过程数值研究
Numerical Study of a Severe Wind-producing Thunderstorm in South Zhejiang Province Based on Assimilation of Radar Data
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摘要: 基于雷达资料同化的中尺度动力及水物质场的云分辨尺度探测与分析,是雷暴大风形成演变过程的模拟预报以及机制研究的关键。本文基于S波段天气雷达资料的快速更新同化技术,模拟了浙西山区一次飑线引发雷暴大风的过程,探讨了中尺度动力及水物质场影响雷暴大风的可能机制。深入的研究表明:1)快速更新同化的雷达径向风场是模拟预报雷暴大风对流系统组织化发展的关键,中尺度动力场的演变及调整决定了雷暴大风形成与发展过程;2)云分辨尺度的雷达径向风同化,增强了对流层低层多单体间的出流辐合以及中层后向入流,促进了对流系统向飑线转化的组织化过程;3)快速更新同化雷达径向风和反射率,可显著改变雷暴大风过程的水物质场,增强层状云区0℃层高度以下的霰粒子融化及低层雨水蒸发冷却作用,进而影响到后向入流进入层状云区转为向对流带前沿的倾斜下沉过程,这是中高层动量下传的关键;4)快速更新的中尺度动力及水物质场,可准确描述后向入流下沉产生的绝热增温作用,有利低层雨水蒸发和低空冷池的加强,中层高水平动量下传和近地面强水平气压梯度力的共同作用极大促进了地面大风的形成。Abstract: The cloud-resolving scale detection and analysis of mesoscale dynamics and hydrometeors based on the assimilation of radar data is the key to the simulation and prediction of the severe thunderstorms, as well as to the analysis of their formation and evolution mechanisms. In this paper, based on the rapid updating and assimilation of S-band weather radar data, we reproduced a squall line accompanied with severe convective winds over mountain areas of southern Zhejiang Province, and discussed its mechanisms of mesoscale dynamical and microphysical processes. The in-depth study shows that: 1) rapid updating and assimilation of radar radial winds was the key to reproducing the organization progress of the squall line. The evolution and adjustment of mesoscale dynamics determined the development of the severe wind-producing convection system. 2) Cloud-resolved radar radial wind assimilation strengthened the mid-layer rear inflow and convection outflows and its convergence in the lower tropospheric, which facilitated the organization of squall line. 3) Assimilation of radar radial winds and reflectivity could significantly change the characteristics of hydrometeors and enhanced the cooling processes of graupel melting below the 0℃ layer height in the stratiform and the evaporation of low-level raindrops. Consequently, the rear inflow declined aslope toward the front of the convection as invading into the stratiform behind. This phenomenon played a key role on momentum transmission from mid- and high-level to the ground. 4) The rapid development of mesoscale dynamics and hydrometeors emerged adiabatic warming process generated by the downdrafts of rear inflow, which was favorable to the evaporation of the low-level raindrops and the strengthening of the cold pool. The contributions of high-level large momentum transmission downwards and strong horizontal pressure gradient force near the surface greatly promoted the formation of the severe winds.