高级检索

7月份赤道太平洋平流层风场异常的复EOF诊断及其与平流层准两年振荡的关系

CEOF Diagnosis of Stratospheric Wind Anomalies over the Equatorial Pacific in July and the Relationship with QBO

  • 摘要: 本文利用NCAR/NCEP提供的7月份10、20、30、50、70、100hPa上73年的月平均风场资料,对赤道太平洋的平流层风场异常做了复EOF(经验正交函数)诊断,并讨论了诊断结果与平流层准两年振荡(Quasi Biennial Oscillation, QBO)的关系;得到了以下主要结论:该诊断前三模态的方差贡献依次为60.9%、24.0%、4.4%,前两模态累积方差贡献达84.9%,基本能概括QBO的性质特点。由第一、二模态的空间场可见,在50hPa及之上明显的风场异常均以纬向风为主,两者的区别是前者的风向上下保持一致,而后者出现上下相反的现象。两者的时间系数分别有2.25、2.47年的年际变化周期,前者周期与QBO的平均周期相同,后者也落在QBO的周期1.75-2.5年间,两者的年代际变化都不明显。在风场异常的强度变化上,两者都有8年左右的年际变化周期,而两者风场强度的年代际变化也都不明显。两者的风场异常典型值在50hPa以下都减小得很快,至100hPa该值均已很小,这些都与QBO的情况相当一致;两者该典型值的最大处分别位于20、10hPa上,前者也与QBO的最强位置相差不远。两者风场QBO强度变化的最明显时段分别从1995、1990年始而都至2020年终,另外后者的风场QBO强度还有一个线性增长趋势,2010年后该趋势则有所加大,这些可能与全球明显增暖有关。第一、二模态的物理性质分别对应为正、斜压Kelvin波;这说明Kelvin波对QBO的形成非常重要,是产生QBO的重要因素之一,其中正压Kelvin波对QBO的贡献更为突出。

     

    Abstract: In this study, complex empirical orthogonal function (CEOF) analysis was applied to the 73-year stratospheric wind fields in July of NCAR/NCEP at pressure levels of 10, 20, 30, 50, 70, and 100 hPa over the equatorial Pacific. The relationship between the diagnostic results and the Quasi Biennial Oscillation(QBO)was discussed. The main conclusions were as follows: The variance contributions of the first three modes were 60.9%, 24.0% and 4.4%, respectively. The cumulative variance contribution of the first two modes was 84.9%, which could basically summarize the nature and characteristics of QBO. The obvious wind anomalies of the first and second modes above 50hPa were dominated by the partial latitudinal winds. The difference was that the former exhibited vertically consistent wind direction, while the latter was opposite wind direction. The time coefficients of the two modes had inter-annual variations of 2.25 and 2.47 years, respectively. The former period had the same period as the average period of QBO, while the latter period located within the period range of 1.75-2.5 years of QBO. The inter-decadal variations of both modes were not significant. In terms of the intensity variation of wind anomalies, both had an inter-annual variation of about 8 years, and the decadal variations of both were also not significant. The typical values of wind anomalies in both modes decreased rapidly below 50 hPa and were very small at 100 hPa, which is quite consistent with the situation of QBO. The maximum anomalies of the two modes were located at 20 and 10 hPa, respectively, with the former closely matching the QBO’s peak altitude. The most obvious QBO intensity variations of the two modes initiated from 1995 and 1990, respectively, and continued until the end of 2020. In addition, there was a linear intensification trend in the strength of the wind field in the latter, which had accelerated since 2010. It might be related to the significant global warming. The physical properties of the first and second modes corresponded to barotropic and baroclinic Kelvin waves, respectively. This indicated that the Kelvin wave was crucial for the formation of QBO and was one of the important factors for the generation of QBO. Notably, barotropic Kelvin wave contributed more prominently to the QBO.

     

/

返回文章
返回